Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 7 March 18, 2026 23:30

Atletico Paranaense

#3 · 49 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Cruzeiro

#6 · 45 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Cruzeiro 29%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Cruzeiro. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.20

Actual xG

1.23

49%

Possession

51%

4

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

40.48%

Atletico ←

30.34%

X

29.18%

Cruzeiro

we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense) 40.48% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atletico

1.66

1.20

-0.46

Cruzeiro

0.84

1.23

+0.39

xG dominance was balanced (1.20 – 1.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	60
2	Palmeiras	28	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense	28	48
5	Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	43
8	Santos	28	41
9	Coritiba	28	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	36
11	RB Bragantino	28	36
12	Botafogo	28	35
13	Vitoria	28	33
14	Corinthians	28	32
15	Mirassol	28	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	31
17	Gremio	28	29
18	Internacional	28	28
19	Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	18