Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 16
May 18, 2026 00:30
S. Mendoza
(ast. G. Benavidez)
11'
84'
(ast. Bruno Henrique)
Pedro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Flamengo 34%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.01
Actual xG
1.42
3
Saves
4
36%
Possession
64%
9
Corners
7
7
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mendoza
· ast. G. Benavidez
11'
25'
J. Carrascal
Leo Derik
/ Claudinho
28'
Felipinho
40'
O. Hellmann
45'+5
Jadson
56'
59'
Everton
/
Samuel Lino
59'
Bruno Henrique
/
S. Niguez
B. Zapelli
/ Joao Cruz
65'
L. Esquivel
/ Gilberto Junior
66'
70'
Danilo
82'
Emerson Royal
/
Leo Ortiz
84'
ast. Bruno Henrique ·
Pedro⚽
90'+2
Danilo
90'+2
Danilo
90'+3
Vitao
/
Pedro
90'+3
Ayrton Lucas
/
J. Carrascal
Felipinho
/ Renan Peixoto
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
40.51%
Atletico
25.22%
X ←
34.27%
Flamengo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.01
-0.53
1.31
1.42
+0.11
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
37
L. Esquivel
65'
D
L. Esquivel
65'
D
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
4
Arthur Dias
D
Arthur Dias
D
6
Leonardo Derik
28'
M
Leonardo Derik
28'
M
10
B. Zapelli
65'
M
B. Zapelli
65'
M
5
Felipinho
M
Felipinho
M
16
Jádson
M
Jádson
M
29
G. Benavídez
1 👟
M
G. Benavídez
1 👟
M
9
K. Viveros
F
K. Viveros
F
7
S. Mendoza
1 ⚽
F
S. Mendoza
1 ⚽
F
Bench
47
Chiqueti
M
Chiqueti
M
26
Claudinho
69'
D
Claudinho
69'
D
63
Diogo Riquelme
M
Diogo Riquelme
M
53
Dudu
M
Dudu
M
2
Gilberto Junior
32'
D
Gilberto Junior
32'
D
11
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
8
João Cruz
32'
M
João Cruz
32'
M
3
Léo
D
Léo
D
21
Leozinho
F
Leozinho
F
42
Matheus Soares
G
Matheus Soares
G
1
Mycael
G
Mycael
G
70
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
2'
F
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
2'
F
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
26
Alex Sandro
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
13
Danilo
D
2
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
8
Saúl Ñíguez
59'
M
Saúl Ñíguez
59'
M
3
Léo Ortiz
82'
M
Léo Ortiz
82'
M
16
Samuel Lino
59'
M
Samuel Lino
59'
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
M
15
J. Carrascal
M
J. Carrascal
M
9
Pedro
1 ⚽
F
Pedro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
4'
D
Ayrton Lucas
4'
D
27
Bruno Henrique
1 👟
38'
F
Bruno Henrique
1 👟
38'
F
49
Dyogo Alves
G
Dyogo Alves
G
22
Emerson Royal
15'
D
Emerson Royal
15'
D
11
Everton
38'
F
Everton
38'
F
75
Luiz Felipe
M
Luiz Felipe
M
44
Vitão
4'
D
Vitão
4'
D
64
Wallace Yan
F
Wallace Yan
F
Best on the pitch
Alex Sandro
D · Flamengo
7.90
· 62 pass
S. Mendoza
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Santos
G · Atletico
7.70
· 20 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.60
2 shots
· 84 pass
Arthur Dias
D · Atletico
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Léo Ortiz
M · Flamengo
7.30
· 53 pass
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonardo Derik | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Jádson | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | F | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Claudinho | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Junior | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| João Cruz | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 84 | 76% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 66% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Saúl Ñíguez | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro | F | 93 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Everton | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Vitão | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Flamengo win.