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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 25 August 30, 2026 16:00
Atletico Paranaense
#5 · 54 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Fluminense
#4 · 54 pts
Leozinho (ast. S. Mendoza) 35'
G. Benavidez 48'
K. Viveros 90'+5 (pen.)
38' Hulk
64' A. Canobbio
78' (ast. Hulk) Ignacio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Fluminense 25%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
6
1.92
Actual xG
0.56
3
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
8
Corners
3
12
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Leozinho · ast. S. Mendoza
35'
38'
Hulk⚽
45'+5
PH Ganso
⚽G. Benavidez
48'
G. Benavidez
49'
59'
K. Serna / Y. Soteldo ↕
59'
L. Acosta / PH Ganso ↕
64'
A. Canobbio⚽
↕ Joao Cruz / K. A. Calderon Vargas
71'
↕ Leozinho / Dudu Kogitzki
71'
75'
Nonato
78'
ast. Hulk · Ignacio⚽
K. Viveros
80'
↕ F. Aguirre / J. Rivaldo
83'
↕ Luiz Gustavo / B. Zapelli
83'
87'
89'
J. Savarino / A. Canobbio ↕
⚽K. Viveros (pen.)
90'+5
90'
Jemmes / Hulk ↕
Pre-match prediction
47.55%
Atletico
26.51%
X ←
25.94%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.37
1.92
+0.55
Fluminense
0.93
0.56
-0.37
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.56). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 5.30
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 6.30
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre Juan Felipe Aguirre 83' D 6.20
25 Dantas Dantas D 6.20
7 Steven Mendoza Steven Mendoza 1 👟 M 7.20
14 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo 83' M 6.30
16 Jádson Jádson M 6.60
29 Gastón Benavídez Gastón Benavídez 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 João Cruz João Cruz 71' F 6.60
21 Leozinho Leozinho 1 ⚽ 71' F 8.70
9 Kevin Viveros Kevin Viveros 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
10 Bruno Zapelli Bruno Zapelli 16' M 6.90
22 C. Terán C. Terán D
63 Diogo Riquelme Diogo Riquelme M
53 Dudu Dudu 19' M 6.60
5 Felipinho Felipinho D
2 Gilberto Junior Gilberto Junior D
11 Isaac Isaac F
19 Jorge Rivaldo Jorge Rivaldo 16' F 6.30
18 Kerwin Vargas Kerwin Vargas 19' F 7.20
3 Léo Léo D
1 Mycael Mycael G
70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno F
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio G 7.70
6 Renê Renê D 6.30
29 J. Millán J. Millán D 6.30
4 Ignacio Ignacio 1 ⚽ D 7.50
23 Guga Guga D 5.70
8 Martinelli Martinelli M 6.90
16 Nonato Nonato M 7.50
30 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 59' M 6.30
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 59' M 6.30
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.70
7 Hulk Hulk 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 8.30
Bench
14 G. Cano G. Cano F
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D
44 Jemmes Jemmes 9' D 6.30
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 10' F 6.70
46 Julio Fidelis Julio Fidelis D
90 K. Serna K. Serna 31' F 6.20
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 31' M 6.50
27 Marcelo Marcelo G
94 Otávio Otávio M
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo F
28 Riquelme Riquelme F
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva D
Best on the pitch
Leozinho
Leozinho
F · Atletico
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
Hulk
Hulk
F · Fluminense
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 23 pass
Gastón Benavídez
Gastón Benavídez
M · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
A. Canobbio
A. Canobbio
M · Fluminense
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Fábio
Fábio
G · Fluminense
7.70
· 17 pass
Nonato
Nonato
M · Fluminense
7.50
· 62 pass
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 90 5.30 — — — 14 10% — — —
Arthur Dias D 90 6.30 — — 1 57 53% — — —
Juan Felipe Aguirre D 83 6.20 — — 1 38 36% — — —
Dantas D 90 6.20 — — — 50 46% 2 — —
Steven Mendoza M 90 7.20 — 1 — 42 34% 2 — —
Luiz Gustavo M 83 6.30 — — — 50 48% 1 — —
Jádson M 90 6.60 — — — 46 44% 2 — —
Gastón Benavídez M 90 7.90 1 — 1 41 34% 3 1 —
João Cruz F 71 6.60 — — — 27 25% — — —
Leozinho F 71 8.70 1 — 2 38 30% — — —
Kevin Viveros F 90 7.20 1 — 4 12 7% 1 1 —
Bruno Zapelli M 16 6.90 — — 1 13 12% — — —
Dudu M 19 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
Jorge Rivaldo F 16 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Kerwin Vargas F 19 7.20 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 90 7.70 — — — 17 9% — — —
Renê D 90 6.30 — — — 75 65% 1 — —
J. Millán D 90 6.30 — — 1 61 58% — — —
Ignacio D 90 7.50 1 — 1 57 51% 4 — —
Guga D 90 5.70 — — — 41 34% 1 — —
Martinelli M 90 6.90 — — — 71 67% 1 — —
Nonato M 90 7.50 — — — 62 58% 3 1 —
Y. Soteldo M 59 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
PH Ganso M 59 6.30 — — — 38 33% 1 1 —
A. Canobbio M 89 7.70 1 — 3 21 18% — — —
Hulk F 89 8.30 1 1 4 23 18% — — —
Jemmes D 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Savarino F 10 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
K. Serna F 31 6.20 — — — 11 6% 1 — —
L. Acosta M 31 6.50 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Fluminense win.