Skip to main content
← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 14 May 03, 2026 01:30
Atletico Paranaense
#3 · 49 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Gremio
#17 · 29 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Paranaense, result Draw
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Gremio 13%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
0.99
Actual xG
0.89
0
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
3
14
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
K. Viveros
20'
L. Esquivel
33'
↕ Joao Cruz / Leo Derik
35'
46'
Andre Henrique / J. Enamorado ↕
46'
Riquelme / Gabriel Mec ↕
51'
Willian / J. Nardoni ↕
↕ Bruninho / Dudu Kogitzki
63'
↕ J. Portilla / Diogo Riquelme
64'
65'
Tete / M. Braithwaite ↕
72'
Riquelme
O. Hellmann
78'
G. Benavidez
84'
84'
Riquelme
84'
Riquelme
Pre-match prediction
63.21%
Atletico
22.86%
X ←
13.93%
Gremio
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.86% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.86
0.99
-0.87
Gremio
0.48
0.89
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 6.90
37 L. Esquivel L. Esquivel 33' D 6.00
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 7.50
22 C. Terán C. Terán D 7.50
7 S. Mendoza S. Mendoza M 7.20
5
M 7.00
27 J. Portilla J. Portilla 64' M 6.90
29 G. Benavídez G. Benavídez M 6.70
8
35' F 6.50
48 Bruno Braga Ramos Bruno Braga Ramos 63' F 6.50
9 K. Viveros K. Viveros F 6.20
Bench
53 Dudu Dudu 27' M 6.60
33 J. Aguirre J. Aguirre D
Gremio Gremio 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D 7.30
6 Gustavo Martins Gustavo Martins D 8.70
2 F. Balbuena F. Balbuena D 7.20
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel M 6.90
33 Leonel Pérez Leonel Pérez M 7.30
5 J. Nardoni J. Nardoni 51' M 6.50
7 C. Pavón C. Pavón M 7.60
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 45' F 6.20
99 J. Enamorado J. Enamorado 45' F 6.30
22 M. Braithwaite M. Braithwaite 65' F 6.50
Bench
50 Bernardo Zortea Bernardo Zortea M
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista D
17 Dodi Dodi M
19 E. Noriega E. Noriega M
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha D
65 Riquelme Freitas Riquelme Freitas 39' M 6.50
21 Tetê Tetê 25' F 6.70
10 Willian Willian 39' M 7.20
4 W. Kannemann W. Kannemann D
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Martins
Gustavo Martins
D · Gremio
8.70
· 32 pass
G · Gremio
7.90
· 19 pass
C. Pavón
C. Pavón
M · Gremio
7.60
· 35 pass
Arthur Dias
Arthur Dias
D · Atletico
7.50
1 shots · 49 pass
C. Terán
C. Terán
D · Atletico
7.50
3 shots · 38 pass
Leonel Pérez
Leonel Pérez
M · Gremio
7.30
1 shots · 47 pass
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 90 6.90 — — — 25 14% — — —
L. Esquivel D 33 6.00 — — — 29 25% 3 — 1
Arthur Dias D 90 7.50 — — 1 49 46% — — —
C. Terán D 90 7.50 — — 3 38 31% 1 — —
S. Mendoza M 90 7.20 — — 1 44 37% 1 — —
M 90 7.00 — — 1 30 23% 7 — —
J. Portilla M 64 6.90 — — 1 35 27% 1 — —
G. Benavídez M 90 6.70 — — — 36 27% — 1 —
F 35 6.50 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Bruno Braga Ramos F 63 6.50 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
K. Viveros F 90 6.20 — — 1 8 5% — 1 —
Dudu M 27 6.60 — — — 5 2% — — —
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 19 12% — — —
Wagner Leonardo D 90 7.30 — — — 72 65% 1 — —
Gustavo Martins D 90 8.70 — — — 32 30% 4 — —
F. Balbuena D 90 7.20 — — 1 48 38% 1 — —
Pedro Gabriel M 90 6.90 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
Leonel Pérez M 90 7.30 — — 1 47 41% 2 — —
J. Nardoni M 51 6.50 — — — 18 16% — — —
C. Pavón M 90 7.60 — — — 35 32% 2 — —
Gabriel Mec F 45 6.20 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
J. Enamorado F 45 6.30 — — — 4 3% 3 — —
M. Braithwaite F 65 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Riquelme Freitas M 39 6.50 — — — 35 31% 1 2 1
Tetê F 25 6.70 — — 1 23 21% — — —
Willian M 39 7.20 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Gremio win.