Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 14
May 03, 2026 01:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Paranaense, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Gremio 13%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
0.99
Actual xG
0.89
0
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
3
14
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
K. Viveros
20'
L. Esquivel
33'
Joao Cruz
/ Leo Derik
35'
46'
Andre Henrique
/
J. Enamorado
46'
Riquelme
/
Gabriel Mec
51'
Willian
/
J. Nardoni
Bruninho
/ Dudu Kogitzki
63'
J. Portilla
/ Diogo Riquelme
64'
65'
Tete
/
M. Braithwaite
72'
Riquelme
O. Hellmann
78'
G. Benavidez
84'
84'
Riquelme
84'
Riquelme
Pre-match prediction
63.21%
Atletico
22.86%
X ←
13.93%
Gremio
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
0.99
-0.87
0.48
0.89
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
37
L. Esquivel
33'
D
L. Esquivel
33'
D
4
Arthur Dias
D
Arthur Dias
D
22
Carlos Terán
D
Carlos Terán
D
7
S. Mendoza
M
S. Mendoza
M
5
M
27
Juan Portilla
64'
M
Juan Portilla
64'
M
29
G. Benavídez
M
G. Benavídez
M
8
35'
F
48
Bruno Braga Ramos
63'
F
Bruno Braga Ramos
63'
F
9
K. Viveros
F
K. Viveros
F
Bench
53
Dudu
27'
M
Dudu
27'
M
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
1
G
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
2
F. Balbuena
D
F. Balbuena
D
54
Pedro Gabriel
M
Pedro Gabriel
M
33
Leonel Pérez
M
Leonel Pérez
M
5
J. Nardoni
51'
M
J. Nardoni
51'
M
7
Cristian Pavón
M
Cristian Pavón
M
37
Gabriel Mec
45'
F
Gabriel Mec
45'
F
99
José Enamorado
45'
F
José Enamorado
45'
F
22
Martin Braithwaite
65'
F
Martin Braithwaite
65'
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
19
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
65
Riquelme Freitas
39'
M
Riquelme Freitas
39'
M
21
Tetê
25'
F
Tetê
25'
F
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
10
Willian
39'
M
Willian
39'
M
50
Zortéa
M
Zortéa
M
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Martins
D · Gremio
8.70
· 32 pass
G · Gremio
7.90
· 19 pass
Cristian Pavón
M · Gremio
7.60
· 35 pass
Arthur Dias
D · Atletico
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
Carlos Terán
D · Atletico
7.50
3 shots
· 38 pass
Leonel Pérez
M · Gremio
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 33 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Arthur Dias | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Terán | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 7 | — | — | |
| Juan Portilla | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Bruno Braga Ramos | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Dudu | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Balbuena | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Tetê | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Willian | M | 39 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Gremio win.