Skip to main content
← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 18 May 30, 2026 21:00
Atletico Paranaense
#5 · 54 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Mirassol
#14 · 40 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Paranaense
K. Viveros (ast. Joao Cruz) 88'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Mirassol 15%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
1.26
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
Edson Carioca
↕ B. Zapelli / Julimar
46'
Arthur Dias
58'
63'
Andre Luis / Edson Carioca ↕
G. Benavidez
66'
↕ L. Esquivel / Joao Cruz
68'
71'
Eduardo / Carlos Eduardo ↕
71'
Neto Moura / Denilson ↕
72'
Willian Machado
↕ S. Mendoza / Leozinho
78'
↕ Felipinho / Diogo Riquelme
78'
81'
Chico Kim / Shaylon ↕
81'
Lucas Oliveira / Jose Aldo ↕
↕ Arthur Dias / C. Teran
83'
86'
Eduardo
⚽K. Viveros · ast. Joao Cruz
88'
Pre-match prediction
64.69%
Atletico ←
19.88%
X
15.43%
Mirassol
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense) 64.69% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.98
1.26
-0.72
Mirassol
0.71
0.48
-0.23
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 33 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 7.20
37 L. Esquivel L. Esquivel 68' D 7.30
33 F. Aguirre F. Aguirre D 7.00
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias 83' D 6.70
26 Claudinho Claudinho M 7.20
5 Felipinho Felipinho 78' M 6.90
16 Jadson Jadson M 7.20
29 G. Benavidez G. Benavidez M 7.00
10 B. Zapelli B. Zapelli 45' F 6.50
7 S. Mendoza S. Mendoza 78' F 6.90
9 K. Viveros K. Viveros 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
47 Chiqueti Chiqueti M
22 C. Terán C. Terán 12' D 6.70
63 Diogo Riquelme Diogo Riquelme 17' M 6.70
53 Dudu Kogitzki Dudu Kogitzki M
2 Gilberto Junior Gilberto Junior D
11 Isaac Isaac F
8 Joao Cruz Joao Cruz 1 👟 27' M 7.20
20 Julimar Julimar 50' F 6.90
3 Léo Léo D
21 Leozinho Leozinho 17' F 6.90
42 Matheus Soares Matheus Soares G
70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno F
Mirassol Mirassol 4-2-3-1
22 Walter Walter G 6.90
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo D 6.20
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado D 7.20
34 João Victor João Victor D 7.20
20 Daniel Borges Daniel Borges D 6.50
8 Denilson Denilson 71' M 6.90
21 Jose Aldo Jose Aldo 81' M 7.20
77 Alesson Alesson M 6.50
7 Shaylon Shaylon 81' M 6.90
96 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 71' M 6.30
95 Edson Carioca Edson Carioca 63' F 6.20
Bench
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
99 Andre Luis Andre Luis 32' F 6.50
10 Chico Kim Chico Kim 14' M 6.20
33 Eduardo Eduardo 24' M 6.20
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira 14' D 6.30
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura 24' M 6.30
90 Thomazella Thomazella G
12 Victor Luís Victor Luís D
Best on the pitch
K. Viveros
K. Viveros
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
L. Esquivel
L. Esquivel
D · Atletico
7.30
· 48 pass
Santos
Santos
G · Atletico
7.20
· 16 pass
Claudinho
Claudinho
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots · 41 pass
Jadson
Jadson
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots · 35 pass
Joao Cruz
Joao Cruz
M · Atletico
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 95 7.20 — — — 16 11% — — —
L. Esquivel D 68 7.30 — — — 48 41% 2 — —
F. Aguirre D 95 7.00 — — 1 53 48% 1 — —
Arthur Dias D 83 6.70 — — — 44 34% 2 1 —
Claudinho M 95 7.20 — — 1 41 33% 1 — —
Felipinho M 78 6.90 — — — 24 22% 3 — —
Jadson M 95 7.20 — — 1 35 31% 5 — —
G. Benavidez M 95 7.00 — — — 41 35% 1 1 —
B. Zapelli F 45 6.50 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
S. Mendoza F 78 6.90 — — 1 17 15% 1 — —
K. Viveros F 95 7.90 1 — 1 4 3% 1 — —
C. Terán D 12 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
Diogo Riquelme M 17 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Joao Cruz M 27 7.20 — 1 1 11 10% 1 — —
Julimar F 50 6.90 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Leozinho F 17 6.90 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 95 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
Reinaldo D 95 6.20 — — — 36 23% — — —
Willian Machado D 95 7.20 — — 1 43 40% 3 1 —
João Victor D 95 7.20 — — — 41 37% — — —
Daniel Borges D 95 6.50 — — — 40 34% 2 — —
Denilson M 71 6.90 — — 1 39 37% 2 — —
Jose Aldo M 81 7.20 — — 1 53 48% 4 — —
Alesson M 95 6.50 — — 1 28 22% 4 — —
Shaylon M 81 6.90 — — 2 42 37% — — —
Carlos Eduardo M 71 6.30 — — 1 11 11% — — —
Edson Carioca F 63 6.20 — — 1 9 7% — 1 —
Andre Luis F 32 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Chico Kim M 14 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Eduardo M 24 6.20 — — — 6 5% — 1 —
Lucas Oliveira D 14 6.30 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Neto Moura M 24 6.30 — — — 16 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an Mirassol win.