Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
May 30, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Paranaense
K. Viveros
(ast. Joao Cruz)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Mirassol 15%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
1.26
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
Edson Carioca
B. Zapelli
/ Julimar
46'
Arthur Dias
58'
63'
Andre Luis
/
Edson Carioca
G. Benavidez
66'
L. Esquivel
/ Joao Cruz
68'
71'
Eduardo
/
Carlos Eduardo
71'
Neto Moura
/
Denilson
72'
Willian Machado
S. Mendoza
/ Leozinho
78'
Felipinho
/ Diogo Riquelme
78'
81'
Chico Kim
/
Shaylon
81'
Lucas Oliveira
/
Jose Aldo
Arthur Dias
/ C. Teran
83'
86'
Eduardo
⚽K. Viveros
· ast. Joao Cruz
88'
Pre-match prediction
64.69%
Atletico ←
19.88%
X
15.43%
Mirassol
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
64.69%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.26
-0.72
0.71
0.48
-0.23
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
37
L. Esquivel
68'
D
L. Esquivel
68'
D
33
J. Aguirre
D
J. Aguirre
D
4
Arthur Dias
83'
D
Arthur Dias
83'
D
26
Claudinho
M
Claudinho
M
5
Felipinho
78'
M
Felipinho
78'
M
16
Jádson
M
Jádson
M
29
G. Benavídez
M
G. Benavídez
M
10
B. Zapelli
45'
F
B. Zapelli
45'
F
7
S. Mendoza
78'
F
S. Mendoza
78'
F
9
K. Viveros
1 ⚽
F
K. Viveros
1 ⚽
F
Bench
47
Chiqueti
M
Chiqueti
M
22
C. Terán
12'
D
C. Terán
12'
D
63
Diogo Riquelme
17'
M
Diogo Riquelme
17'
M
53
Dudu
M
Dudu
M
2
Gilberto
D
Gilberto
D
11
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
8
João Cruz
27'
M
João Cruz
27'
M
20
Julimar
50'
F
Julimar
50'
F
3
Léo
D
Léo
D
21
Leozinho
17'
F
Leozinho
17'
F
42
Matheus Soares
G
Matheus Soares
G
70
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
F
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
F
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
20
Daniel Borges
D
Daniel Borges
D
8
Denilson
71'
M
Denilson
71'
M
21
José Aldo
81'
M
José Aldo
81'
M
77
Alesson
M
Alesson
M
7
Shaylon
81'
M
Shaylon
81'
M
96
Carlos Eduardo
71'
M
Carlos Eduardo
71'
M
95
Edson Carioca
63'
F
Edson Carioca
63'
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
99
André Luís
32'
F
André Luís
32'
F
10
Chico
14'
M
Chico
14'
M
33
Eduardo
24'
M
Eduardo
24'
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
14'
D
Lucas Oliveira
14'
D
25
Neto Moura
24'
M
Neto Moura
24'
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
Best on the pitch
K. Viveros
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
L. Esquivel
D · Atletico
7.30
· 48 pass
Santos
G · Atletico
7.20
· 16 pass
Claudinho
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 41 pass
Jádson
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
João Cruz
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 11 pass
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Aguirre | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Claudinho | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipinho | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Zapelli | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Terán | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Riquelme | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| João Cruz | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Julimar | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Leozinho | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| João Victor | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Alesson | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| André Luís | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an Mirassol win.