Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 15, 2026 23:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Paranaense, result Draw
K. A. Calderon Vargas
(ast. K. Viveros)
75'
67'
(ast. A. Sant'Anna)
Pedro Henrique
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 51% win probability (draw 28%, RB Bragantino 20%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for RB Bragantino.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.09
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
0
3
Tackles
8
Match Events
Leozinho
/ K. A. Calderon Vargas
61'
67'
ast. A. Sant'Anna ·
Pedro Henrique⚽
⚽K. A. Calderon Vargas
· ast. K. Viveros
75'
76'
Eric Ramires
/
Matheus Fernandes
76'
Eduardo Sasha
/
J. Herrera
76'
Fabinho
/
Gabriel
Joao Cruz
/ Dudu Kogitzki
77'
78'
Eduardo Sasha
88'
Yuri Alves
/
Vinicinho
Gilberto
/ J. Rivaldo
90'+1
Dudu Kogitzki
/ B. Zapelli
90'
Pre-match prediction
51.75%
Atletico
28.19%
X ←
20.07%
RB
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
0.86
-0.47
0.67
0.09
-0.58
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Santos
32'
G
Santos
32'
G
4
Arthur Dias
32'
D
Arthur Dias
32'
D
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
32'
D
Juan Felipe Aguirre
32'
D
29
Gastón Benavídez
32'
D
Gastón Benavídez
32'
D
7
Steven Mendoza
32'
M
Steven Mendoza
32'
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
32'
M
Luiz Gustavo
32'
M
16
Jádson
32'
M
Jádson
32'
M
12
Gilberto
32'
M
Gilberto
32'
M
8
João Cruz
32'
F
João Cruz
32'
F
21
Leozinho
32'
F
Leozinho
32'
F
9
Kevin Viveros
1 👟
32'
F
Kevin Viveros
1 👟
32'
F
Bench
10
Bruno Zapelli
M
Bruno Zapelli
M
47
Chiqueti
M
Chiqueti
M
25
Dantas
D
Dantas
D
53
Dudu
M
Dudu
M
5
Felipinho
D
Felipinho
D
2
Gilberto Junior
D
Gilberto Junior
D
19
Jorge Rivaldo
F
Jorge Rivaldo
F
27
Juan Portilla
M
Juan Portilla
M
18
Kerwin Vargas
1 ⚽
F
Kerwin Vargas
1 ⚽
F
3
Léo
D
Léo
D
1
Mycael
G
Mycael
G
70
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
F
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
F
18
Tiago Volpi
32'
G
Tiago Volpi
32'
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
32'
D
Juninho Capixaba
32'
D
16
Gustavo Marques
32'
D
Gustavo Marques
32'
D
14
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
32'
D
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
32'
D
23
A. Sant'Anna
1 👟
32'
D
A. Sant'Anna
1 👟
32'
D
6
Gabriel
32'
M
Gabriel
32'
M
35
Matheus Fernandes
32'
M
Matheus Fernandes
32'
M
17
Vinicius
32'
M
Vinicius
32'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
32'
M
Lucas Barbosa
32'
M
32
J. Herrera
32'
M
J. Herrera
32'
M
9
I. Pitta
32'
F
I. Pitta
32'
F
Bench
4
Alix
D
Alix
D
51
Cauê Nascimento Santos
D
Cauê Nascimento Santos
D
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
3
Eduardo Santos
D
Eduardo Santos
D
8
Eduardo Sasha
F
Eduardo Sasha
F
7
Eric Ramires
M
Eric Ramires
M
5
Fabinho
M
Fabinho
M
22
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
15
I. Sosa
M
I. Sosa
M
34
José Andrés Hurtado
D
José Andrés Hurtado
D
41
Yuri Alves de Aquino
M
Yuri Alves de Aquino
M
Best on the pitch
Tiago Volpi
G · RB
7.90
· 11 pass
Pedro Henrique
D · RB
7.70
1 ⚽
· 9 pass
Gastón Benavídez
D · Atletico
7.00
· 20 pass
Steven Mendoza
M · Atletico
6.90
2 shots
· 15 pass
Jádson
M · Atletico
6.90
· 27 pass
Gilberto
M · Atletico
6.90
2 shots
· 18 pass
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gastón Benavídez | D | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Steven Mendoza | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Gilberto | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| João Cruz | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Leozinho | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Viveros | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 32 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 32 | 7.70 | 1 | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sant'Anna | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 28% to a draw, and 20% to an RB Bragantino win.