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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 13 April 26, 2026 23:30
Atletico Paranaense
#5 · 54 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Vitoria
#15 · 38 pts
K. Viveros 34' (pen.)
K. Viveros 90'+2
Luiz Gustavo (ast. G. Benavidez) 90'+8
22' (ast. Matheuzinho) Rene
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 51% win probability (draw 27%, Vitoria 20%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria. In 3 previous meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
2
3.64
Actual xG
0.65
1
Saves
8
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
4
12
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Luiz Gustavo
8'
12'
Edenilson
22'
ast. Matheuzinho · Rene⚽
⚽K. Viveros (pen.)
34'
43'
Emmanuel Martinez
46'
Ronald Lopes / Edenilson ↕
G. Benavidez
56'
↕ Joao Cruz / Dudu Kogitzki
63'
Arthur Dias
68'
74'
D. Tarzia / Matheuzinho ↕
74'
Fabricio / Rene ↕
↕ J. Portilla / B. Zapelli
80'
80'
Marinho / Erick ↕
↕ Bruninho / Chiqueti
80'
88'
Ze Vitor
↕ S. Mendoza / Renan Peixoto
89'
Santos
90'+1
⚽K. Viveros
90'+2
90'+4
Lucas Silva / Ze Vitor ↕
B. Zapelli
90'+5
90'+5
Lucas Silva
⚽Luiz Gustavo · ast. G. Benavidez
90'+8
O. Hellmann
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
51.84%
Atletico ←
27.26%
X
20.9%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense) 51.84% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.54
3.64
+2.1
Vitoria
0.68
0.65
-0.03
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 33 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 6.30
37 L. Esquivel L. Esquivel D 7.70
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 6.70
22 C. Terán C. Terán D 6.20
7 S. Mendoza S. Mendoza M 6.60
14 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo 1 ⚽ M 7.70
27 J. Portilla J. Portilla 79' M 6.70
29 G. Benavidez G. Benavidez 1 👟 M 7.60
8
63' F 6.70
48
Bruninho 80' F 7.00
9 K. Viveros K. Viveros 2 ⚽ F 8.90
Bench
10 B. Zapelli B. Zapelli 21' M 6.90
53 Dudu Kogitzki Dudu Kogitzki 37' M 6.50
33 F. Aguirre F. Aguirre D
Vitoria Vitoria 4-3-3
1
G 8.30
13 Ramon Ramon D 5.70
36
D 6.00
25 Cacá Cacá D 5.90
26 Edenilson Edenilson 45' D 6.20
6 Emmanuel Martínez Emmanuel Martínez M 6.60
95 Caique Gonçalves Caique Gonçalves M 6.70
88 Zé Vitor Zé Vitor M 5.60
10 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho 1 👟 74' F 7.00
91 Renê Sousa Renê Sousa 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.50
33 Erick Erick 79' F 7.20
Bench
17 Aitor Cantalapiedra Aitor Cantalapiedra F
12 Diego Tarzia Diego Tarzia 26' D 6.00
20 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 6' F
8 Ronald Ronald 55' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
K. Viveros
K. Viveros
F · Atletico
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
G · Vitoria
8.30
· 27 pass
L. Esquivel
L. Esquivel
D · Atletico
7.70
1 shots · 50 pass
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo
M · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots · 48 pass
G. Benavidez
G. Benavidez
M · Atletico
7.60
1 👟
· 36 pass
Renê Sousa
Renê Sousa
F · Vitoria
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 100 6.30 — — — 9 8% — 1 —
L. Esquivel D 100 7.70 — — 1 50 41% 2 — —
Arthur Dias D 100 6.70 — — 1 41 37% 3 1 —
C. Terán D 100 6.20 — — — 40 37% — — —
S. Mendoza M 90 6.60 — — 1 40 37% — — —
Luiz Gustavo M 100 7.70 1 — 5 48 43% 2 1 —
J. Portilla M 79 6.70 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
G. Benavidez M 100 7.60 — 1 — 36 26% — 1 —
F 63 6.70 — — 3 17 12% 2 — —
Bruninho F 80 7.00 — — 4 20 19% 1 — —
K. Viveros F 100 8.90 2 — 4 14 11% — — —
B. Zapelli M 21 6.90 — — — 13 12% — 1 —
Dudu Kogitzki M 37 6.50 — — — 9 6% — — —
Vitoria Vitoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 8.30 — — — 27 11% — — —
Ramon D 100 5.70 — — — 28 14% — — —
D 100 6.00 — — 1 13 12% — — —
Cacá D 100 5.90 — — — 16 14% — — —
Edenilson D 45 6.20 — — — 9 7% 2 1 —
Emmanuel Martínez M 100 6.60 — — 1 31 27% 3 1 —
Caique Gonçalves M 100 6.70 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Zé Vitor M 94 5.60 — — — 29 20% 2 1 —
Matheuzinho F 74 7.00 — 1 — 25 20% 1 — —
Renê Sousa F 74 7.50 1 — 3 7 5% — — —
Erick F 79 7.20 — — — 16 13% — — —
Diego Tarzia D 26 6.00 — — — 2 1% — — —
Lucas Silva F 6 — — — — — — — 1 —
Ronald M 55 6.50 — — 1 6 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an Vitoria win.