Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 13
April 27, 2026 01:30
K. Viveros
34'
(pen.)
K. Viveros
90'+2
Luiz Gustavo
(ast. G. Benavidez)
90'+8
22'
(ast. Matheuzinho)
Rene
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 51% win probability (draw 27%, Vitoria 20%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
11
Shots on target
2
3.64
Actual xG
0.65
1
Saves
8
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
4
12
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Luiz Gustavo
8'
12'
Edenilson
22'
ast. Matheuzinho ·
Rene⚽
⚽K. Viveros
(pen.)
34'
43'
Emmanuel Martinez
46'
Ronald Lopes
/
Edenilson
G. Benavidez
56'
Joao Cruz
/ Dudu Kogitzki
63'
Arthur Dias
68'
74'
D. Tarzia
/
Matheuzinho
74'
Fabricio
/
Rene
J. Portilla
/ B. Zapelli
80'
80'
Marinho
/
Erick
Bruninho
/ Chiqueti
80'
88'
Ze Vitor
S. Mendoza
/ Renan Peixoto
89'
Santos
90'+1
⚽K. Viveros
90'+2
90'+4
Lucas Silva
/
Ze Vitor
B. Zapelli
90'+5
90'+5
Lucas Silva
⚽Luiz Gustavo
· ast. G. Benavidez
90'+8
O. Hellmann
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
51.84%
Atletico ←
27.26%
X
20.9%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
51.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
3.64
+2.1
0.68
0.65
-0.03
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
37
L. Esquivel
D
L. Esquivel
D
4
Arthur Dias
D
Arthur Dias
D
22
Carlos Terán
D
Carlos Terán
D
7
S. Mendoza
M
S. Mendoza
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
1 ⚽
M
Luiz Gustavo
1 ⚽
M
27
Juan Portilla
79'
M
Juan Portilla
79'
M
29
G. Benavídez
1 👟
M
G. Benavídez
1 👟
M
8
63'
F
48
Bruno Braga Ramos
80'
F
Bruno Braga Ramos
80'
F
9
K. Viveros
2 ⚽
F
K. Viveros
2 ⚽
F
Bench
10
B. Zapelli
21'
M
B. Zapelli
21'
M
53
Dudu
37'
M
Dudu
37'
M
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
1
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
26
Edenilson
45'
D
Edenilson
45'
D
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
95
Caique Gonçalves
M
Caique Gonçalves
M
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
10
Matheuzinho
1 👟
74'
F
Matheuzinho
1 👟
74'
F
91
Rene
1 ⚽
74'
F
Rene
1 ⚽
74'
F
33
Erick
79'
F
Erick
79'
F
Bench
17
A. Cantalapiedra
F
12
Diego Tarzia
26'
D
Diego Tarzia
26'
D
20
Lucas Silva
6'
F
Lucas Silva
6'
F
8
Ronald
55'
M
Ronald
55'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Viveros
F · Atletico
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
G · Vitoria
8.30
· 27 pass
L. Esquivel
D · Atletico
7.70
1 shots
· 50 pass
Luiz Gustavo
M · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 48 pass
G. Benavídez
M · Atletico
7.60
1 👟
· 36 pass
Rene
F · Vitoria
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 100 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Terán | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 100 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 48 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan Portilla | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 100 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| Bruno Braga Ramos | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 100 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Dudu | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Ramon | D | 100 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D | 100 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Cacá | D | 100 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | M | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matheuzinho | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Rene | F | 74 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Erick | F | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 26 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ronald | M | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an Vitoria win.