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Atletico Paranaense - Vitoria

Copa do Brasil August 04, 2026 02:00
Atletico Paranaense
vs
Vitoria
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.58%
Win
Atletico Paranaense
29.78%
Draw
24.64%
Win
Vitoria
1.54
Expected xG
0.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.01%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 30%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 54%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Paranaense a 45% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Vitoria. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atletico Paranaense and 0.8 for Vitoria (total 2.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.01% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vitoria.

Season Stats

Atletico Paranaense
4W 3D 3L
Vitoria
2W 0D 2L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.0
0.6
Conceded
1.0
4.3
Shots OT
0.0
5.0
Corners
6.0
48%
Poss.
—
Percentages
40%
O 1.5
75%
20%
O 2.5
25%
20%
BTTS
25%
60%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
Atletico Paranaense
3W 1D 1L · at home
Vitoria
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.4
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
20%
O 1.5
50%
20%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
0%
20%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
50%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico Paranaense Vitoria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 15.0% 11.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
D Atletico Goianiense 0–0
D Atletico Goianiense 0–0
L Corinthians 2–0
L Corinthians 0–1
W Sao Paulo 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Vitoria Vitoria
W Flamengo 2–0
L Flamengo 2–1
L Nautico Recife 0–2
W Maranhão 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Attack
33
Defence
75
Form
58
Vitoria Vitoria
Attack
31
Defence
61
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Atletico Paranaense
0
Draw
0
Vitoria
26 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série A 3–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The model gives Atletico Paranaense a 45% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 24% for an Vitoria win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Expected goals: Atletico Paranaense 1.5, Vitoria 0.8 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.01%.