Liga MX
· Apertura - 1
July 18, 2026 03:00
S. Salles-Lamonge
46'
R. Llorente
(ast. L. Flores)
50'
(pen.)
63'
G. Fernandez
81'
(ast. L. Romero)
J. Marquez
90'+3
(ast. C. Rodriguez)
J. Marquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Atletico San Luis 32%). The final result was Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico San Luis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
9
1.28
Actual xG
3.02
6
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Llorente
14'
33'
C. Rodriguez
⚽S. Salles-Lamonge
46'
⚽R. Llorente
· ast. L. Flores
50'
56'
G. Fernandez
/
C. Ebere
56'
L. Romero
/
O. Campos
56'
N. Ibanez
/
A. Palavecino
63'
(pen.)
G. Fernandez⚽
L. Flores
/ R. Najera
71'
Robson Bambu
75'
D. Rodriguez
/ M. Garcia
76'
Lucas Esteves
/ A. Duarte
77'
77'
A. Montano
/
E. Lira
81'
ast. L. Romero ·
J. Marquez⚽
87'
A. Garcia
/
J. Paradela
R. Llorente
/ S. Munoz
88'
90'+3
ast. C. Rodriguez ·
J. Marquez⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.57%
Atletico
32.73%
X
34.7%
Cruz ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
34.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
1.28
+0.08
1.52
3.02
+1.5
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (3.02 vs 1.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Sánchez
G
A. Sánchez
G
18
A. Cruz
D
A. Cruz
D
31
E. Águila
D
E. Águila
D
3
Robson Bambu
D
Robson Bambu
D
16
Lucas Esteves
77'
M
Lucas Esteves
77'
M
10
S. Salles-Lamonge
1 ⚽
M
S. Salles-Lamonge
1 ⚽
M
21
Ó. Macías
M
Ó. Macías
M
2
R. Torres
M
R. Torres
M
22
Rafa Llorente
88'
F
Rafa Llorente
88'
F
11
D. Rodríguez
76'
F
D. Rodríguez
76'
F
20
L. Flores
1 👟
70'
F
L. Flores
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
17
A. Duarte
13'
F
A. Duarte
13'
F
30
B. Galindo
D
B. Galindo
D
25
G. Lajud
G
G. Lajud
G
8
L. Nájera
20'
M
L. Nájera
20'
M
188
Luis Carillo
D
Luis Carillo
D
14
M. García
14'
M
M. García
14'
M
5
R. Meraz
M
R. Meraz
M
19
S. Muñóz
11'
F
S. Muñóz
11'
F
26
S. Pérez Bouquet
M
S. Pérez Bouquet
M
23
K. Mier
G
K. Mier
G
3
O. Campos
56'
D
O. Campos
56'
D
33
G. Piovi
D
G. Piovi
D
4
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
16
J. Márquez
2 ⚽
D
J. Márquez
2 ⚽
D
8
A. Palavecino
56'
M
A. Palavecino
56'
M
6
É. Lira
77'
M
É. Lira
77'
M
29
C. Rotondi
M
C. Rotondi
M
19
C. Rodríguez
1 👟
M
C. Rodríguez
1 👟
M
20
J. Paradela
87'
M
J. Paradela
87'
M
11
C. Ebere
56'
F
C. Ebere
56'
F
Bench
17
A. García
12'
M
A. García
12'
M
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
10
A. Montaño
13'
M
A. Montaño
13'
M
12
A. Montes
D
A. Montes
D
21
G. Fernández
1 ⚽
34'
F
G. Fernández
1 ⚽
34'
F
5
J. Orozco
D
J. Orozco
D
22
J. Rodarte
D
J. Rodarte
D
18
L. Romero
1 👟
34'
F
L. Romero
1 👟
34'
F
7
N. Ibáñez
34'
F
N. Ibáñez
34'
F
55
R. Gonzalez
M
R. Gonzalez
M
Best on the pitch
J. Márquez
D · Cruz
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 56 pass
Rafa Llorente
F · Atletico
7.90
4 shots
· 12 pass
C. Rodríguez
M · Cruz
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 47 pass
S. Salles-Lamonge
M · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 54 pass
L. Romero
F · Cruz
7.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
G. Fernández
F · Cruz
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Cruz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Águila | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Robson Bambu | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Esteves | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Salles-Lamonge | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 54 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Ó. Macías | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Torres | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Llorente | F | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Rodríguez | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Duarte | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Nájera | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. García | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Muñóz | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mier | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 56 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | D | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| É. Lira | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. García | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Montaño | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 34 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 34 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ibáñez | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Atletico San Luis win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Cruz Azul win.