Liga MX
· Apertura - 1
July 18, 2026 03:00
S. Salles-Lamonge
46'
R. Llorente
(ast. L. Flores)
50'
(pen.)
63'
G. Fernandez
81'
(ast. L. Romero)
J. Marquez
90'+3
(ast. C. Rodriguez)
J. Marquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Atletico San Luis 32%). The final result was Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico San Luis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
9
1.28
Actual xG
3.02
6
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Llorente
14'
33'
C. Rodriguez
⚽S. Salles-Lamonge
46'
⚽R. Llorente
· ast. L. Flores
50'
56'
G. Fernandez
/
C. Ebere
56'
L. Romero
/
O. Campos
56'
N. Ibanez
/
A. Palavecino
63'
(pen.)
G. Fernandez⚽
L. Flores
/ R. Najera
71'
Robson Bambu
75'
D. Rodriguez
/ M. Garcia
76'
Lucas Esteves
/ A. Duarte
77'
77'
A. Montano
/
E. Lira
81'
ast. L. Romero ·
J. Marquez⚽
87'
A. Garcia
/
J. Paradela
R. Llorente
/ S. Munoz
88'
90'+3
ast. C. Rodriguez ·
J. Marquez⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.57%
Atletico
32.73%
X
34.7%
Cruz ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
34.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
1.28
+0.08
1.52
3.02
+1.5
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (3.02 vs 1.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andrés Sánchez
G
Andrés Sánchez
G
18
Aldo Cruz
D
Aldo Cruz
D
31
Eduardo Águila
D
Eduardo Águila
D
3
Robson Bambu
D
Robson Bambu
D
16
Lucas Esteves
77'
M
Lucas Esteves
77'
M
10
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
1 ⚽
M
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
1 ⚽
M
21
Oscar Macías
M
Oscar Macías
M
2
Román Torres
M
Román Torres
M
22
Rafa Llorente
88'
F
Rafa Llorente
88'
F
11
David Rodriguez
76'
F
David Rodriguez
76'
F
20
Leonardo Flores
1 👟
70'
F
Leonardo Flores
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
17
Anderson Duarte
13'
F
Anderson Duarte
13'
F
30
Benjamín Galindo
D
Benjamín Galindo
D
25
Gibran Lajud
G
Gibran Lajud
G
188
Luis Carillo
D
Luis Carillo
D
14
Miguel Alonso García
14'
M
Miguel Alonso García
14'
M
5
Roberto Meraz
M
Roberto Meraz
M
8
Ronaldo Nájera
20'
M
Ronaldo Nájera
20'
M
19
Santiago Muñoz
11'
F
Santiago Muñoz
11'
F
26
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
M
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
M
23
Kevin Mier
G
Kevin Mier
G
3
Omar Campos
56'
D
Omar Campos
56'
D
33
Gonzalo Piovi
D
Gonzalo Piovi
D
4
Willer Ditta
D
Willer Ditta
D
16
J. Márquez
2 ⚽
D
J. Márquez
2 ⚽
D
8
Agustín Palavecino
56'
M
Agustín Palavecino
56'
M
6
Erik Lira
77'
M
Erik Lira
77'
M
29
Carlos Rotondi
M
Carlos Rotondi
M
19
C. Rodríguez
1 👟
M
C. Rodríguez
1 👟
M
20
J. Paradela
87'
M
J. Paradela
87'
M
11
C. Ebere
56'
F
C. Ebere
56'
F
Bench
12
Alan Montes
D
Alan Montes
D
17
Amaury Garcia
12'
M
Amaury Garcia
12'
M
1
Andrés Gudiño
G
Andrés Gudiño
G
10
Andres Montaño
13'
M
Andres Montaño
13'
M
21
Gabriel Fernández
1 ⚽
34'
F
Gabriel Fernández
1 ⚽
34'
F
5
Jesús Orozco
D
Jesús Orozco
D
22
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
D
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
D
18
L. Romero
1 👟
34'
F
L. Romero
1 👟
34'
F
7
N. Ibáñez
34'
F
N. Ibáñez
34'
F
55
Rogelio González
M
Rogelio González
M
Best on the pitch
J. Márquez
D · Cruz
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 56 pass
Rafa Llorente
F · Atletico
7.90
4 shots
· 12 pass
C. Rodríguez
M · Cruz
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 47 pass
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
M · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 54 pass
L. Romero
F · Cruz
7.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
Gabriel Fernández
F · Cruz
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Aldo Cruz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Águila | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Robson Bambu | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Esteves | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sébastien Salles-Lamonge | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 54 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Macías | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Román Torres | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Llorente | F | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| David Rodriguez | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Flores | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Anderson Duarte | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Alonso García | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo Nájera | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Muñoz | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mier | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Omar Campos | D | 56 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Piovi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| Willer Ditta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | D | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Palavecino | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Erik Lira | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Rotondi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Amaury Garcia | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Andres Montaño | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Fernández | F | 34 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 34 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ibáñez | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Atletico San Luis win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Cruz Azul win.