Liga MX · Clausura - 12 March 22, 2026 02:00

Atletico San Luis

#13 · 12 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Leon

#5 · 17 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico San Luis, result Leon wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico San Luis a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Leon 22%). The final result was Atletico San Luis 1–2 Leon. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico San Luis have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leon.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

9

0.71

Actual xG

1.44

49%

Possession

51%

5

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

56.31%

Atletico

20.77%

X

22.93%

Leon ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Leon) 22.93% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atletico

2.18

0.71

-1.47

Leon

1.24

1.44

+0.2

Leon dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Toluca	10	20
2	Club America	9	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	18
4	Club Queretaro	9	17
5	Leon	10	17
6	Atlas	10	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	14
9	Puebla	10	14
10	Monterrey	9	13
11	CF Pachuca	10	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	10	12
13	Atletico San Luis	10	12
14	Atlante FC	10	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	10
17	Necaxa	10	8
18	FC Juarez	10	3