Liga MX
· Apertura - 5
August 24, 2026 01:00
R. Najera
(ast. F. Mora)
83'
90'+3
(ast. N. Vallejo)
C. Moreno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico San Luis 33%). The final result was Atletico San Luis 1–1 CF Pachuca. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico San Luis have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
2
2.16
Actual xG
0.67
1
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
1
Corners
4
24
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
19'
S. D. Barreto
33'
Eduardo Bauermann
36'
Kenedy
40'
J. Berlanga
/
Kenedy
O. Macias
/ R. Llorente
46'
B. Galindo
/ A. Cruz
46'
58'
N. Vallejo
/
A. Bautista
58'
A. Alcaraz
/
S. Rondon
D. Rodriguez
/ R. Najera
62'
A. Duarte
/ B. Galdames
72'
78'
M. Isais
/
O. Idrissi
78'
S. Rodriguez
/
E. Montiel
R. Torres
/ S. Munoz
80'
⚽R. Najera
· ast. F. Mora
83'
90'+3
ast. N. Vallejo ·
C. Moreno⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.54%
Atletico
31.65%
X ←
34.81%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
2.16
+0.91
1.14
0.67
-0.47
Atletico San Luis dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Sánchez
G
A. Sánchez
G
31
E. Águila
D
E. Águila
D
14
M. García
D
M. García
D
30
B. Galindo
45'
D
B. Galindo
45'
D
17
A. Duarte
72'
M
A. Duarte
72'
M
21
Ó. Macías
45'
M
Ó. Macías
45'
M
13
J. Caicedo
M
J. Caicedo
M
2
R. Torres
80'
M
R. Torres
80'
M
10
S. Salles-Lamonge
F
S. Salles-Lamonge
F
11
D. Rodríguez
62'
F
D. Rodríguez
62'
F
99
F. Mora
1 👟
F
F. Mora
1 👟
F
Bench
18
A. Cruz
45'
D
A. Cruz
45'
D
7
B. Galdames
18'
M
B. Galdames
18'
M
25
G. Lajud
G
G. Lajud
G
20
L. Flores
F
L. Flores
F
8
L. Nájera
1 ⚽
28'
M
L. Nájera
1 ⚽
28'
M
16
Lucas Esteves
D
Lucas Esteves
D
22
Rafa Llorente
45'
M
Rafa Llorente
45'
M
5
R. Meraz
M
R. Meraz
M
19
S. Muñóz
10'
F
S. Muñóz
10'
F
26
S. Pérez Bouquet
M
S. Pérez Bouquet
M
25
C. Moreno
1 ⚽
G
C. Moreno
1 ⚽
G
15
F. Venegas
D
F. Venegas
D
2
S. Barreto
D
S. Barreto
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
33'
D
Eduardo Bauermann
33'
D
14
C. Sánchez
D
C. Sánchez
D
10
E. Montiel
78'
M
E. Montiel
78'
M
16
C. Rivera
M
C. Rivera
M
11
O. Idrissi
78'
M
O. Idrissi
78'
M
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
58'
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
58'
M
29
Kenedy
40'
M
Kenedy
40'
M
23
S. Rondón
58'
F
S. Rondón
58'
F
Bench
9
Adrián Alcaraz
32'
M
Adrián Alcaraz
32'
M
22
A. Mozo
D
A. Mozo
D
211
C. Hernandez
F
C. Hernandez
F
31
J. Eulogio
G
J. Eulogio
G
13
Jorge Berlanga
50'
D
Jorge Berlanga
50'
D
6
M. Isaís
12'
D
M. Isaís
12'
D
21
N. Vallejo
1 👟
32'
F
N. Vallejo
1 👟
32'
F
7
R. Pizarro
M
R. Pizarro
M
30
S. Rodríguez
12'
M
S. Rodríguez
12'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Salles-Lamonge
F · Atletico
7.30
2 shots
· 63 pass
A. Duarte
M · Atletico
7.20
· 24 pass
Jorge Berlanga
D · CF
7.20
· 11 pass
E. Águila
D · Atletico
7.00
· 89 pass
C. Rivera
M · CF
7.00
· 36 pass
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M · CF
6.90
· 19 pass
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Águila | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 89 | 78% | 5 | — | — |
| M. García | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 100 | 94% | — | — | — |
| B. Galindo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Duarte | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Ó. Macías | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 67% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Torres | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| S. Salles-Lamonge | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Rodríguez | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Mora | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Cruz | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Galdames | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Nájera | M | 28 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Llorente | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Muñóz | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Venegas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Barreto | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 33 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | 1 |
| C. Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 40 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Berlanga | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Isaís | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Atletico San Luis 1–1 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Atletico San Luis win, 31% to a draw, and 34% to an CF Pachuca win.