Liga MX
· Clausura - 16
April 23, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico San Luis
L. Flores
(ast. Joao Pedro Galvao)
86'
Joao Pedro Galvao
(ast. A. Duarte)
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico San Luis a 57% win probability (draw 24%, Santos Laguna 18%). The final result was Atletico San Luis 2–0 Santos Laguna. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico San Luis have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
1
2.09
Actual xG
0.35
1
Saves
6
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
6
17
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
A. Sanchez
17'
37'
A. Lopez
Joao Pedro Galvao
40'
Lucas Esteves
/ L. Flores
46'
R. Meraz
50'
R. Meraz
/ A. Duarte
57'
E. Aguila
64'
70'
L. Gomez
/
A. Lopez
D. Rodriguez
/ S. Munoz
76'
E. Aguila
/ Juanpe
77'
81'
C. Dajome
/
E. Bullaude
⚽L. Flores
· ast. Joao Pedro Galvao
86'
90'+3
J. Abella
/
K. Picon
90'+3
R. Sordo
/
F. Villalba
90'+3
T. Jimenez
/
S. Mariscal Murra
⚽Joao Pedro Galvao
· ast. A. Duarte
90'+6
O. Macias
/ J. Dominguez
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.31%
Atletico ←
24.46%
X
18.23%
Santos
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico San Luis)
57.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.69
2.09
+0.4
0.77
0.35
-0.42
Atletico San Luis dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Andrés Sánchez
G
18
A. Cruz
D
31
E. Aguila
77'
D
3
D
2
D
15
Lucas Esteves
45'
M
21
O. Macias
89'
M
5
R. Meraz
57'
M
11
D. Rodriguez
76'
M
10
F
9
Joao Pedro Galvao
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
17
A. Duarte
1 👟
33'
F
7
B. Galdames
M
20
L. Flores
1 ⚽
45'
F
26
S. Perez
M
33
G
17
E. Echeverria
D
2
B. Amione
D
35
K. Balanta
D
22
K. Picon
89'
D
6
J. Guemez
M
8
S. Mariscal Murra
89'
M
5
A. Lopez
70'
M
21
F. Villalba
89'
M
9
L. Di Yorio
F
10
E. Bullaude
81'
F
Bench
7
C. Dajome
9'
F
14
E. Orona
M
193
L. Gomez
20'
M
195
N. Cedillo
M
29
T. Jimenez
1'
F
Best on the pitch
Joao Pedro Galvao
F · Atletico
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 11 pass
E. Aguila
D · Atletico
7.70
1 shots
· 24 pass
A. Cruz
D · Atletico
7.60
· 48 pass
F · Atletico
7.50
· 40 pass
Lucas Esteves
M · Atletico
7.30
1 shots
· 8 pass
O. Macias
M · Atletico
7.30
· 39 pass
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cruz | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Aguila | D | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Esteves | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Macias | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Meraz | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Rodriguez | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 2 | — | — | |
| Joao Pedro Galvao | F | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Duarte | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 45 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| E. Echeverria | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Amione | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Balanta | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Picon | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Guemez | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mariscal Murra | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Lopez | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Villalba | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| L. Di Yorio | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Bullaude | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Dajome | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Gomez | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Jimenez | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was Atletico San Luis 2–0 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Atletico San Luis win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Santos Laguna win.