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Atletico Torque - Atletico-MG

Copa Sudamericana October 21, 2026 22:00
Atletico Torque
#1 · 13 pts
vs
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.35%
Win
Atletico Torque
17.99%
Draw
17.66%
Win
Atletico-MG
2.51
Expected xG
1.12
Most likely outcome
Atletico Torque
64.35%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 6 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.51%)
1X2 Result
1 64%
X 18%
2 18%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 36%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Torque a 64% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Atletico-MG. Expected goals are 2.5 for Atletico Torque and 1.1 for Atletico-MG (total 3.6), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.51% probability.

Season Stats

Atletico Torque
8W 1D 2L
Atletico-MG
7W 5D 3L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.5
0.7
Conceded
1.1
3.6
Shots OT
4.1
4.5
Corners
3.5
45%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
64%
O 1.5
67%
45%
O 2.5
47%
36%
BTTS
53%
55%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
19%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
Atletico Torque
6W 0D 0L · at home
Atletico-MG
3W 4D 3L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.9
0.3
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
30%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
30%
17%
O 3.5
20%
33%
BTTS
40%
67%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico Torque Atletico-MG →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% —
1 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 7.0% 7.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
W Cienciano 3–0
L Cienciano 2–0
W Tigre 2–1
W Tigre 0–1
D Gremio 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Santos 4–2
L Santos 2–0
D RB Bragantino 2–2
W RB Bragantino 0–1
W Puerto Cabello 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
Attack
65
Defence
70
Form
78
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
45
Defence
66
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?
The model gives Atletico Torque a 64% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 17% for an Atletico-MG win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?
Expected goals: Atletico Torque 2.5, Atletico-MG 1.1 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.51%.