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Atletico Torque - Club Nacional

Primera División May 16, 2026 01:00
#6 · 23 pts
vs
#1 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off Partly cloudy 10.4°C 💨 12 km/h · Montevideo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.89%
Win
Atletico Torque
20.61%
Draw
39.5%
Win
Club Nacional
1.83
Expected xG
1.93

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Torque a 39% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 39% for Club Nacional. Expected goals are 1.8 for Atletico Torque and 1.9 for Club Nacional (total 3.8), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Torque have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Club Nacional.

Score Matrix
↕ Atletico Torque Club Nacional →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.3% 8.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.6% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Progreso 2–1
D Racing Montevideo 1–1
W Boston River 4–1
D Cerro 1–1
L Albion FC 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 35%
W Cerro 4–0
L Albion FC 3–2
L Danubio 1–2
W Liverpool Montevideo 1–3
L Deportivo Maldonado 4–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
Attack
36
Defence
69
Form
52
Club Nacional Club Nacional
Attack
57
Defence
59
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Atletico Torque
0
Draw
1
Club Nacional
L 28 Mar 2026 Primera División 2–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 15 31
1 Club Nacional Club Nacional 0 0
1 Cerro Cerro 0 0
2 Progreso Progreso 0 0
2 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 0 0
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 15 29
3 Albion FC Albion FC 15 28
3 Central Espanol Central Espanol 0 0
3 Danubio Danubio 0 0
4 Penarol Penarol 15 27
4 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0 0
4 Wanderers Wanderers 0 0
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 15 24
5 Penarol Penarol 0 0
5 Juventud Juventud 0 0
6 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 0 0
6 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0 0
6 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 15 23
7 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0 0
7 Club Nacional Club Nacional 15 22
7 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 0 0
8 Albion FC Albion FC 0 0
8 Boston River Boston River 0 0
8 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 15 21
9 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 15 20
10 Wanderers Wanderers 15 20
11 Danubio Danubio 15 18
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 15 17
13 Boston River Boston River 15 17
14 Juventud Juventud 15 15
15 Progreso Progreso 15 10
16 Cerro Cerro 15 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional?
The model gives Atletico Torque a 39% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 39% for an Club Nacional win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional?
Expected goals: Atletico Torque 1.8, Club Nacional 1.9 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.2%.