Atletico Tucuman - Independiente
Copa Argentina
August 13, 2026 00:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.11%
Win
Atletico Tucuman
33.35%
Draw
30.54%
Win
Independiente
1.01
0.7
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.07%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
33%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
64%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
✓ 75.0% hit rate (12 picks)
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Tucuman a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Independiente. Expected goals are 1.0 for Atletico Tucuman and 0.7 for Independiente (total 1.7), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.07% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
0L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
3.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Copa Argentina. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Atletico Tucuman
Independiente →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 18.3% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Atletico Tucuman
Attack
30
Defence
78
Form
54
Independiente
Attack
30
Defence
73
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?
The model gives Atletico Tucuman a 36% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 30% for an Independiente win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?
Expected goals: Atletico Tucuman 1.0, Independiente 0.7 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.07%.