Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — October 18, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 13 October 18, 2026 01:00 Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman

Atletico Tucuman

#10 · 17 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Rosario Central

#1 · 28 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central

Pedro Alexis Canelo (ast. Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez) 37'

Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez (ast. Leandro Díaz) 42'

3' (ast. Ángel Di María) Gaston Avila

6' (ast. Giovanni Ismael Cantizano) Gaston Avila

80' (ast. Álan Rodríguez) Julian Fernandez

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Atletico Tucuman 23%). The final result was Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Tucuman have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rosario Central.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.42

Actual xG

0.76

Saves

34%

Possession

66%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. Ángel Di María · Gaston Avila⚽

ast. Giovanni Ismael Cantizano · Gaston Avila⚽

César Leonel Vega

10'

30'

Álan Rodríguez

⚽Pedro Alexis Canelo · ast. Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez

37'

Leonel Di Plácido

38'

⚽Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez · ast. Leandro Díaz

42'

↕ César Leonel Vega / Ezequiel Ham

45'

Leandro Díaz

61'

70'

Giovanni Ismael Cantizano

↕ Pedro Alexis Canelo / Ignacio Galvan

74'

↕ Leonel Di Plácido / Maximiliano Villa

75'

78'

Julian Fernandez / Giovanni Ismael Cantizano ↕

78'

Marco Ruben / Enzo Copetti ↕

80'

ast. Álan Rodríguez · Julian Fernandez⚽

82'

Facundo Mallo / Emanuel Coronel ↕

↕ Franco Nicola / Nicolás Laméndola

82'

↕ Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez / Iván Tesuri

82'

90'+5

Franco Cervi / Jaminton Campaz ↕

90'+5

Juan Giménez / Ángel Di María ↕

Pre-match prediction

23.44%

Atletico

18.83%

57.74%

Rosario ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central) 57.74% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Atletico

1.41

1.42

+0.01

Rosario

2.52

0.76

-1.76

Atletico Tucuman dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rosario Central	14	28
2	Argentinos JRS	14	28
3	Gimnasia L.P.	14	25
4	River Plate	14	23
5	Belgrano Cordoba	14	22
6	Barracas Central	14	22
7	Sarmiento Junin	14	21
8	Huracan	14	19
9	Independ. Rivadavia	14	19
10	Atletico Tucuman	14	17
11	Banfield	14	14
12	Tigre	14	13
13	Racing Club	14	12
14	Aldosivi	14	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	9

Lineups

Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1

L. Ingolotti G 6.91

J. Infante D 6.21

Luciano Vallejo D 6.47

C. Ferreira D 6.45

L. Di Plácido 75' D 6.02

L. Vega 45' M 5.82

A. Canelo 1 ⚽ 74' M 6.76

F. Nicola 82' M 6.25

L. Godoy M 6.41

R. Ruíz Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' M 8.34

L. Díaz 1 👟 F 7.05

Bench

E. Ham 45' M 5.90

G. Compagnucci D 0.00

G. Ferrari D 0.00

I. Galván 16' D 5.70

J. Fernández M 0.00

J. Rodríguez D 0.00

M. Brondo F 0.00

M. Villa 15' D 5.96

N. Laméndola 8' F 6.35

R. Granillo F 0.00

R. Tesuri 8' M 5.84

T. Durso G 0.00

Rosario Central 4-2-3-1

J. Ledesma G 6.66

A. Sandez D 6.61

G. Ávila 2 ⚽ D 8.90

Ignacio Ovando D 6.67

E. Coronel 82' D 6.75

V. Pizarro M 6.22

A. Rodríguez 1 👟 M 7.70

J. Campaz M 6.42

Á. Di María 1 👟 M 7.70

G. Cantizano 1 👟 78' M 7.08

E. Copetti 78' F 6.42

Bench

A. Soto D 0.00

E. Veron D 0.00

F. Cervi 1' M 0.00

F. Mallo 8' D 6.10

J. Fernández 1 ⚽ 12' F 7.77

J. Komar D 0.00

Juan Valentín Giménez 1' D 0.00

M. Ruben 12' F 6.85

S. Zaracho D 0.00

T. Badaloni F 0.00

Best on the pitch

G. Ávila

D · Rosario

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 77 pass

R. Ruíz Rodríguez

M · Atletico

8.34

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 10 pass

J. Fernández

F · Rosario

7.77

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Á. Di María

M · Rosario

7.70

1 👟

4 shots · 54 pass

A. Rodríguez

M · Rosario

7.70

1 👟

· 69 pass

G. Cantizano

M · Rosario

7.08

1 👟

· 29 pass

Atletico Tucuman — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Ingolotti	G	90	6.91	—	—	0	18	6%	0	—	—
J. Infante	D	90	6.21	—	—	0	19	13%	2	—	—
Luciano Vallejo	D	90	6.47	—	—	1	17	14%	2	—	—
C. Ferreira	D	90	6.45	—	—	1	28	20%	3	—	—
L. Di Plácido	D	75	6.02	—	—	0	21	17%	2	1	—
L. Vega	M	45	5.82	—	—	0	14	11%	2	1	—
A. Canelo	M	74	6.76	1	—	2	26	17%	2	—	—
F. Nicola	M	82	6.25	—	—	3	25	22%	0	—	—
L. Godoy	M	90	6.41	—	—	1	35	27%	1	—	—
R. Ruíz Rodríguez	M	82	8.34	1	1	4	10	8%	0	—	—
L. Díaz	F	90	7.05	—	1	3	11	8%	0	1	—
E. Ham	M	45	5.90	—	—	0	10	9%	1	—	—
I. Galván	D	16	5.70	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
M. Villa	D	15	5.96	—	—	0	7	7%	0	—	—
N. Laméndola	F	8	6.35	—	—	0	4	3%	1	—	—
R. Tesuri	M	8	5.84	—	—	0	4	3%	1	—	—

Rosario Central — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Ledesma	G	90	6.66	—	—	0	20	18%	0	—	—
A. Sandez	D	90	6.61	—	—	1	26	23%	2	—	—
G. Ávila	D	90	8.90	2	—	3	77	67%	0	—	—
Ignacio Ovando	D	90	6.67	—	—	0	79	75%	0	—	—
E. Coronel	D	82	6.75	—	—	0	54	49%	4	—	—
V. Pizarro	M	90	6.22	—	—	1	61	49%	4	—	—
A. Rodríguez	M	90	7.70	—	1	0	69	63%	2	1	—
J. Campaz	M	95	6.42	—	—	1	31	24%	0	—	—
Á. Di María	M	95	7.70	—	1	4	54	41%	1	—	—
G. Cantizano	M	78	7.08	—	1	0	29	23%	1	1	—
E. Copetti	F	78	6.42	—	—	2	17	11%	0	—	—
F. Cervi	M	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
F. Mallo	D	8	6.10	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
J. Fernández	F	12	7.77	1	—	1	7	6%	0	—	—
Juan Valentín Giménez	D	1	0.00	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
M. Ruben	F	12	6.85	—	—	3	3	2%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

The final score was Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central.

What did the model predict before Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

The model assigned 23% probability to a Atletico Tucuman win, 18% to a draw, and 57% to an Rosario Central win.