Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 4
August 08, 2026 19:45
L. Vallejo
(ast. C. D. Ferreira Namandu)
81'
(pen.)
69'
J. Marabel
71'
J. Mavilla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Tucuman a 39% win probability (draw 37%, Sarmiento Junin 23%). The final result was Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Sarmiento Junin. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Tucuman have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sarmiento Junin.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
0.69
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
12
Corners
4
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
38'
M. Martinez
61'
G. Arturia
/
J. Insaurralde
61'
U. Gimenez
/
J. Contrera
61'
Diego Churin
/
J. Herrera
69'
(pen.)
J. Marabel⚽
71'
J. Mavilla⚽
N. Franco
/ M. Brondo
72'
80'
G. Gonzalez
/
J. Mavilla
N. Lamendola
/ A. Canelo
81'
M. Villa
/ R. Granillo
81'
⚽L. Vallejo
· ast. C. D. Ferreira Namandu
81'
R. Tesuri
/ L. Di Placido
81'
89'
G. Diaz
/
J. Marabel
90'+4
S. Salle
I. Galvan
/ R. Paunero
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.75%
Atletico
37.09%
X
23.15%
Sarmiento ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sarmiento Junin)
23.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
0.69
-0.1
0.55
1.41
+0.86
Sarmiento Junin dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Ingolotti
G
L. Ingolotti
G
21
I. Galván
D
I. Galván
D
36
Luciano Vallejo
1 ⚽
D
Luciano Vallejo
1 ⚽
D
26
C. Ferreira
1 👟
D
C. Ferreira
1 👟
D
3
M. Villa
81'
D
M. Villa
81'
D
5
J. Fernández
M
J. Fernández
M
23
N. Laméndola
80'
M
N. Laméndola
80'
M
10
F. Nicola
72'
M
F. Nicola
72'
M
31
L. Godoy
M
L. Godoy
M
11
R. Tesuri
81'
M
R. Tesuri
81'
M
18
R. Ruíz Rodríguez
F
R. Ruíz Rodríguez
F
Bench
8
E. Ham
M
E. Ham
M
22
F. Pimienta
F
F. Pimienta
F
28
G. Compagnucci
D
G. Compagnucci
D
6
G. Ferrari
D
G. Ferrari
D
17
Juan Gabriel Rodríguez
D
Juan Gabriel Rodríguez
D
45
Kevin Ortíz
M
Kevin Ortíz
M
24
L. Di Plácido
12'
D
L. Di Plácido
12'
D
30
M. Brondo
21'
F
M. Brondo
21'
F
2
Ramiro Paunero
3'
D
Ramiro Paunero
3'
D
27
R. Granillo
12'
F
R. Granillo
12'
F
25
T. Durso
G
T. Durso
G
12
T. Ayala
G
T. Ayala
G
3
L. Suárez
D
L. Suárez
D
2
J. Insaurralde
61'
D
J. Insaurralde
61'
D
44
R. Orihuela
D
R. Orihuela
D
8
S. Salle
D
S. Salle
D
21
J. Mavilla
1 ⚽
80'
M
J. Mavilla
1 ⚽
80'
M
16
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
M
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
M
15
C. Zabala
M
C. Zabala
M
19
J. Contrera
61'
M
J. Contrera
61'
M
24
J. Herrera
61'
F
J. Herrera
61'
F
27
J. Marabel
1 ⚽
89'
F
J. Marabel
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
9
D. Churín
32'
F
D. Churín
32'
F
23
E. Giménez
M
E. Giménez
M
35
Facundo Alaggia
M
Facundo Alaggia
M
6
G. Arturia
32'
D
G. Arturia
32'
D
33
G. Díaz
4'
D
G. Díaz
4'
D
22
G. González
13'
F
G. González
13'
F
1
I. Arboleda
G
I. Arboleda
G
10
Jhon Rentería
M
Jhon Rentería
M
5
M. García
M
M. García
M
7
P. Magnín
F
P. Magnín
F
29
T. Santamaría
D
T. Santamaría
D
20
U. Giménez
32'
D
U. Giménez
32'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Mavilla
M · Sarmiento
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
C. Ferreira
D · Atletico
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 45 pass
I. Galván
D · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Luciano Vallejo
D · Atletico
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
C. Zabala
M · Sarmiento
7.20
· 43 pass
J. Fernández
M · Atletico
7.00
· 28 pass
Atletico Tucuman — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ingolotti | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| I. Galván | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano Vallejo | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| C. Ferreira | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Villa | D | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Fernández | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Laméndola | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Nicola | M | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Godoy | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Tesuri | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ruíz Rodríguez | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Di Plácido | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Brondo | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ramiro Paunero | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Granillo | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ayala | G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Insaurralde | D | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Orihuela | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Salle | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mavilla | M | 80 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Mauricio Leonel Martínez | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Zabala | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Contrera | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Marabel | F | 89 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Churín | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Arturia | D | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Díaz | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| G. González | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| U. Giménez | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
The final score was Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Sarmiento Junin.
What did the model predict before Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Atletico Tucuman win, 37% to a draw, and 23% to an Sarmiento Junin win.