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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 4 August 08, 2026 19:45
Atletico Tucuman
#10 · 17 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Sarmiento Junin
#7 · 21 pts
L. Vallejo (ast. C. D. Ferreira Namandu) 81'
(pen.) 69' J. Marabel
71' J. Mavilla
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Tucuman a 39% win probability (draw 37%, Sarmiento Junin 23%). The final result was Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Sarmiento Junin. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Tucuman have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sarmiento Junin.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
0.69
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
12
Corners
4
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
38'
M. Martinez
61'
G. Arturia / J. Insaurralde ↕
61'
U. Gimenez / J. Contrera ↕
61'
Diego Churin / J. Herrera ↕
69'
(pen.) J. Marabel⚽
71'
J. Mavilla⚽
↕ N. Franco / M. Brondo
72'
80'
G. Gonzalez / J. Mavilla ↕
↕ N. Lamendola / A. Canelo
81'
↕ M. Villa / R. Granillo
81'
⚽L. Vallejo · ast. C. D. Ferreira Namandu
81'
↕ R. Tesuri / L. Di Placido
81'
89'
G. Diaz / J. Marabel ↕
90'+4
S. Salle
↕ I. Galvan / R. Paunero
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.75%
Atletico
37.09%
X
23.15%
Sarmiento ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sarmiento Junin) 23.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
0.79
0.69
-0.1
Sarmiento
0.55
1.41
+0.86
Sarmiento Junin dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.69). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 14 28
2 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 14 28
3 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 14 25
4 River Plate River Plate 14 23
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 14 22
6 Barracas Central Barracas Central 14 22
7 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 14 21
8 Huracan Huracan 14 19
9 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 14 19
10 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 14 17
11 Banfield Banfield 14 14
12 Tigre Tigre 14 13
13 Racing Club Racing Club 14 12
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 14 11
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 14 9
Lineups
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
1 L. Ingolotti L. Ingolotti G 6.30
21 I. Galván I. Galván D 7.20
36 Luciano Vallejo Luciano Vallejo 1 ⚽ D 7.20
26 C. Ferreira C. Ferreira 1 👟 D 7.70
3 M. Villa M. Villa 81' D 6.00
5 J. Fernández J. Fernández M 7.00
23 N. Laméndola N. Laméndola 80' M 6.30
10 F. Nicola F. Nicola 72' M 6.00
31 L. Godoy L. Godoy M 6.20
11 R. Tesuri R. Tesuri 81' M 6.00
18 R. Ruíz Rodríguez R. Ruíz Rodríguez F 6.90
Bench
8 E. Ham E. Ham M
22 F. Pimienta F. Pimienta F
28 G. Compagnucci G. Compagnucci D
6 G. Ferrari G. Ferrari D
17 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez D
45 Kevin Ortíz Kevin Ortíz M
24 L. Di Plácido L. Di Plácido 12' D 6.30
30 M. Brondo M. Brondo 21' F 6.70
2 Ramiro Paunero Ramiro Paunero 3' D
27 R. Granillo R. Granillo 12' F 6.70
25 T. Durso T. Durso G
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2
12 T. Ayala T. Ayala G 7.00
3 L. Suárez L. Suárez D 6.90
2 J. Insaurralde J. Insaurralde 61' D 6.50
44 R. Orihuela R. Orihuela D 6.50
8 S. Salle S. Salle D 6.60
21 J. Mavilla J. Mavilla 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.30
16 Mauricio Leonel Martínez Mauricio Leonel Martínez M 6.30
15 C. Zabala C. Zabala M 7.20
19 J. Contrera J. Contrera 61' M 6.30
24 J. Herrera J. Herrera 61' F 6.30
27 J. Marabel J. Marabel 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.30
Bench
9 D. Churín D. Churín 32' F 6.30
23 E. Giménez E. Giménez M
35 F. Alaggia F. Alaggia M
6 G. Arturia G. Arturia 32' D 6.50
33 G. Díaz G. Díaz 4' D
22 G. González G. González 13' F 6.30
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G
10 Jhon Rentería Jhon Rentería M
5 M. García M. García M
7 P. Magnín P. Magnín F
29 T. Santamaría T. Santamaría D
20 U. Giménez U. Giménez 32' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
J. Mavilla
J. Mavilla
M · Sarmiento
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
C. Ferreira
C. Ferreira
D · Atletico
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 45 pass
I. Galván
I. Galván
D · Atletico
7.20
1 shots · 34 pass
Luciano Vallejo
Luciano Vallejo
D · Atletico
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
C. Zabala
C. Zabala
M · Sarmiento
7.20
· 43 pass
J. Fernández
J. Fernández
M · Atletico
7.00
· 28 pass
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Ingolotti G 93 6.30 — — — 23 13% — — —
I. Galván D 90 7.20 — — 1 34 28% 2 — —
Luciano Vallejo D 93 7.20 1 — 1 32 28% — — —
C. Ferreira D 93 7.70 — 1 2 45 32% 1 — —
M. Villa D 81 6.00 — — 1 30 19% — — —
J. Fernández M 93 7.00 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
N. Laméndola M 80 6.30 — — — 20 14% 5 — —
F. Nicola M 72 6.00 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
L. Godoy M 93 6.20 — — 1 21 16% 1 — —
R. Tesuri M 81 6.00 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
R. Ruíz Rodríguez F 93 6.90 — — 2 18 13% — — —
L. Di Plácido D 12 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
M. Brondo F 21 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
Ramiro Paunero D 3 — — — — 1 — — — —
R. Granillo F 12 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ayala G 93 7.00 — — — 27 14% — — —
L. Suárez D 93 6.90 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
J. Insaurralde D 61 6.50 — — — 30 18% — — —
R. Orihuela D 93 6.50 — — 1 20 11% 1 — —
S. Salle D 93 6.60 — — — 14 6% 3 — —
J. Mavilla M 80 8.30 1 — 2 16 11% 3 — —
Mauricio Leonel Martínez M 93 6.30 — — — 32 24% — 1 —
C. Zabala M 93 7.20 — — — 43 34% 4 — —
J. Contrera M 61 6.30 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
J. Herrera F 61 6.30 — — — 10 7% — — —
J. Marabel F 89 6.30 1 — 2 15 11% — — —
D. Churín F 32 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
G. Arturia D 32 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
G. Díaz D 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
G. González F 13 6.30 — — 1 2 1% — — —
U. Giménez D 32 6.20 — — — 7 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
The final score was Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Sarmiento Junin.
What did the model predict before Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Atletico Tucuman win, 37% to a draw, and 23% to an Sarmiento Junin win.