Super League
· Relegation Group - 5
April 26, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atromitos
D. Stavropoulos
(ast. M. Mountes)
45'+2
D. Tsakmakis
(ast. S. Pnevmonidis)
65'
35'
(ast. K. Ketu)
F. Macheda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 59% win probability (draw 25%, Asteras Tripolis 15%). The final result was Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis. In 3 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Asteras Tripolis.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
1.24
2
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
10
10
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. K. Ketu ·
F. Macheda⚽
⚽D. Stavropoulos
· ast. M. Mountes
45'+2
G. Mitoglou
/ D. Tsakmakis
46'
59'
N. Kaltsas
/
K. Ketu
P. Michorl
/ S. Zuber
60'
⚽D. Tsakmakis
· ast. S. Pnevmonidis
65'
68'
N. Sipcic
D. Stavropoulos
69'
71'
A. Simoni
/
N. Alho
M. Mountes
/ S. Tsiloulis
76'
D. Jubitana
/ E. Ukaki
77'
78'
T. Tzandaris
/
C. Almyras
79'
O. M. Chidera
/
F. Macheda
79'
A. Tereziou
/
P. Deligiannidis
S. Pnevmonidis
/ A. Karamanis
83'
Pre-match prediction
59.3%
Atromitos ←
25.01%
X
15.69%
Asteras
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atromitos)
59.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
1.17
-0.7
0.62
1.24
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
16
D
24
Gerasimos Mitoglou
45'
D
Gerasimos Mitoglou
45'
D
4
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
1 ⚽
D
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
1 ⚽
D
12
M. Mountes
1 👟
76'
D
92
S. Moutoussamy
M
S. Moutoussamy
M
5
T. Tsingaras
M
T. Tsingaras
M
10
Stavros Pnevmonidis
1 👟
83'
M
Stavros Pnevmonidis
1 👟
83'
M
8
P. Michorl
60'
M
P. Michorl
60'
M
11
Denzel Jubitana
77'
M
Denzel Jubitana
77'
M
32
M. Baku
F
M. Baku
F
Bench
6
Athanasios Karamanis
14'
D
Athanasios Karamanis
14'
D
44
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
1 ⚽
45'
D
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
1 ⚽
45'
D
7
Ehije Ukaki
13'
M
Ehije Ukaki
13'
M
21
Jere Uronen
D
Jere Uronen
D
25
Luka Gugeshashvili
G
23
Sotiris Tsiloulis
14'
M
Sotiris Tsiloulis
14'
M
77
S. Zuber
30'
M
S. Zuber
30'
M
1
G
69
71'
D
13
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
3
Nikola Šipčić
D
64
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
79'
M
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
79'
M
68
Christos Almyras
78'
M
Christos Almyras
78'
M
10
Eder González
M
Eder González
M
17
Nikolai Alho
M
Nikolai Alho
M
40
59'
F
41
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
79'
F
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
79'
F
7
J. Bartolo
F
J. Bartolo
F
Bench
27
Alexandros Tereziou
11'
D
Alexandros Tereziou
11'
D
26
Chidera Micheal Okoh
11'
F
4
I. Sylla
D
22
Miki Muñoz
M
Miki Muñoz
M
20
Nikolaos Kaltsas
31'
F
Nikolaos Kaltsas
31'
F
75
Stefan Mitrović
F
Stefan Mitrović
F
Best on the pitch
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
D · Atromitos
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
D · Atromitos
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
F · Asteras
7.90
· 18 pass
S. Moutoussamy
M · Atromitos
7.60
· 79 pass
Stavros Pnevmonidis
M · Atromitos
7.60
1 👟
· 36 pass
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D · Asteras
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
Atromitos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Gerasimos Mitoglou | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stavropoulos | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Mountes | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 79 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Tsingaras | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Stavros Pnevmonidis | M | 83 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Michorl | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Denzel Jubitana | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Baku | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Athanasios Karamanis | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Tsakmakis | D | 45 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ehije Ukaki | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sotiris Tsiloulis | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Zuber | M | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — | |
| Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Nikola Šipčić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Panagiotis Deligiannidis | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Christos Almyras | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Eder González | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikolai Alho | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 59 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| F. Macheda | F | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Bartolo | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Tereziou | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Chidera Micheal Okoh | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolaos Kaltsas | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The final score was Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Atromitos win, 25% to a draw, and 15% to an Asteras Tripolis win.