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Super League · Relegation Group - 5 April 26, 2026 19:00
Atromitos
#1 · 43 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Asteras Tripolis
#4 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atromitos
D. Stavropoulos (ast. M. Mountes) 45'+2
D. Tsakmakis (ast. S. Pnevmonidis) 65'
35' (ast. K. Ketu) F. Macheda

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 59% win probability (draw 25%, Asteras Tripolis 15%). The final result was Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis. In 3 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Asteras Tripolis.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
1.24
2
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
10
10
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. K. Ketu · F. Macheda⚽
⚽D. Stavropoulos · ast. M. Mountes
45'+2
↕ G. Mitoglou / D. Tsakmakis
46'
59'
N. Kaltsas / K. Ketu ↕
↕ P. Michorl / S. Zuber
60'
⚽D. Tsakmakis · ast. S. Pnevmonidis
65'
68'
N. Sipcic
D. Stavropoulos
69'
71'
A. Simoni / N. Alho ↕
↕ M. Mountes / S. Tsiloulis
76'
↕ D. Jubitana / E. Ukaki
77'
78'
T. Tzandaris / C. Almyras ↕
79'
O. M. Chidera / F. Macheda ↕
79'
A. Tereziou / P. Deligiannidis ↕
↕ S. Pnevmonidis / A. Karamanis
83'
Pre-match prediction
59.3%
Atromitos ←
25.01%
X
15.69%
Asteras
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atromitos) 59.3% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atromitos
1.87
1.17
-0.7
Asteras
0.62
1.24
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
Atromitos Atromitos 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
16
D 6.90
24 Gerasimos Mitoglou Gerasimos Mitoglou 45' D 6.90
4 D. Stavrópoulos D. Stavrópoulos 1 ⚽ D 8.00
12
M. Mountes 1 👟 76' D 6.50
92 Samuel Moutoussamy Samuel Moutoussamy M 7.60
5 T. Tsingaras T. Tsingaras M 7.00
10 Stavros Pnevmonidis Stavros Pnevmonidis 1 👟 83' M 7.60
8 P. Michorl P. Michorl 60' M 6.50
11
D. Jubitana 77' M 6.90
32 M. Baku M. Baku F 6.30
Bench
6 Athanasios Karamanis Athanasios Karamanis 14' D 6.90
44 Dimitrios Tsakmakis Dimitrios Tsakmakis 1 ⚽ 45' D 8.50
7 Ehije Ukaki Ehije Ukaki 13' M 6.70
21 Jere Uronen Jere Uronen D
25 Luka Gugeshashvili Luka Gugeshashvili G
23 Sotiris Tsiloulis Sotiris Tsiloulis 14' M 6.90
77 Steven Zuber Steven Zuber 30' M 7.00
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
1
G 7.50
69
71' D 6.30
13 Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 7.50
3 Nikola Šipčić Nikola Šipčić D 6.30
64 Panagiotis Deligiannidis Panagiotis Deligiannidis 79' M 6.20
68 Christos Almyras Christos Almyras 78' M 6.70
10 Eder González Eder González M 7.30
17 Nikolai Alho Nikolai Alho M 6.30
40
59' F 7.90
41 F. Macheda F. Macheda 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
7 J. Bartolo J. Bartolo F 6.30
Bench
27 Alexandros Tereziou Alexandros Tereziou 11' D 6.90
26 Chidera Micheal Okoh Chidera Micheal Okoh 11' F 6.20
4
I. Sylla D
22 Miguel Muñoz Mora Miguel Muñoz Mora M
20 Nikolaos Kaltsas Nikolaos Kaltsas 31' F 6.60
75
S. Mitrovic F
Best on the pitch
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
D · Atromitos
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
D. Stavrópoulos
D. Stavrópoulos
D · Atromitos
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 63 pass
F · Asteras
7.90
· 18 pass
Samuel Moutoussamy
Samuel Moutoussamy
M · Atromitos
7.60
· 79 pass
Stavros Pnevmonidis
Stavros Pnevmonidis
M · Atromitos
7.60
1 👟
· 36 pass
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D · Asteras
7.50
1 shots · 29 pass
Atromitos Atromitos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 24 18% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 32 25% — — —
Gerasimos Mitoglou D 45 6.90 — — — 29 28% 2 — —
D. Stavrópoulos D 90 8.00 1 — 1 63 56% 1 1 —
M. Mountes D 76 6.50 — 1 — 50 45% 1 — —
Samuel Moutoussamy M 90 7.60 — — — 79 72% 2 — —
T. Tsingaras M 90 7.00 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
Stavros Pnevmonidis M 83 7.60 — 1 — 36 32% 1 — —
P. Michorl M 60 6.50 — — — 31 23% 1 — —
D. Jubitana M 77 6.90 — — 2 35 29% — — —
M. Baku F 90 6.30 — — 3 25 22% — — —
Athanasios Karamanis D 14 6.90 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Dimitrios Tsakmakis D 45 8.50 1 — 1 28 21% — — —
Ehije Ukaki M 13 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Sotiris Tsiloulis M 14 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Steven Zuber M 30 7.00 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 19 13% — — —
D 71 6.30 — — — 35 28% 3 — —
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 90 7.50 — — 1 29 26% 4 — —
Nikola Šipčić D 90 6.30 — — — 32 23% — 1 —
Panagiotis Deligiannidis M 79 6.20 — — 1 30 23% — — —
Christos Almyras M 78 6.70 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Eder González M 90 7.30 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
Nikolai Alho M 90 6.30 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
F 59 7.90 — — — 18 13% 3 — —
F. Macheda F 79 7.20 1 — 3 12 12% — — —
J. Bartolo F 90 6.30 — — — 33 26% — — —
Alexandros Tereziou D 11 6.90 — — — 8 5% — — —
Chidera Micheal Okoh F 11 6.20 — — 1 2 — — — —
Nikolaos Kaltsas F 31 6.60 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The final score was Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Atromitos win, 25% to a draw, and 15% to an Asteras Tripolis win.