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Super League · Relegation Group - 5 April 26, 2026 17:00
Atromitos
#13 · 2 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Asteras Tripolis
#11 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atromitos
D. Stavropoulos (ast. M. Mountes) 45'+2
D. Tsakmakis (ast. S. Pnevmonidis) 65'
35' (ast. K. Ketu) F. Macheda
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 59% win probability (draw 25%, Asteras Tripolis 15%). The final result was Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis. In 4 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Asteras Tripolis.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
1.24
2
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
10
10
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. K. Ketu · F. Macheda⚽
⚽D. Stavropoulos · ast. M. Mountes
45'+2
↕ G. Mitoglou / D. Tsakmakis
46'
59'
N. Kaltsas / K. Ketu ↕
↕ P. Michorl / S. Zuber
60'
⚽D. Tsakmakis · ast. S. Pnevmonidis
65'
68'
N. Sipcic
D. Stavropoulos
69'
71'
A. Simoni / N. Alho ↕
↕ M. Mountes / S. Tsiloulis
76'
↕ D. Jubitana / E. Ukaki
77'
78'
T. Tzandaris / C. Almyras ↕
79'
O. M. Chidera / F. Macheda ↕
79'
A. Tereziou / P. Deligiannidis ↕
↕ S. Pnevmonidis / A. Karamanis
83'
Pre-match prediction
59.3%
Atromitos ←
25.01%
X
15.69%
Asteras
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atromitos) 59.3% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atromitos
1.87
1.17
-0.7
Asteras
0.62
1.24
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 8 21
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 19
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 7 17
4 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 8 16
5 PAOK PAOK 8 15
6 OFI OFI 8 13
7 Kifisia Kifisia 8 11
8 Kalamata Kalamata 8 10
9 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 8 9
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos 8 9
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 8 6
12 Levadiakos Levadiakos 8 3
13 Atromitos Atromitos 7 2
14 Volos NFC Volos NFC 8 0
Lineups
Atromitos Atromitos 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
16
D 6.90
24 G. Mitoglou G. Mitoglou 45' D 6.90
4 D. Stavrópoulos D. Stavrópoulos 1 ⚽ D 8.00
12 M. Mountes M. Mountes 1 👟 76' D 6.50
92 S. Moutoussamy S. Moutoussamy M 7.60
5 T. Tsingaras T. Tsingaras M 7.00
10 S. Pnevmonidis S. Pnevmonidis 1 👟 83' M 7.60
8 P. Michorl P. Michorl 60' M 6.50
11 D. Jubitana D. Jubitana 77' M 6.90
32 Makana Baku Makana Baku F 6.30
Bench
44 D. Tsakmakis D. Tsakmakis 1 ⚽ 45' D 8.50
7
E. Ukaki 13' M 6.70
21 J. Uronen J. Uronen D
25 L. Gugeshashvili L. Gugeshashvili G
23 S. Tsiloulis S. Tsiloulis 14' M 6.90
77 S. Zuber S. Zuber 30' M 7.00
6 T. Karamanis T. Karamanis 14' D 6.90
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
1
G 7.50
69
71' D 6.30
13 Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 7.50
3
Nikola Šipčić D 6.30
64 P. Deligiannidis P. Deligiannidis 79' M 6.20
68 Christos Almyras Christos Almyras 78' M 6.70
10 Eder González Eder González M 7.30
17 N. Alho N. Alho M 6.30
40
59' F 7.90
41 F. Macheda F. Macheda 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
7 J. Bartolo J. Bartolo F 6.30
Bench
27 A. Tereziou A. Tereziou 11' D 6.90
26
C. Okoh 11' F 6.20
4
I. Sylla D
22 Miki Muñoz Miki Muñoz M
20 N. Kaltsas N. Kaltsas 31' F 6.60
75 S. Mitrović S. Mitrović F
Best on the pitch
D. Tsakmakis
D. Tsakmakis
D · Atromitos
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
D. Stavrópoulos
D. Stavrópoulos
D · Atromitos
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 63 pass
F · Asteras
7.90
· 18 pass
S. Moutoussamy
S. Moutoussamy
M · Atromitos
7.60
· 79 pass
S. Pnevmonidis
S. Pnevmonidis
M · Atromitos
7.60
1 👟
· 36 pass
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D · Asteras
7.50
1 shots · 29 pass
Atromitos Atromitos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 24 18% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 32 25% — — —
G. Mitoglou D 45 6.90 — — — 29 28% 2 — —
D. Stavrópoulos D 90 8.00 1 — 1 63 56% 1 1 —
M. Mountes D 76 6.50 — 1 — 50 45% 1 — —
S. Moutoussamy M 90 7.60 — — — 79 72% 2 — —
T. Tsingaras M 90 7.00 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
S. Pnevmonidis M 83 7.60 — 1 — 36 32% 1 — —
P. Michorl M 60 6.50 — — — 31 23% 1 — —
D. Jubitana M 77 6.90 — — 2 35 29% — — —
Makana Baku F 90 6.30 — — 3 25 22% — — —
D. Tsakmakis D 45 8.50 1 — 1 28 21% — — —
E. Ukaki M 13 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
S. Tsiloulis M 14 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
S. Zuber M 30 7.00 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
T. Karamanis D 14 6.90 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 19 13% — — —
D 71 6.30 — — — 35 28% 3 — —
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 90 7.50 — — 1 29 26% 4 — —
Nikola Šipčić D 90 6.30 — — — 32 23% — 1 —
P. Deligiannidis M 79 6.20 — — 1 30 23% — — —
Christos Almyras M 78 6.70 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Eder González M 90 7.30 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
N. Alho M 90 6.30 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
F 59 7.90 — — — 18 13% 3 — —
F. Macheda F 79 7.20 1 — 3 12 12% — — —
J. Bartolo F 90 6.30 — — — 33 26% — — —
A. Tereziou D 11 6.90 — — — 8 5% — — —
C. Okoh F 11 6.20 — — 1 2 — — — —
N. Kaltsas F 31 6.60 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The final score was Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Atromitos win, 25% to a draw, and 15% to an Asteras Tripolis win.