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Super League · Relegation Group - 3 April 18, 2026 18:00
Atromitos
#1 · 43 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Larisa
#6 · 27 pts
M. Baku (ast. D. Jubitana) 17'
Mansur (ast. P. Michorl) 23'
M. Baku (ast. P. Michorl) 41'
51' K. Apostolakis
80' (ast. G. Kakuta) L. Tupta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 53% win probability (draw 29%, Larisa 17%). The final result was Atromitos 3–2 Larisa. In 3 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Larisa.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
7
1.78
Actual xG
1.86
5
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
4
11
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Baku · ast. D. Jubitana
17'
⚽Mansur · ast. P. Michorl
23'
32'
G. Naor / L. Rosic ↕
33'
K. Apostolakis
P. Michorl
38'
⚽M. Baku · ast. P. Michorl
41'
46'
J. Atanasov / V. Sourlis ↕
↕ Mansur / G. Mitoglou
46'
S. Zuber
47'
S. Zuber
49'
51'
K. Apostolakis⚽
↕ P. Michorl / E. Ukaki
55'
63'
G. Pasas / D. Batubinsika ↕
D. Jubitana
72'
↕ D. Jubitana / A. Karamanis
72'
73'
P. Sisto / Z. Chatzistravos ↕
73'
G. Kakuta / F. Perez ↕
80'
ast. G. Kakuta · L. Tupta⚽
D. Stavropoulos
80'
A. Karamanis
80'
↕ E. Ukaki / G. Tzovaras
89'
Pre-match prediction
53.19%
Atromitos ←
29.19%
X
17.62%
Larisa
we assigned to the actual result (Atromitos) 53.19% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atromitos
1.47
1.78
+0.31
Larisa
0.82
1.86
+1.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
Atromitos Atromitos 4-2-3-1
25 Luka Gugeshashvili Luka Gugeshashvili G 7.50
21 Jere Uronen Jere Uronen D 6.30
70 Mansur Mansur 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.90
4 D. Stavrópoulos D. Stavrópoulos D 6.30
12
M. Mountes D 6.90
92 Samuel Moutoussamy Samuel Moutoussamy M 7.20
5 T. Tsingaras T. Tsingaras M 7.50
77 Steven Zuber Steven Zuber 48' M 5.50
8 P. Michorl P. Michorl 2 👟 55' M 7.20
11
D. Jubitana 1 👟 72' M 7.20
32 M. Baku M. Baku 2 ⚽ F 9.20
Bench
6 Athanasios Karamanis Athanasios Karamanis 22' D 6.20
44 Dimitrios Tsakmakis Dimitrios Tsakmakis D
7 Ehije Ukaki Ehije Ukaki 34' M 6.50
24 Gerasimos Mitoglou Gerasimos Mitoglou 49' D 6.60
23 Sotiris Tsiloulis Sotiris Tsiloulis M
10 Stavros Pnevmonidis Stavros Pnevmonidis M
Larisa Larisa 5-4-1
94
G 6.30
20 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 6.00
4 Theocharis Iliadis Theocharis Iliadis D 5.60
33 Lazar Rosić Lazar Rosić 32' D 5.90
28 Dylan Batubinsika Dylan Batubinsika 63' D 6.20
2
K. Apostolakis 1 ⚽ D 7.30
29 Lubomir Tupta Lubomir Tupta 1 ⚽ M 8.30
8 F. Pérez F. Pérez 73' M 6.30
90
V. Sourlis 45' M 6.20
18 Zisis Chatzistravos Zisis Chatzistravos 73' M 6.20
23 Leandro Garate Leandro Garate F 6.70
Bench
14 Erick Ferigra Erick Ferigra D
5 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta 1 👟 21' M 6.60
19 Giannis Pasas Giannis Pasas 31' M 6.00
15 Goni Naor Goni Naor 62' M 6.90
31 J. Atanasov J. Atanasov 49' M 7.60
77
P. Sisto 21' F 6.70
21 Theodoros Venetikidis Theodoros Venetikidis G
27 Yvann Maçon Yvann Maçon D
Best on the pitch
M. Baku
M. Baku
F · Atromitos
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Lubomir Tupta
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Mansur
Mansur
D · Atromitos
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
J. Atanasov
J. Atanasov
M · Larisa
7.60
· 44 pass
Luka Gugeshashvili
Luka Gugeshashvili
G · Atromitos
7.50
· 27 pass
T. Tsingaras
T. Tsingaras
M · Atromitos
7.50
· 53 pass
Atromitos Atromitos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Luka Gugeshashvili G 94 7.50 — — — 27 16% — — —
Jere Uronen D 94 6.30 — — — 32 29% — — —
Mansur D 45 7.90 1 — 1 29 25% — — —
D. Stavrópoulos D 94 6.30 — — — 45 40% 2 1 —
M. Mountes D 94 6.90 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
Samuel Moutoussamy M 94 7.20 — — — 57 52% — — —
T. Tsingaras M 94 7.50 — — — 53 45% — — —
Steven Zuber M 48 5.50 — — — 12 10% 1 — 1
P. Michorl M 55 7.20 — 2 — 28 21% 1 1 —
D. Jubitana M 72 7.20 — 1 2 42 37% 1 1 —
M. Baku F 94 9.20 2 — 2 22 17% 1 — —
Athanasios Karamanis D 22 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — 1 —
Ehije Ukaki M 34 6.50 — — 2 4 — 1 — —
Gerasimos Mitoglou D 49 6.60 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Larisa Larisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.30 — — — 24 18% — — —
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 94 6.00 — — 1 33 26% — — —
Theocharis Iliadis D 94 5.60 — — — 48 38% 1 — —
Lazar Rosić D 32 5.90 — — — 16 12% — — —
Dylan Batubinsika D 63 6.20 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
K. Apostolakis D 94 7.30 1 — 1 32 27% 2 1 —
Lubomir Tupta M 94 8.30 1 — 3 21 18% 1 — —
F. Pérez M 73 6.30 — — 1 28 24% 3 — —
V. Sourlis M 45 6.20 — — — 10 10% — — —
Zisis Chatzistravos M 73 6.20 — — 2 18 15% 1 — —
Leandro Garate F 94 6.70 — — 1 24 20% — — —
Gaël Kakuta M 21 6.60 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
Giannis Pasas M 31 6.00 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Goni Naor M 62 6.90 — — — 39 36% 1 — —
J. Atanasov M 49 7.60 — — — 44 36% 1 — —
P. Sisto F 21 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Larisa?
The final score was Atromitos 3–2 Larisa.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Larisa?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Atromitos win, 29% to a draw, and 17% to an Larisa win.