Super League
· Relegation Group - 3
April 18, 2026 16:00
M. Baku
(ast. D. Jubitana)
17'
Mansur
(ast. P. Michorl)
23'
M. Baku
(ast. P. Michorl)
41'
51'
K. Apostolakis
80'
(ast. G. Kakuta)
L. Tupta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 53% win probability (draw 29%, Larisa 17%). The final result was Atromitos 3–2 Larisa. In 4 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Larisa.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
7
1.78
Actual xG
1.86
5
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
4
11
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Baku
· ast. D. Jubitana
17'
⚽Mansur
· ast. P. Michorl
23'
32'
G. Naor
/
L. Rosic
33'
K. Apostolakis
P. Michorl
38'
⚽M. Baku
· ast. P. Michorl
41'
46'
J. Atanasov
/
V. Sourlis
Mansur
/ G. Mitoglou
46'
S. Zuber
47'
S. Zuber
49'
51'
K. Apostolakis⚽
P. Michorl
/ E. Ukaki
55'
63'
G. Pasas
/
D. Batubinsika
D. Jubitana
72'
D. Jubitana
/ A. Karamanis
72'
73'
P. Sisto
/
Z. Chatzistravos
73'
G. Kakuta
/
F. Perez
80'
ast. G. Kakuta ·
L. Tupta⚽
D. Stavropoulos
80'
A. Karamanis
80'
E. Ukaki
/ G. Tzovaras
89'
Pre-match prediction
53.19%
Atromitos ←
29.19%
X
17.62%
Larisa
we assigned to the actual result (Atromitos)
53.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.78
+0.31
0.82
1.86
+1.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Luka Gugeshashvili
G
21
Jere Uronen
D
Jere Uronen
D
70
Mansur
1 ⚽
45'
D
Mansur
1 ⚽
45'
D
4
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
D
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
D
12
M. Mountes
D
92
S. Moutoussamy
M
S. Moutoussamy
M
5
T. Tsingaras
M
T. Tsingaras
M
77
S. Zuber
48'
M
S. Zuber
48'
M
8
P. Michorl
2 👟
55'
M
P. Michorl
2 👟
55'
M
11
Denzel Jubitana
1 👟
72'
M
Denzel Jubitana
1 👟
72'
M
32
M. Baku
2 ⚽
F
M. Baku
2 ⚽
F
Bench
6
Athanasios Karamanis
22'
D
Athanasios Karamanis
22'
D
44
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
D
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
D
7
Ehije Ukaki
34'
M
Ehije Ukaki
34'
M
24
Gerasimos Mitoglou
49'
D
Gerasimos Mitoglou
49'
D
23
Sotiris Tsiloulis
M
Sotiris Tsiloulis
M
10
Stavros Pnevmonidis
M
Stavros Pnevmonidis
M
94
G
20
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
D
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
D
4
Theocharis Iliadis
D
Theocharis Iliadis
D
33
Lazar Rosić
32'
D
Lazar Rosić
32'
D
28
Dylan Batubinsika
63'
D
Dylan Batubinsika
63'
D
2
Konstantinos Apostolakis
1 ⚽
D
Konstantinos Apostolakis
1 ⚽
D
29
Ľ. Tupta
1 ⚽
M
Ľ. Tupta
1 ⚽
M
8
F. Pérez
73'
M
F. Pérez
73'
M
90
V. Sourlis
45'
M
18
Zisis Chatzistravos
73'
M
Zisis Chatzistravos
73'
M
23
Leandro Garate
F
Leandro Garate
F
Bench
14
Erick Ferigra
D
Erick Ferigra
D
5
Gaël Kakuta
1 👟
21'
M
Gaël Kakuta
1 👟
21'
M
15
Goni Naor
62'
M
Goni Naor
62'
M
19
G. Pasas
31'
M
G. Pasas
31'
M
31
J. Atanasov
49'
M
J. Atanasov
49'
M
77
P. Sisto
21'
F
P. Sisto
21'
F
21
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
27
Yvann Maçon
D
Yvann Maçon
D
Best on the pitch
M. Baku
F · Atromitos
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Ľ. Tupta
M · Larisa
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Mansur
D · Atromitos
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
J. Atanasov
M · Larisa
7.60
· 44 pass
Luka Gugeshashvili
G · Atromitos
7.50
· 27 pass
T. Tsingaras
M · Atromitos
7.50
· 53 pass
Atromitos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gugeshashvili | G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jere Uronen | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Mansur | D | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stavropoulos | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Mountes | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| T. Tsingaras | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | — | — | — |
| S. Zuber | M | 48 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | 1 |
| P. Michorl | M | 55 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Denzel Jubitana | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Baku | F | 94 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Athanasios Karamanis | D | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Ehije Ukaki | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Gerasimos Mitoglou | D | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Larisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Davíð Kristján Ólafsson | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Theocharis Iliadis | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Lazar Rosić | D | 32 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Batubinsika | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Konstantinos Apostolakis | D | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ľ. Tupta | M | 94 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pérez | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Sourlis | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Zisis Chatzistravos | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Garate | F | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gaël Kakuta | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Goni Naor | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Pasas | M | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Atanasov | M | 49 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sisto | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Larisa?
The final score was Atromitos 3–2 Larisa.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Larisa?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Atromitos win, 29% to a draw, and 17% to an Larisa win.