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Super League · Relegation Group - 3 April 18, 2026 16:00
Atromitos
#10 · 1 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Larisa
M. Baku (ast. D. Jubitana) 17'
Mansur (ast. P. Michorl) 23'
M. Baku (ast. P. Michorl) 41'
51' K. Apostolakis
80' (ast. G. Kakuta) L. Tupta
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 53% win probability (draw 29%, Larisa 17%). The final result was Atromitos 3–2 Larisa. In 4 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Larisa.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
7
1.78
Actual xG
1.86
5
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
4
11
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Baku · ast. D. Jubitana
17'
⚽Mansur · ast. P. Michorl
23'
32'
G. Naor / L. Rosic ↕
33'
K. Apostolakis
P. Michorl
38'
⚽M. Baku · ast. P. Michorl
41'
46'
J. Atanasov / V. Sourlis ↕
↕ Mansur / G. Mitoglou
46'
S. Zuber
47'
S. Zuber
49'
51'
K. Apostolakis⚽
↕ P. Michorl / E. Ukaki
55'
63'
G. Pasas / D. Batubinsika ↕
D. Jubitana
72'
↕ D. Jubitana / A. Karamanis
72'
73'
P. Sisto / Z. Chatzistravos ↕
73'
G. Kakuta / F. Perez ↕
80'
ast. G. Kakuta · L. Tupta⚽
D. Stavropoulos
80'
A. Karamanis
80'
↕ E. Ukaki / G. Tzovaras
89'
Pre-match prediction
53.19%
Atromitos ←
29.19%
X
17.62%
Larisa
we assigned to the actual result (Atromitos) 53.19% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atromitos
1.47
1.78
+0.31
Larisa
0.82
1.86
+1.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3 9
2 Panetolikos Panetolikos 3 9
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 7
4 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 7
5 PAOK PAOK 3 6
6 OFI OFI 3 6
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 3 6
8 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 3 4
9 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3 2
10 Atromitos Atromitos 3 1
11 Kalamata Kalamata 3 1
12 Kifisia Kifisia 3 1
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3 0
14 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3 0
Lineups
Atromitos Atromitos 4-2-3-1
25 L. Gugeshashvili L. Gugeshashvili G 7.50
21 J. Uronen J. Uronen D 6.30
70 Mansur Mansur 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.90
4 D. Stavrópoulos D. Stavrópoulos D 6.30
12 M. Mountes M. Mountes D 6.90
92 S. Moutoussamy S. Moutoussamy M 7.20
5 T. Tsingaras T. Tsingaras M 7.50
77 S. Zuber S. Zuber 48' M 5.50
8 P. Michorl P. Michorl 2 👟 55' M 7.20
11 Denzel Jubitana Denzel Jubitana 1 👟 72' M 7.20
32 M. Baku M. Baku 2 ⚽ F 9.20
Bench
44 D. Tsakmakis D. Tsakmakis D
7 Ehije Ukaki Ehije Ukaki 34' M 6.50
24 G. Mitoglou G. Mitoglou 49' D 6.60
10 S. Pnevmonidis S. Pnevmonidis M
23 S. Tsiloulis S. Tsiloulis M
6 T. Karamanis T. Karamanis 22' D 6.20
Larisa Larisa 5-4-1
94
G 6.30
20 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 6.00
4 Theocharis Iliadis Theocharis Iliadis D 5.60
33
L. Rosić 32' D 5.90
28 Dylan Batubinsika Dylan Batubinsika 63' D 6.20
2 K. Apostolakis K. Apostolakis 1 ⚽ D 7.30
29
Lubomir Tupta 1 ⚽ M 8.30
8
Facundo Pérez 73' M 6.30
90 V. Sourlis V. Sourlis 45' M 6.20
18 Zisis Chatzistravos Zisis Chatzistravos 73' M 6.20
23 Leandro Garate Leandro Garate F 6.70
Bench
14 Erick Ferigra Erick Ferigra D
5 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta 1 👟 21' M 6.60
15 Goni Naor Goni Naor 62' M 6.90
19 G. Pasas G. Pasas 31' M 6.00
31 J. Atanasov J. Atanasov 49' M 7.60
77 P. Sisto P. Sisto 21' F 6.70
21 Theodoros Venetikidis Theodoros Venetikidis G
27 Y. Maçon Y. Maçon D
Best on the pitch
M. Baku
M. Baku
F · Atromitos
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Mansur
Mansur
D · Atromitos
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
J. Atanasov
J. Atanasov
M · Larisa
7.60
· 44 pass
L. Gugeshashvili
L. Gugeshashvili
G · Atromitos
7.50
· 27 pass
T. Tsingaras
T. Tsingaras
M · Atromitos
7.50
· 53 pass
Atromitos Atromitos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gugeshashvili G 94 7.50 — — — 27 16% — — —
J. Uronen D 94 6.30 — — — 32 29% — — —
Mansur D 45 7.90 1 — 1 29 25% — — —
D. Stavrópoulos D 94 6.30 — — — 45 40% 2 1 —
M. Mountes D 94 6.90 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
S. Moutoussamy M 94 7.20 — — — 57 52% — — —
T. Tsingaras M 94 7.50 — — — 53 45% — — —
S. Zuber M 48 5.50 — — — 12 10% 1 — 1
P. Michorl M 55 7.20 — 2 — 28 21% 1 1 —
Denzel Jubitana M 72 7.20 — 1 2 42 37% 1 1 —
M. Baku F 94 9.20 2 — 2 22 17% 1 — —
Ehije Ukaki M 34 6.50 — — 2 4 — 1 — —
G. Mitoglou D 49 6.60 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
T. Karamanis D 22 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — 1 —
Larisa Larisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.30 — — — 24 18% — — —
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 94 6.00 — — 1 33 26% — — —
Theocharis Iliadis D 94 5.60 — — — 48 38% 1 — —
L. Rosić D 32 5.90 — — — 16 12% — — —
Dylan Batubinsika D 63 6.20 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
K. Apostolakis D 94 7.30 1 — 1 32 27% 2 1 —
Lubomir Tupta M 94 8.30 1 — 3 21 18% 1 — —
Facundo Pérez M 73 6.30 — — 1 28 24% 3 — —
V. Sourlis M 45 6.20 — — — 10 10% — — —
Zisis Chatzistravos M 73 6.20 — — 2 18 15% 1 — —
Leandro Garate F 94 6.70 — — 1 24 20% — — —
Gaël Kakuta M 21 6.60 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
Goni Naor M 62 6.90 — — — 39 36% 1 — —
G. Pasas M 31 6.00 — — 1 4 3% — — —
J. Atanasov M 49 7.60 — — — 44 36% 1 — —
P. Sisto F 21 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Larisa?
The final score was Atromitos 3–2 Larisa.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Larisa?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Atromitos win, 29% to a draw, and 17% to an Larisa win.