Super League
· Relegation Group - 7
May 09, 2026 18:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Atromitos, result Panetolikos wins
S. Zuber
(ast. E. Ukaki)
7'
52'
(ast. L. Smyrlis)
A. Matan
(pen.)
62'
J. Garcia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Panetolikos 16%). The final result was Atromitos 1–2 Panetolikos. In 3 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Panetolikos.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
2
69%
Possession
31%
4
Corners
3
8
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽S. Zuber
· ast. E. Ukaki
7'
8'
36'
Esteban Diego
46'
A. Matan
/
Esteban Diego
46'
A. Bouchalakis
/
G. Satsias
52'
ast. L. Smyrlis ·
A. Matan⚽
59'
62'
(pen.)
J. Garcia⚽
64'
Lenny Lobato
67'
K. Aleksic
/
Lenny Lobato
S. Tsiloulis
/ Quini
67'
S. Pnevmonidis
/ G. Tzovaras
67'
76'
Y. Badji
/
J. Garcia
M. Baku
/ T. van Weert
78'
E. Ukaki
/ P. Tsantilas
78'
S. Moutoussamy
83'
G. Mitoglou
/ S. Ampartzidis
86'
88'
C. Manrique
/
L. Smyrlis
90'+3
A. Bouchalakis
Pre-match prediction
56.11%
Atromitos
27.5%
X
16.39%
Panetolikos ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Panetolikos)
16.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
0.89
-0.94
0.77
1.08
+0.31
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
21
J. Uronen
D
J. Uronen
D
24
G. Mitoglou
86'
D
G. Mitoglou
86'
D
4
D. Stavrópoulos
D
D. Stavrópoulos
D
7
E. Ukaki
1 👟
77'
D
92
S. Moutoussamy
M
S. Moutoussamy
M
8
P. Michorl
M
P. Michorl
M
10
S. Pnevmonidis
67'
M
S. Pnevmonidis
67'
M
77
S. Zuber
1 ⚽
M
S. Zuber
1 ⚽
M
23
S. Tsiloulis
67'
M
S. Tsiloulis
67'
M
32
Makana Baku
77'
F
Makana Baku
77'
F
Bench
44
D. Tsakmakis
D
D. Tsakmakis
D
25
L. Gugeshashvili
G
L. Gugeshashvili
G
70
Mansur
D
Mansur
D
6
T. Karamanis
D
T. Karamanis
D
5
T. Tsingaras
M
T. Tsingaras
M
99
Y. Kucherenko
G
Y. Kucherenko
G
65
D
2
G. Granath
D
G. Granath
D
28
L. Kojić
D
L. Kojić
D
35
C. Mavrias
D
C. Mavrias
D
5
M
7
L. Smyrlis
1 👟
87'
M
L. Smyrlis
1 👟
87'
M
18
G. Satsias
45'
M
G. Satsias
45'
M
22
45'
M
70
Lenny Lobato
66'
M
Lenny Lobato
66'
M
31
J. García
1 ⚽
76'
F
J. García
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
41
A. Bouchalakis
48'
M
A. Bouchalakis
48'
M
30
A. Bregou
M
A. Bregou
M
10
A. Mățan
1 ⚽
48'
M
A. Mățan
1 ⚽
48'
M
15
Christian Manrique
6'
D
Christian Manrique
6'
D
19
Farley Rosa
F
Farley Rosa
F
14
K. Aleksić
27'
F
K. Aleksić
27'
F
25
Y. Badji
17'
F
Y. Badji
17'
F
12
Ž. Živković
G
Best on the pitch
A. Mățan
M · Panetolikos
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
P. Michorl
M · Atromitos
7.70
· 76 pass
Y. Kucherenko
G · Panetolikos
7.30
· 21 pass
A. Bouchalakis
M · Panetolikos
7.20
· 16 pass
J. García
F · Panetolikos
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
S. Zuber
M · Atromitos
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Atromitos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| J. Uronen | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mitoglou | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| D. Stavrópoulos | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 87 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ukaki | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Michorl | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pnevmonidis | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Zuber | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Tsiloulis | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Makana Baku | F | 77 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
Panetolikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Kucherenko | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Granath | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Kojić | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Mavrias | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Smyrlis | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Satsias | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — | |
| Lenny Lobato | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| J. García | F | 76 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouchalakis | M | 48 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mățan | M | 48 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Christian Manrique | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Aleksić | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. Badji | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Panetolikos?
The final score was Atromitos 1–2 Panetolikos.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Panetolikos?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Atromitos win, 27% to a draw, and 16% to an Panetolikos win.