Super League
· Relegation Group - 7
May 09, 2026 18:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Atromitos, result Panetolikos wins
S. Zuber
(ast. E. Ukaki)
7'
52'
(ast. L. Smyrlis)
A. Matan
(pen.)
62'
J. Garcia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Panetolikos 16%). The final result was Atromitos 1–2 Panetolikos. In 3 previous meetings, Atromitos have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Panetolikos.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
2
69%
Possession
31%
4
Corners
3
8
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽S. Zuber
· ast. E. Ukaki
7'
8'
36'
Esteban Diego
46'
A. Matan
/
Esteban Diego
46'
A. Bouchalakis
/
G. Satsias
52'
ast. L. Smyrlis ·
A. Matan⚽
59'
62'
(pen.)
J. Garcia⚽
64'
Lenny Lobato
67'
K. Aleksic
/
Lenny Lobato
S. Tsiloulis
/ Quini
67'
S. Pnevmonidis
/ G. Tzovaras
67'
76'
Y. Badji
/
J. Garcia
M. Baku
/ T. van Weert
78'
E. Ukaki
/ P. Tsantilas
78'
S. Moutoussamy
83'
G. Mitoglou
/ S. Ampartzidis
86'
88'
C. Manrique
/
L. Smyrlis
90'+3
A. Bouchalakis
Pre-match prediction
56.11%
Atromitos
27.5%
X
16.39%
Panetolikos ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Panetolikos)
16.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
0.89
-0.94
0.77
1.08
+0.31
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
21
Jere Uronen
D
Jere Uronen
D
24
Gerasimos Mitoglou
86'
D
Gerasimos Mitoglou
86'
D
4
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
D
Dimitrios Stavropoulos
D
7
Ehije Ukaki
1 👟
77'
D
Ehije Ukaki
1 👟
77'
D
92
S. Moutoussamy
M
S. Moutoussamy
M
8
P. Michorl
M
P. Michorl
M
10
Stavros Pnevmonidis
67'
M
Stavros Pnevmonidis
67'
M
77
S. Zuber
1 ⚽
M
S. Zuber
1 ⚽
M
23
Sotiris Tsiloulis
67'
M
Sotiris Tsiloulis
67'
M
32
M. Baku
77'
F
M. Baku
77'
F
Bench
6
Athanasios Karamanis
D
Athanasios Karamanis
D
44
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
D
Dimitrios Tsakmakis
D
25
Luka Gugeshashvili
G
70
Mansur
D
Mansur
D
5
T. Tsingaras
M
T. Tsingaras
M
99
Yevhenii Kucherenko
G
Yevhenii Kucherenko
G
65
D
2
Gustav Granath
D
Gustav Granath
D
28
L. Kojić
D
L. Kojić
D
35
Charis Mavrias
D
Charis Mavrias
D
5
M
7
Lampros Smyrlis
1 👟
87'
M
Lampros Smyrlis
1 👟
87'
M
18
Giannis Satsias
45'
M
22
45'
M
70
Lenny Lobato
66'
M
Lenny Lobato
66'
M
31
Juan Manuel García
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
41
A. Bouchalakis
48'
M
A. Bouchalakis
48'
M
30
Adriano Bregou
M
Adriano Bregou
M
10
Alexandru Mățan
1 ⚽
48'
M
15
Christian Manrique
6'
D
Christian Manrique
6'
D
19
Farley Rosa
F
Farley Rosa
F
14
Kosta Aleksić
27'
F
25
Y. Badji
17'
F
Y. Badji
17'
F
12
Živko Živković
G
Živko Živković
G
Best on the pitch
Alexandru Mățan
M · Panetolikos
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
P. Michorl
M · Atromitos
7.70
· 76 pass
Yevhenii Kucherenko
G · Panetolikos
7.30
· 21 pass
A. Bouchalakis
M · Panetolikos
7.20
· 16 pass
Juan Manuel García
F · Panetolikos
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
S. Zuber
M · Atromitos
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Atromitos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Jere Uronen | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerasimos Mitoglou | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stavropoulos | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 87 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Ehije Ukaki | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Michorl | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| Stavros Pnevmonidis | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Zuber | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Sotiris Tsiloulis | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Baku | F | 77 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
Panetolikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yevhenii Kucherenko | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| Gustav Granath | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Kojić | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Charis Mavrias | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| Lampros Smyrlis | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Giannis Satsias | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — | |
| Lenny Lobato | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Manuel García | F | 76 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouchalakis | M | 48 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandru Mățan | M | 48 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Christian Manrique | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kosta Aleksić | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. Badji | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atromitos vs Panetolikos?
The final score was Atromitos 1–2 Panetolikos.
What did the model predict before Atromitos vs Panetolikos?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Atromitos win, 27% to a draw, and 16% to an Panetolikos win.