Aubagne - Caen
National 1
May 15, 2026 19:30
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
16.4°C
💨 22 km/h
· Aubagne
⚡ Pre-match analysis
16.98%
Win
Aubagne
29.43%
Draw
53.59%
Win
Caen
0.62
1.55
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Caen a 53% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Aubagne. Expected goals are 0.6 for Aubagne and 1.5 for Caen (total 2.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 17.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Aubagne have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Caen.
Score Matrix
↕ Aubagne
Caen →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.4% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Aubagne
Attack
22
Defence
57
Form
32
Caen
Attack
35
Defence
89
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
8 Aug 2025
0–3
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dijon
|
31 | 62 |
| 2 |
Sochaux
|
31 | 57 |
| 3 |
Fleury 91
|
31 | 54 |
| 4 |
Rouen
|
31 | 52 |
| 5 |
Versailles
|
31 | 52 |
| 6 |
Orleans
|
31 | 51 |
| 7 |
Le Puy Foot
|
31 | 46 |
| 8 |
Caen
|
31 | 40 |
| 9 |
Concarneau
|
31 | 37 |
| 10 |
Valenciennes
|
31 | 36 |
| 11 |
Villefranche
|
31 | 36 |
| 12 |
Aubagne
|
31 | 34 |
| 13 |
Gobelins
|
31 | 32 |
| 14 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01
|
32 | 31 |
| 15 |
Quevilly
|
31 | 30 |
| 16 |
Chateauroux
|
31 | 29 |
| 17 |
Stade Briochin
|
31 | 26 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aubagne vs Caen?
The model gives Aubagne a 16% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 53% for an Caen win.
How many goals are expected in Aubagne vs Caen?
Expected goals: Aubagne 0.6, Caen 1.5 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Aubagne vs Caen?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.7%.