A-League Men
· Regular Season - 24
April 11, 2026 07:00
S. Cosgrove
45'+4
L. Brook
82'
23'
(ast. D. Genreau)
F. Lino
53'
N. Velupillay
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auckland a 46% win probability (draw 32%, Melbourne Victory 21%). The final result was Auckland 2–2 Melbourne Victory. In 1 previous meetings, Auckland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Melbourne Victory.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
2
57%
Possession
43%
9
Corners
6
24
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
11'
J. Davidson
23'
ast. D. Genreau ·
F. Lino⚽
N. Pijnaker
/ L. Rogerson
35'
L. Brook
38'
L. Verstraete
41'
⚽S. Cosgrove
45'+4
53'
N. Velupillay⚽
L. Verstraete
/ C. Howieson
59'
J. Randall
/ V. Fitzharris
59'
60'
L. D'Arrigo
/
J. Valadon
74'
O. Dragicevic
/
M. Grimaldi
75'
R. Piscopo
/
N. Velupillay
79'
D. Genreau
⚽L. Brook
82'
L. F. Gallegos
/ J. Bidois
87'
L. Vicelich
/ J. Mitchell
87'
S. Corica
88'
90'+2
A. Traore
/
F. Lino
90'+2
L. Jackson
/
K. Jelacic
J. Bidois
90'+5
90'+7
L. Jackson
Pre-match prediction
46.63%
Auckland
32.03%
X ←
21.34%
Melbourne
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
—
—
0.65
—
—
Lineups
12
89'
G
4
N. Pijnaker
35'
D
23
Daniel Hall
89'
D
52
L. Vicelich
87'
D
2
Hiroki Sakai
89'
M
8
Felipe Gallegos
87'
M
6
L. Verstraete
59'
M
L. Verstraete
59'
M
17
Callan Elliot
89'
M
21
J. Randall
59'
F
J. Randall
59'
F
77
L. Brook
1 ⚽
89'
F
L. Brook
1 ⚽
89'
F
9
S. Cosgrove
1 ⚽
89'
F
S. Cosgrove
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
7
C. Howieson
30'
M
27
L. Rogerson
54'
F
40
89'
G
18
F. Lino
1 ⚽
89'
D
2
J. Davidson
89'
D
J. Davidson
89'
D
21
Roderick
89'
D
22
J. Rawlins
89'
D
8
J. Valadon
60'
M
10
D. Genreau
1 👟
89'
M
D. Genreau
1 👟
89'
M
17
Nishan Velupillay
1 ⚽
75'
M
14
M. Grimaldi
74'
M
23
K. Jelacic
89'
M
K. Jelacic
89'
M
44
C. Nduka
89'
F
Bench
27
L. D'Arrigo
29'
M
4
L. Jackson
D
9
N. Vergos
F
N. Vergos
F
Best on the pitch
L. Brook
F · Auckland
9.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Callan Elliot
M · Auckland
7.90
· 32 pass
Nishan Velupillay
M · Melbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Hiroki Sakai
M · Auckland
7.30
· 43 pass
L. Rogerson
F · Auckland
7.20
2 shots
· 13 pass
S. Cosgrove
F · Auckland
7.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
Auckland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| N. Pijnaker | D | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Hall | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Vicelich | D | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Hiroki Sakai | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Felipe Gallegos | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Verstraete | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Callan Elliot | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Randall | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Brook | F | 89 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Cosgrove | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Howieson | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Rogerson | F | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Melbourne Victory — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 3% | — | — | — | |
| F. Lino | D | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Davidson | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Roderick | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Rawlins | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Valadon | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Genreau | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nishan Velupillay | M | 75 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Grimaldi | M | 74 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Jelacic | M | 89 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Nduka | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. D'Arrigo | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?
The final score was Auckland 2–2 Melbourne Victory.
What did the model predict before Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Auckland win, 32% to a draw, and 21% to an Melbourne Victory win.