Skip to main content
← Virsliga

Auda - Ogre United

Virsliga September 16, 2026 18:00
Auda
#3 · 57 pts
vs
Ogre United
#10 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.28%
Win
Auda
24.18%
Draw
12.54%
Win
Ogre United
1.49
Expected xG
0.5
Most likely outcome
Auda
63.28%
Probability
57.6%
1X2 accuracy · 33 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.84%)
1X2 Result
1 63%
X 24%
2 13%
Double Chance
1X 88%
X2 37%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 46%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Auda a 63% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Ogre United. Expected goals are 1.5 for Auda and 0.5 for Ogre United (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.84% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Auda have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ogre United.

Season Stats

Auda
8W 5D 2L
Ogre United
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.1
0.6
Conceded
2.7
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
80%
33%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Virsliga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Auda
6W 2D 2L · at home
Ogre United
2W 1D 7L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
2.7
60%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
30%
70%
O 1.5
100%
30%
O 2.5
80%
10%
O 3.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Auda Ogre United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6% 6.8% 1.7% 0.3% — —
1 20.3% 10.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 15.2% 7.6% 1.9% 0.3% — —
3 7.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% — —
4 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Auda Auda
D Riga 2–2
W Grobiņa 1–0
D Super Nova 1–1
W FK Liepaja 1–0
W Tukums 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Ogre United Ogre United
D FK Liepaja 2–2
L Tukums 2–1
L Rīgas FS 0–3
L FS Jelgava 2–3
L Riga 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Auda Auda
Attack
29
Defence
89
Form
63
Ogre United Ogre United
Attack
25
Defence
28
Form
21
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Auda
1
Draw
0
Ogre United
30 May 2026 Virsliga 2–0
17 Apr 2026 Virsliga 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 28 70
2 Riga Riga 29 67
3 Auda Auda 29 57
4 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 30 42
5 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 29 38
6 Super Nova Super Nova 28 35
7 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 30 32
8 Grobiņa Grobiņa 30 25
9 Tukums Tukums 30 23
10 Ogre United Ogre United 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Auda vs Ogre United?
The model gives Auda a 63% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 12% for an Ogre United win.
How many goals are expected in Auda vs Ogre United?
Expected goals: Auda 1.5, Ogre United 0.5 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Auda vs Ogre United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.84%.