Liga Nacional
· Regular Season - 10
September 19, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aurora a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Marquense 26%). The final result was Aurora 1–0 Marquense. In 4 previous meetings, Aurora have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 1 wins for Marquense.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
46.63%
Aurora ←
27.32%
X
26.06%
Marquense
we assigned to the actual result (Aurora)
46.63%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
—
—
0.89
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aurora vs Marquense?
The final score was Aurora 1–0 Marquense.
What did the model predict before Aurora vs Marquense?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Aurora win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Marquense win.