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← División Profesional
División Profesional · Apertura - 21 October 11, 2026 23:15 Felix Capriles, Cochabamba
Aurora
#6 · 34 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Nacional Potosí
#7 · 31 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Aurora, result Draw
Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro 16' (pen.)
Rodrigo Ramallo 69'
36' (ast. A. Torrico) P. Azogue
(pen.) 45'+11 M. Tomianovic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aurora a 50% win probability (draw 20%, Nacional Potosí 29%). The final result was Aurora 2–2 Nacional Potosí. In 1 previous meetings, Aurora have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nacional Potosí.

Match statistics
30
Total shots
19
7
Shots on target
8
3.73
Actual xG
2.70
6
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
12
Corners
4
9
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro (pen.)
16'
21'
P. Azogue
36'
ast. A. Torrico · P. Azogue⚽
45'+9
45'+11
(pen.) M. Tomianovic⚽
leandro barro
45'+14
↕ Ivan Huayhuata / I. Vidaurre
45'
↕ Ronaldo Sánchez / Erwin Junior Sanchez
45'
↕ Michael Rangel / Harrison Mojica
45'
↕ Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro / Henry Vaca
59'
61'
Weslen Junior / Schneider Peña Vaca ↕
69'
Óscar Damián Villalba
⚽Rodrigo Ramallo
69'
73'
Weslen Junior
Harrison Mojica
75'
Jair Torrico
79'
82'
Oscar Baldomar / D. Hoyos ↕
82'
Tommy Tobar / Weslen Junior ↕
89'
juan orellana / Maximiliano Núñez ↕
89'
Juan Batista / M. Tomianovic ↕
↕ Harrison Mojica / Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez
89'
90'+4
Juan Batista
Pre-match prediction
50.26%
Aurora
20.65%
X ←
29.09%
Nacional
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Aurora
2.06
3.73
+1.67
Nacional
1.60
2.70
+1.1
Aurora dominated by xG (3.73 vs 2.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bolívar Bolívar 23 54
2 Always Ready Always Ready 23 51
3 The Strongest The Strongest 23 45
4 Real Potosí Real Potosí 23 38
5 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 23 37
6 Aurora Aurora 23 34
7 Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí 23 31
8 Guabirá Guabirá 23 30
9 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 23 29
10 Blooming Blooming 23 28
11 Real Oruro Real Oruro 23 27
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo San Antonio Bulo Bulo 23 24
13 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 23 21
14 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 23 20
15 ABB ABB 23 20
16 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 23 20
Lineups
Aurora Aurora 4-1-4-1
12 R. Cordano R. Cordano G 7.79
70 J. Torrico J. Torrico D 7.63
22 J. Velázquez J. Velázquez D 6.26
23 I. Huayhuata I. Huayhuata 45' D 6.06
16 D. Barro D. Barro D 6.73
5 A. Amarilla A. Amarilla M 6.36
8
M 5.71
10 R. Ramallo R. Ramallo 1 ⚽ M 8.20
14 H. Sánchez H. Sánchez 45' M 6.66
69 A. Terrazas A. Terrazas 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.57
9 M. Rangel M. Rangel 45' F 6.81
Bench
25 Alvaro Rios Alvaro Rios M 0.00
20 A. Pacheco A. Pacheco F 0.00
26 D. Villca D. Villca F 0.00
11 H. Mojica H. Mojica 44' M 5.81
7 H. Vaca H. Vaca 31' F 6.54
4 I. Vidaurre I. Vidaurre 45' M 6.05
19 J. Sánchez J. Sánchez 45' M 6.08
1 J. Terrazas J. Terrazas G 0.00
21 M. Ortiz M. Ortiz M 0.00
32 S. Altamirano S. Altamirano D 0.00
18 S. Rojas S. Rojas F 0.00
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí 4-4-2
23 Pedro Galindo Pedro Galindo G 7.26
16 A. Torrico A. Torrico 1 👟 D 6.93
33 L. Demiquel L. Demiquel D 6.54
5 S. Alvarez S. Alvarez D 6.64
34 K. Medina K. Medina D 6.47
28 S. Peña S. Peña 61' M 6.25
22 D. Hoyos D. Hoyos 82' M 5.68
18 P. Azogue P. Azogue 1 ⚽ M 7.28
10 M. Núñez M. Núñez 89' M 6.89
11 M. Tomianovic M. Tomianovic 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.80
19 W. Álvarez W. Álvarez F 6.61
Bench
27 C. Abastoflor C. Abastoflor F 0.00
99 D. Villalba D. Villalba F 0.00
1 E. Arauz E. Arauz G 0.00
15 Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari M 0.00
25 J. Orellana J. Orellana 1' D 6.10
14 Juan Batista Juan Batista 1' M 5.78
7 M. Solís M. Solís F 0.00
21 Ó. Baldomar Ó. Baldomar 8' D 6.09
2 Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz M 0.00
9 T. Tobar T. Tobar 8' F 6.70
29 Weslen Júnior Weslen Júnior 21' F 6.34
30 Y. Martínez Y. Martínez M 0.00
Best on the pitch
R. Ramallo
R. Ramallo
M · Aurora
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 42 pass
M. Tomianovic
M. Tomianovic
F · Nacional
7.80
1 ⚽
5 shots · 24 pass
R. Cordano
R. Cordano
G · Aurora
7.79
· 29 pass
J. Torrico
J. Torrico
D · Aurora
7.63
1 shots · 54 pass
A. Terrazas
A. Terrazas
M · Aurora
7.57
1 ⚽
5 shots · 27 pass
P. Azogue
P. Azogue
M · Nacional
7.28
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Aurora Aurora — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Cordano G 90 7.79 — — 0 29 22% 0 — —
J. Torrico D 90 7.63 — — 1 54 42% 0 1 —
J. Velázquez D 90 6.26 — — 2 32 29% 1 — —
I. Huayhuata D 45 6.06 — — 0 15 10% 1 — —
D. Barro D 90 6.73 — — 1 27 25% 3 1 —
A. Amarilla M 90 6.36 — — 2 36 29% 3 — —
M 90 5.71 — — 3 33 27% 0 — —
R. Ramallo M 90 8.20 1 — 4 42 31% 0 — —
H. Sánchez M 45 6.66 — — 1 25 22% 0 — —
A. Terrazas M 59 7.57 1 — 5 27 26% 1 — —
M. Rangel F 45 6.81 — — 3 6 4% 0 — —
H. Mojica M 44 5.81 — — 1 19 14% 0 1 —
H. Vaca F 31 6.54 — — 4 10 7% 0 — —
I. Vidaurre M 45 6.05 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
J. Sánchez M 45 6.08 — — 2 17 13% 0 — —
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Galindo G 90 7.26 — — 0 40 24% 1 — —
A. Torrico D 90 6.93 — 1 1 31 25% 1 — —
L. Demiquel D 90 6.54 — — 1 35 33% 0 — —
S. Alvarez D 90 6.64 — — 0 46 36% 0 — —
K. Medina D 90 6.47 — — 2 16 12% 3 — —
S. Peña M 61 6.25 — — 2 13 11% 0 — —
D. Hoyos M 82 5.68 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
P. Azogue M 90 7.28 1 — 1 15 14% 4 1 —
M. Núñez M 89 6.89 — — 1 20 14% 0 — —
M. Tomianovic F 89 7.80 1 — 5 24 22% 0 — —
W. Álvarez F 90 6.61 — — 3 22 14% 0 — —
J. Orellana D 1 6.10 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Juan Batista M 1 5.78 — — 1 0 0% 0 1 —
Ó. Baldomar D 8 6.09 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Tobar F 8 6.70 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
Weslen Júnior F 21 6.34 — — 0 1 1% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
The final score was Aurora 2–2 Nacional Potosí.
What did the model predict before Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Aurora win, 20% to a draw, and 29% to an Nacional Potosí win.