MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 17, 2026 02:30
E. Torres
57'
45'+2
(ast. S. Moreno)
L. Abubakar
73'
(ast. J. Valiente)
P. Musa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Austin 27%). The final result was Austin 1–2 FC Dallas.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
0.51
Actual xG
0.96
4
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
4
15
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
33'
Ramiro
M. Djordjevic
35'
45'+2
ast. S. Moreno ·
L. Abubakar⚽
I. Sanchez
/ P. Placheta
46'
J. Rosales
/ F. Torres
46'
⚽E. Torres
57'
60'
B. Kamungo
63'
J. Valiente
J. Gallagher
/ Z. Kolmanic
63'
C. Ramirez
/ B. Vazquez
63'
O. Svatok
68'
70'
L. Farrington
/
S. Moreno
73'
ast. J. Valiente ·
P. Musa⚽
79'
Kaick
/
Ramiro
Guilherme Biro
/ J. Nelson
82'
83'
O. Urhoghide
85'
C. Holstad
/
J. Valiente
85'
R. Binyamin
/
P. Musa
M. Uzuni
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
27.69%
Austin
25.9%
X
46.41%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
46.41%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.51
-0.41
1.44
0.96
-0.48
FC Dallas dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
B. Stuver
G
B. Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
82'
D
Guilherme Biro
82'
D
5
O. Svatok
D
O. Svatok
D
35
M. Đorđević
D
M. Đorđević
D
17
J. Gallagher
63'
M
J. Gallagher
63'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
45'
M
Ilie Sánchez
45'
M
14
B. Šabović
M
B. Šabović
M
30
J. Rosales
45'
M
J. Rosales
45'
M
10
M. Uzuni
F
M. Uzuni
F
21
C. Ramirez
63'
F
C. Ramirez
63'
F
38
Ervin Torres
1 ⚽
F
Ervin Torres
1 ⚽
F
Bench
4
B. Hines-Ike
D
B. Hines-Ike
D
9
B. Vázquez
27'
F
B. Vázquez
27'
F
12
D. Las
G
D. Las
G
11
F. Torres
45'
F
F. Torres
45'
F
15
J. Bell
D
J. Bell
D
7
J. Nelson
8'
F
J. Nelson
8'
F
24
Jorge Alastuey
M
Jorge Alastuey
M
77
P. Płacheta
45'
M
P. Płacheta
45'
M
23
Ž. Kolmanič
27'
D
Ž. Kolmanič
27'
D
40
J. Sirois
G
J. Sirois
G
5
L. Abubakar
1 ⚽
D
L. Abubakar
1 ⚽
D
3
O. Urhoghide
D
O. Urhoghide
D
25
S. Ibeagha
D
S. Ibeagha
D
77
B. Kamungo
M
B. Kamungo
M
12
C. Cappis
M
C. Cappis
M
17
Ramiro
79'
M
Ramiro
79'
M
14
H. Johansson
M
H. Johansson
M
10
S. Moreno
1 👟
70'
F
S. Moreno
1 👟
70'
F
21
J. Valiente
1 👟
85'
F
J. Valiente
1 👟
85'
F
9
P. Musa
1 ⚽
85'
F
P. Musa
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
22
Alvaro Augusto
D
Alvaro Augusto
D
33
Clay Holstad
16'
M
Clay Holstad
16'
M
24
Joshua Torquato
D
Joshua Torquato
D
55
Kaick
11'
M
Kaick
11'
M
23
L. Farrington
20'
F
L. Farrington
20'
F
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
6
R. Binyamin
16'
M
R. Binyamin
16'
M
28
Samuel Sarver
F
Samuel Sarver
F
18
S. Moore
D
S. Moore
D
Best on the pitch
Ervin Torres
F · Austin
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 53 pass
P. Musa
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
S. Moreno
F · FC
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
B. Stuver
G · Austin
7.60
· 38 pass
L. Abubakar
D · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
J. Sirois
G · FC
7.30
· 27 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stuver | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 78 | 72% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Gallagher | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Vázquez | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Płacheta | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Kolmanič | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sirois | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Abubakar | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| B. Kamungo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Cappis | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Johansson | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Moreno | F | 70 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Valiente | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Musa | F | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Clay Holstad | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Farrington | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Binyamin | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs FC Dallas?
The final score was Austin 1–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before Austin vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Austin win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an FC Dallas win.