MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 04:30
J. Nelson
(ast. F. Torres)
13'
M. Uzuni
(ast. J. Rosales)
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Austin 34%). The final result was Austin 2–0 Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
0.93
Actual xG
0.66
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
10
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Nelson
· ast. F. Torres
13'
B. Hines-Ike
27'
J. Nelson
/ J. Gallagher
40'
45'+1
Artur
⚽M. Uzuni
· ast. J. Rosales
45'+2
46'
Antonio Carlos
/
A. Resch
55'
J. McGlynn
/
S. Vines
55'
D. Samassekou
/
Artur
J. Rosales
59'
I. Sanchez
/ N. Dubersarsky
65'
C. Ramirez
/ C. Fodrey
66'
M. Desler
70'
F. Torres
72'
75'
N. Markanich
/
H. Herrera
80'
L. Ennali
82'
I. Aliyu
/
Felipe Andrade
Guilherme Biro
/ J. Bell
83'
F. Torres
/ B. Sabovic
84'
Pre-match prediction
34.69%
Austin ←
28.03%
X
37.28%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Austin)
34.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.93
-0.51
1.68
0.66
-1.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
84'
D
Guilherme Biro
84'
D
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
5
D
3
Mikkel Desler
D
Mikkel Desler
D
7
J. Nelson
1 ⚽
40'
M
30
Joseph Rosales
1 👟
M
Joseph Rosales
1 👟
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
66'
M
Ilie Sánchez
66'
M
11
Facundo Torres
1 👟
84'
M
Facundo Torres
1 👟
84'
M
21
Christian Ramirez
65'
F
Christian Ramirez
65'
F
10
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Besard Sabović
11'
M
Besard Sabović
11'
M
19
Calvin Fodrey
30'
M
Calvin Fodrey
30'
M
15
Jonathan Bell
11'
D
Jonathan Bell
11'
D
17
Jon Gallagher
55'
D
Jon Gallagher
55'
D
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
Mateja Đorđević
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
29'
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
29'
M
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
13
Sam Vines
55'
D
Sam Vines
55'
D
34
Agustin Resch
45'
D
Agustin Resch
45'
D
28
Erik Sviatchenko
D
Erik Sviatchenko
D
36
Felipe Andrade
82'
D
Felipe Andrade
82'
D
19
Mateusz Bogusz
M
Mateusz Bogusz
M
16
Héctor Herrera
75'
M
Héctor Herrera
75'
M
6
Artur
55'
M
Artur
55'
M
11
Lawrence Ennali
M
Lawrence Ennali
M
10
Ezequiel Ponce
F
Ezequiel Ponce
F
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
Bench
30
Agustín Bouzat
M
Agustín Bouzat
M
18
Diadié Samassékou
40'
M
Diadié Samassékou
40'
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
13'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
13'
F
8
Jack McGlynn
40'
M
Jack McGlynn
40'
M
1
J. Maurer
G
17
Nick Markanich
20'
F
Nick Markanich
20'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Nelson
M · Austin
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Facundo Torres
M · Austin
8.20
1 👟
· 40 pass
Joseph Rosales
M · Austin
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 56 pass
Jack McGlynn
M · Houston
7.30
· 49 pass
Myrto Uzuni
F · Austin
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Mikkel Desler
D · Austin
7.30
· 38 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | — | — | — | |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Nelson | M | 40 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Torres | M | 84 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Sam Vines | D | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik Sviatchenko | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jack McGlynn | M | 40 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Nick Markanich | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Austin 2–0 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Austin win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Houston Dynamo win.