MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 02:30
J. Nelson
(ast. F. Torres)
13'
M. Uzuni
(ast. J. Rosales)
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Austin 34%). The final result was Austin 2–0 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Austin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
0.93
Actual xG
0.66
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
10
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Nelson
· ast. F. Torres
13'
B. Hines-Ike
27'
J. Nelson
/ J. Gallagher
40'
45'+1
Artur
⚽M. Uzuni
· ast. J. Rosales
45'+2
46'
Antonio Carlos
/
A. Resch
55'
J. McGlynn
/
S. Vines
55'
D. Samassekou
/
Artur
J. Rosales
59'
I. Sanchez
/ N. Dubersarsky
65'
C. Ramirez
/ C. Fodrey
66'
M. Desler
70'
F. Torres
72'
75'
N. Markanich
/
H. Herrera
80'
L. Ennali
82'
I. Aliyu
/
Felipe Andrade
Guilherme Biro
/ J. Bell
83'
F. Torres
/ B. Sabovic
84'
Pre-match prediction
34.69%
Austin ←
28.03%
X
37.28%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Austin)
34.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.93
-0.51
1.68
0.66
-1.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
84'
D
Guilherme Biro
84'
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
D
B. Hines-Ike
D
5
D
3
M. Desler
D
M. Desler
D
7
J. Nelson
1 ⚽
40'
M
J. Nelson
1 ⚽
40'
M
30
J. Rosales
1 👟
M
J. Rosales
1 👟
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
66'
M
Ilie Sánchez
66'
M
11
F. Torres
1 👟
84'
M
F. Torres
1 👟
84'
M
21
C. Ramirez
65'
F
C. Ramirez
65'
F
10
M. Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
M. Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
B. Šabović
11'
M
B. Šabović
11'
M
19
C. Fodrey
30'
M
C. Fodrey
30'
M
15
J. Bell
11'
D
J. Bell
11'
D
17
J. Gallagher
55'
D
J. Gallagher
55'
D
35
M. Đorđević
D
M. Đorđević
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
29'
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
29'
M
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
13
S. Vines
55'
D
S. Vines
55'
D
34
A. Resch
45'
D
A. Resch
45'
D
28
E. Sviatchenko
D
E. Sviatchenko
D
36
Felipe Andrade
82'
D
Felipe Andrade
82'
D
19
M. Bogusz
M
M. Bogusz
M
16
H. Herrera
75'
M
H. Herrera
75'
M
6
Artur
55'
M
Artur
55'
M
11
L. Ennali
M
L. Ennali
M
10
E. Ponce
F
E. Ponce
F
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
M
A. Bouzat
M
24
A. Ibrahim
13'
F
A. Ibrahim
13'
F
14
D. Holmes
M
D. Holmes
M
18
D. Samassékou
40'
M
D. Samassékou
40'
M
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
1
J. Maurer
G
8
J. McGlynn
40'
M
J. McGlynn
40'
M
17
N. Markanich
20'
F
N. Markanich
20'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Nelson
M · Austin
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
F. Torres
M · Austin
8.20
1 👟
· 40 pass
J. Rosales
M · Austin
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 56 pass
J. McGlynn
M · Houston
7.30
· 49 pass
M. Uzuni
F · Austin
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
M. Desler
D · Austin
7.30
· 38 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | — | — | — | |
| M. Desler | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Nelson | M | 40 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 84 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Fodrey | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Bell | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | D | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| S. Vines | D | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Sviatchenko | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Ennali | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 40 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | — | — |
| N. Markanich | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Austin 2–0 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Austin win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Houston Dynamo win.