MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 11, 2026 20:30
Myrto Uzuni
85'
34'
(ast. Marco Reus)
Maya Yoshida
78'
(ast. Carlos Garcés)
Erik Thommy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Austin 32%). The final result was Austin 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
7
0.65
Actual xG
0.73
5
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
6
8
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
24'
Mauricio Cuevas
Ilie Sánchez
/ Besard Sabović
30'
34'
ast. Marco Reus ·
Maya Yoshida⚽
42'
Edwin Cerrillo
Besard Sabović
52'
Nicolas Dubersarsky
/ Jayden Nelson
61'
Jon Gallagher
/ Mikkel Desler
61'
62'
João Klauss
/
Lucas Sanabria
62'
John Nelson
/
Miki Yamane
71'
Carlos Garcés
/
Julián Aude
72'
Elijah Wynder
/
Marco Reus
Guilherme Biro
75'
78'
ast. Carlos Garcés ·
Erik Thommy⚽
Christian Ramirez
/ Calvin Fodrey
78'
Joseph Rosales
/ Daniel Pereira
79'
83'
Harbor Miller
/
Gabriel Pec
⚽Myrto Uzuni
85'
89'
James Marcinkowski
Mikkel Desler
90'+4
90'+4
Erik Thommy
Pre-match prediction
32.68%
Austin
29.65%
X
37.67%
Los ←
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
37.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.65
-0.6
1.67
0.73
-0.94
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
5
D
17
Jon Gallagher
61'
D
Jon Gallagher
61'
D
30
Joseph Rosales
79'
M
Joseph Rosales
79'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
30'
M
Ilie Sánchez
30'
M
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
61'
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
61'
M
11
F. Torres
M
F. Torres
M
10
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
21
Christian Ramirez
78'
F
Christian Ramirez
78'
F
Bench
14
Besard Sabović
60'
M
Besard Sabović
60'
M
19
Calvin Fodrey
12'
M
Calvin Fodrey
12'
M
8
Daniel Pereira
11'
M
Daniel Pereira
11'
M
7
Jayden Nelson
29'
F
Jayden Nelson
29'
F
15
Jonathan Bell
D
Jonathan Bell
D
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
Mateja Đorđević
D
3
Mikkel Desler
29'
D
Mikkel Desler
29'
D
12
JT Marcinkowski
G
JT Marcinkowski
G
3
Julián Aude
71'
D
Julián Aude
71'
D
4
Maya Yoshida
1 ⚽
D
Maya Yoshida
1 ⚽
D
15
Justin Haak
D
Justin Haak
D
19
Mauricio Cuevas
M
Mauricio Cuevas
M
6
Edwin Cerrillo
M
Edwin Cerrillo
M
8
Lucas Sanabria
62'
M
Lucas Sanabria
62'
M
2
Miki Yamane
62'
M
Miki Yamane
62'
M
27
Erik Thommy
1 ⚽
F
Erik Thommy
1 ⚽
F
11
Gabriel Pec
83'
F
Gabriel Pec
83'
F
18
M. Reus
1 👟
72'
F
M. Reus
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
25
Carlos Garcés
1 👟
19'
D
Carlos Garcés
1 👟
19'
D
22
Elijah Wynder
18'
M
Elijah Wynder
18'
M
26
Harbor Miller
13'
D
Harbor Miller
13'
D
99
João Klauss
28'
F
João Klauss
28'
F
24
Ruben Ramos
F
Ruben Ramos
F
Best on the pitch
Myrto Uzuni
F · Austin
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Erik Thommy
F · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
JT Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.90
· 21 pass
Maya Yoshida
D · Los
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
Christian Ramirez
F · Austin
7.50
2 shots
· 8 pass
M. Reus
F · Los
7.00
1 👟
· 22 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 84 | 82% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Julián Aude | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Justin Haak | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Miki Yamane | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Erik Thommy | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Pec | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Reus | F | 72 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| João Klauss | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Austin 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Austin win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.