MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 11, 2026 20:30
Myrto Uzuni
85'
34'
(ast. Marco Reus)
Maya Yoshida
78'
(ast. Carlos Garcés)
Erik Thommy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Austin 32%). The final result was Austin 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
7
0.65
Actual xG
0.73
5
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
6
8
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
24'
Mauricio Cuevas
Ilie Sánchez
/ Besard Sabović
30'
34'
ast. Marco Reus ·
Maya Yoshida⚽
42'
Edwin Cerrillo
Besard Sabović
52'
Nicolas Dubersarsky
/ Jayden Nelson
61'
Jon Gallagher
/ Mikkel Desler
61'
62'
João Klauss
/
Lucas Sanabria
62'
John Nelson
/
Miki Yamane
71'
Carlos Garcés
/
Julián Aude
72'
Elijah Wynder
/
Marco Reus
Guilherme Biro
75'
78'
ast. Carlos Garcés ·
Erik Thommy⚽
Christian Ramirez
/ Calvin Fodrey
78'
Joseph Rosales
/ Daniel Pereira
79'
83'
Harbor Miller
/
Gabriel Pec
⚽Myrto Uzuni
85'
89'
James Marcinkowski
Mikkel Desler
90'+4
90'+4
Erik Thommy
Pre-match prediction
32.68%
Austin
29.65%
X
37.67%
Los ←
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
37.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.65
-0.6
1.67
0.73
-0.94
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
D
B. Hines-Ike
D
5
D
17
J. Gallagher
61'
D
J. Gallagher
61'
D
30
J. Rosales
79'
M
J. Rosales
79'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
30'
M
Ilie Sánchez
30'
M
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
61'
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
61'
M
11
F. Torres
M
F. Torres
M
10
M. Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
M. Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
21
C. Ramirez
78'
F
C. Ramirez
78'
F
Bench
14
B. Šabović
60'
M
B. Šabović
60'
M
19
C. Fodrey
12'
M
C. Fodrey
12'
M
8
Daniel Pereira
11'
M
Daniel Pereira
11'
M
15
J. Bell
D
J. Bell
D
7
J. Nelson
29'
F
J. Nelson
29'
F
3
M. Desler
29'
D
M. Desler
29'
D
35
M. Đorđević
D
M. Đorđević
D
12
J. Marcinkowski
G
J. Marcinkowski
G
3
J. Aude
71'
D
J. Aude
71'
D
4
M. Yoshida
1 ⚽
D
M. Yoshida
1 ⚽
D
15
J. Haak
D
J. Haak
D
19
M. Cuevas
M
M. Cuevas
M
6
E. Cerrillo
M
E. Cerrillo
M
8
L. Sanabria
62'
M
L. Sanabria
62'
M
2
M. Yamane
62'
M
M. Yamane
62'
M
27
E. Thommy
1 ⚽
F
E. Thommy
1 ⚽
F
11
Gabriel Pec
83'
F
Gabriel Pec
83'
F
18
M. Reus
1 👟
72'
F
M. Reus
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
25
C. Garcés
1 👟
19'
D
C. Garcés
1 👟
19'
D
22
E. Wynder
18'
M
E. Wynder
18'
M
26
Harbor Miller
13'
D
Harbor Miller
13'
D
99
João Klauss
28'
F
João Klauss
28'
F
24
R. Ramos
F
R. Ramos
F
Best on the pitch
M. Uzuni
F · Austin
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
E. Thommy
F · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
J. Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.90
· 21 pass
M. Yoshida
D · Los
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
C. Ramirez
F · Austin
7.50
2 shots
· 8 pass
M. Reus
F · Los
7.00
1 👟
· 22 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 84 | 82% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Gallagher | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Fodrey | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Desler | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marcinkowski | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Aude | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Yoshida | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| J. Haak | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cuevas | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Cerrillo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Sanabria | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Yamane | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| E. Thommy | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Pec | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Reus | F | 72 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Garcés | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Wynder | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| João Klauss | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Austin 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Austin win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.