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MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 11, 2026 02:30 Q2 Stadium, Austin
Austin
#14 · 34 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Nashville SC
#1 · 70 pts
Brandon Vazquez (ast. Facundo Daniel Torres Perez) 76'
30' Reed Baker-Whiting
67' Elias Saad
88' Shakur Mohammed
90'+1 (ast. Shakur Mohammed) Hany Mukhtar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 59% win probability (draw 18%, Austin 22%). The final result was Austin 1–4 Nashville SC.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
24
5
Shots on target
11
1.16
Actual xG
4.96
7
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
6
7
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
30'
Reed Baker-Whiting⚽
Guilherme Biro
37'
↕ Jon Bell / Brendan Hines-Ike
45'
↕ Myrto Uzuni / Christian Ramirez
60'
↕ Jorge Alastuey / Besard Sabovic
61'
67'
Elias Saad⚽
69'
Shakur Mohammed / Elias Saad ↕
↕ Mikkel Desler / Przemyslaw Płacheta
69'
76'
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth / Patrick Yazbek ↕
76'
Daniel Lovitz / Andy Najar ↕
⚽Brandon Vazquez · ast. Facundo Daniel Torres Perez
76'
78'
Shakur Mohammed
83'
Brian Schwake
88'
Shakur Mohammed⚽
89'
josh bauer / Cristian Espinoza ↕
90'+1
ast. Shakur Mohammed · Hany Mukhtar⚽
90'
Bryan Acosta / matthew corcoran ↕
Pre-match prediction
22.46%
Austin
18.18%
X
59.36%
Nashville ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 59.36% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Austin
1.24
1.16
-0.08
Nashville
2.44
4.96
+2.52
Nashville SC dominated by xG (4.96 vs 1.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 31 55
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 54
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 31 48
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 48
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 32 47
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 31 43
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 32 41
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 39
11 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 37
12 San Diego San Diego 31 35
13 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 35
14 Austin Austin 31 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 31 22
Lineups
Austin Austin 3-4-3
1 B. Stuver B. Stuver G 6.82
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro D 5.70
15 J. Bell J. Bell 45' D 5.69
3 M. Desler M. Desler 69' D 5.63
17 J. Gallagher J. Gallagher M 5.84
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez M 5.82
38 Ervin Torres Ervin Torres M 6.00
11 F. Torres F. Torres 1 👟 M 6.95
9 B. Vázquez B. Vázquez 1 ⚽ F 7.58
24 Jorge Alastuey Jorge Alastuey 61' F 6.39
10 M. Uzuni M. Uzuni 60' M 6.42
Bench
4 B. Hines-Ike B. Hines-Ike 45' D 6.09
14 B. Šabović B. Šabović 29' M 6.00
22 Chris Applewhite Chris Applewhite D 0.00
21 C. Ramirez C. Ramirez 30' F 6.29
12 D. Las D. Las G 0.00
32 M. Burton M. Burton M 0.00
35 M. Đorđević M. Đorđević D 0.00
5 O. Svatok O. Svatok D 0.00
77 P. Płacheta P. Płacheta 21' M 5.41
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 6.53
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting 1 ⚽ D 8.35
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi D 6.96
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 7.17
31 A. Najar A. Najar 76' D 7.01
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran 89' M 6.76
8 P. Yazbek P. Yazbek 76' M 6.60
11 E. Saad E. Saad 1 ⚽ 69' M 8.20
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar 1 ⚽ M 8.64
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 89' M 7.20
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge F 6.81
Bench
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl M 0.00
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 1' M 0.00
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 14' D 6.23
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth 14' M 6.43
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 1' D 6.63
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 0.00
1 J. Willis J. Willis G 0.00
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 1 ⚽ 1 👟 21' M 7.50
41 W. Madrigal W. Madrigal F 0.00
Best on the pitch
H. Mukhtar
H. Mukhtar
M · Nashville
8.64
1 ⚽
5 shots · 43 pass
R. Baker-Whiting
R. Baker-Whiting
D · Nashville
8.35
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
E. Saad
E. Saad
M · Nashville
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 26 pass
B. Vázquez
B. Vázquez
F · Austin
7.58
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
S. Mohammed
S. Mohammed
M · Nashville
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
C. Espinoza
C. Espinoza
M · Nashville
7.20
3 shots · 42 pass
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Stuver G 90 6.82 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
Guilherme Biro D 90 5.70 — — 0 35 31% 2 1 —
J. Bell D 45 5.69 — — 0 22 18% 0 — —
M. Desler D 69 5.63 — — 0 19 17% 0 — —
J. Gallagher M 90 5.84 — — 1 27 20% 0 — —
Ilie Sánchez M 90 5.82 — — 0 51 42% 0 — —
Ervin Torres M 90 6.00 — — 2 38 32% 0 — —
F. Torres M 90 6.95 — 1 1 29 24% 0 — —
B. Vázquez F 90 7.58 1 — 5 20 12% 0 — —
Jorge Alastuey F 61 6.39 — — 0 18 16% 1 — —
M. Uzuni M 60 6.42 — — 1 12 11% 1 — —
B. Hines-Ike D 45 6.09 — — 0 31 28% 1 — —
B. Šabović M 29 6.00 — — 1 18 17% 0 — —
C. Ramirez F 30 6.29 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
P. Płacheta M 21 5.41 — — 0 9 7% 2 — —
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 90 6.53 — — 0 31 20% 0 1 —
R. Baker-Whiting D 90 8.35 1 — 2 35 30% 4 — —
M. Woledzi D 90 6.96 — — 0 54 50% 1 — —
J. Palacios D 90 7.17 — — 1 58 54% 0 — —
A. Najar D 76 7.01 — — 1 54 50% 0 — —
M. Corcoran M 89 6.76 — — 0 64 60% 1 — —
P. Yazbek M 76 6.60 — — 1 47 43% 2 — —
E. Saad M 69 8.20 1 — 4 26 23% 0 — —
H. Mukhtar M 90 8.64 1 — 5 43 40% 1 — —
C. Espinoza M 89 7.20 — — 3 42 35% 2 — —
S. Surridge F 90 6.81 — — 5 26 15% 1 — —
B. Acosta M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
D. Lovitz D 14 6.23 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
E. Tagseth M 14 6.43 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
J. Bauer D 1 6.63 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
S. Mohammed M 21 7.50 1 1 2 12 11% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Nashville SC?
The final score was Austin 1–4 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Austin win, 18% to a draw, and 59% to an Nashville SC win.