MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 03:30
I. Sanchez
(ast. B. Sabovic)
11'
M. Uzuni
(ast. E. Torres)
86'
C. Ramirez
(ast. E. Torres)
90'+1
26'
P. Rothrock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 33%). The final result was Austin 3–1 Seattle Sounders. In 1 previous meetings, Austin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.15
Actual xG
1.25
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
4
8
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽I. Sanchez
· ast. B. Sabovic
11'
26'
P. Rothrock⚽
59'
J. Ragen
B. Sabovic
60'
B. Sabovic
/ O. Wolff
62'
62'
O. De Rosario
/
D. Musovski
J. Rosales
/ P. Placheta
62'
B. Hines-Ike
/ M. Djordjevic
63'
66'
K. Kossa-Rienzi
/
P. Kingston
67'
P. Arriola
/
S. Brunell
B. Vazquez
/ C. Ramirez
83'
F. Torres
/ E. Torres
83'
⚽M. Uzuni
· ast. E. Torres
86'
M. Uzuni
88'
88'
S. Gomez
/
Nouhou
⚽C. Ramirez
· ast. E. Torres
90'+1
90'+4
J. Ragen
90'+4
J. Ragen
Pre-match prediction
42.91%
Austin ←
24.01%
X
33.08%
Seattle
we assigned to the actual result (Austin)
42.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.15
-0.68
1.48
1.25
-0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 1.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Stuver
G
B. Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
5
O. Svatok
D
O. Svatok
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
63'
D
B. Hines-Ike
63'
D
17
J. Gallagher
M
J. Gallagher
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
1 ⚽
M
Ilie Sánchez
1 ⚽
M
14
B. Šabović
1 👟
62'
M
B. Šabović
1 👟
62'
M
30
J. Rosales
62'
M
J. Rosales
62'
M
10
M. Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
M. Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
9
B. Vázquez
83'
F
B. Vázquez
83'
F
11
F. Torres
83'
F
F. Torres
83'
F
Bench
21
C. Ramirez
1 ⚽
11'
F
C. Ramirez
1 ⚽
11'
F
12
D. Las
G
D. Las
G
38
Ervin Torres
2 👟
11'
M
Ervin Torres
2 👟
11'
M
7
J. Nelson
F
J. Nelson
F
35
M. Đorđević
31'
D
M. Đorđević
31'
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
33
Owen Wolff
32'
M
Owen Wolff
32'
M
77
P. Płacheta
32'
M
P. Płacheta
32'
M
23
Ž. Kolmanič
D
Ž. Kolmanič
D
26
A. Thomas
G
A. Thomas
G
5
N. Tolo
88'
D
N. Tolo
88'
D
25
J. Ragen
D
J. Ragen
D
39
S. Hawkins
D
S. Hawkins
D
45
P. Kingston
66'
D
P. Kingston
66'
D
31
H. Dotson
M
H. Dotson
M
37
S. Brunell
67'
M
S. Brunell
67'
M
14
P. Rothrock
1 ⚽
M
P. Rothrock
1 ⚽
M
11
A. Rusnák
M
A. Rusnák
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
M
Jesús Ferreira
M
19
D. Musovski
62'
F
D. Musovski
62'
F
Bench
35
Antino Lopez
D
Antino Lopez
D
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
28'
M
K. Kossa-Rienzi
28'
M
50
Max Anchor
G
Max Anchor
G
95
O. De Rosario
32'
F
O. De Rosario
32'
F
17
P. Arriola
27'
F
P. Arriola
27'
F
24
S. Frei
G
S. Frei
G
90
S. Gomez
6'
M
S. Gomez
6'
M
28
Yeimar Gómez
D
Yeimar Gómez
D
Best on the pitch
Ilie Sánchez
M · Austin
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Ervin Torres
M · Austin
7.90
2 👟
· 5 pass
M. Uzuni
F · Austin
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
C. Ramirez
F · Austin
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
F. Torres
F · Austin
7.30
· 27 pass
B. Vázquez
F · Austin
7.20
2 shots
· 14 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stuver | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 72% | — | — | — |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Vázquez | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 11 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 11 | 7.90 | — | 2 | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Płacheta | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Tolo | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ragen | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | — | 2 | 1 |
| S. Hawkins | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Kingston | D | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| H. Dotson | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| S. Brunell | M | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Rothrock | M | 94 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rusnák | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Musovski | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| O. De Rosario | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Arriola | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Gomez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Austin 3–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Austin win, 24% to a draw, and 33% to an Seattle Sounders win.