MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 03:30
I. Sanchez
(ast. B. Sabovic)
11'
M. Uzuni
(ast. E. Torres)
86'
C. Ramirez
(ast. E. Torres)
90'+1
26'
P. Rothrock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 33%). The final result was Austin 3–1 Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.15
Actual xG
1.25
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
4
8
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽I. Sanchez
· ast. B. Sabovic
11'
26'
P. Rothrock⚽
59'
J. Ragen
B. Sabovic
60'
B. Sabovic
/ O. Wolff
62'
62'
O. De Rosario
/
D. Musovski
J. Rosales
/ P. Placheta
62'
B. Hines-Ike
/ M. Djordjevic
63'
66'
K. Kossa-Rienzi
/
P. Kingston
67'
P. Arriola
/
S. Brunell
B. Vazquez
/ C. Ramirez
83'
F. Torres
/ E. Torres
83'
⚽M. Uzuni
· ast. E. Torres
86'
M. Uzuni
88'
88'
S. Gomez
/
Nouhou
⚽C. Ramirez
· ast. E. Torres
90'+1
90'+4
J. Ragen
90'+4
J. Ragen
Pre-match prediction
42.91%
Austin ←
24.01%
X
33.08%
Seattle
we assigned to the actual result (Austin)
42.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.15
-0.68
1.48
1.25
-0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 1.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Brad Stuver
G
Brad Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
5
Oleksandr Svatok
D
Oleksandr Svatok
D
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
63'
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
63'
D
17
Jon Gallagher
M
Jon Gallagher
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
1 ⚽
M
Ilie Sánchez
1 ⚽
M
14
Besard Sabović
1 👟
62'
M
Besard Sabović
1 👟
62'
M
30
Joseph Rosales
62'
M
Joseph Rosales
62'
M
10
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
F
9
Brandon Vázquez
83'
F
Brandon Vázquez
83'
F
11
F. Torres
83'
F
F. Torres
83'
F
Bench
21
Christian Ramirez
1 ⚽
11'
F
Christian Ramirez
1 ⚽
11'
F
12
Damian Las
G
Damian Las
G
38
Ervin Torres
2 👟
11'
M
Ervin Torres
2 👟
11'
M
7
Jayden Nelson
F
Jayden Nelson
F
35
Mateja Đorđević
31'
D
Mateja Đorđević
31'
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
33
Owen Wolff
32'
M
Owen Wolff
32'
M
77
Przemysław Płacheta
32'
M
Przemysław Płacheta
32'
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
Žan Kolmanič
D
26
Andrew Thomas
G
Andrew Thomas
G
5
N. Tolo
88'
D
N. Tolo
88'
D
25
J. Ragen
D
J. Ragen
D
39
Stuart Hawkins
D
Stuart Hawkins
D
45
Peter Kingston
66'
D
Peter Kingston
66'
D
31
Hassani Dotson
M
Hassani Dotson
M
37
Snyder Brunell
67'
M
Snyder Brunell
67'
M
14
Paul Rothrock
1 ⚽
M
Paul Rothrock
1 ⚽
M
11
Albert Rusnák
M
Albert Rusnák
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
M
Jesús Ferreira
M
19
Daniel Musovski
62'
F
Daniel Musovski
62'
F
Bench
35
Antino Lopez
D
Antino Lopez
D
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
28'
M
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
28'
M
50
Max Anchor
G
Max Anchor
G
95
Osaze De Rosario
32'
F
Osaze De Rosario
32'
F
17
Paul Arriola
27'
F
Paul Arriola
27'
F
90
Sebastian Gomez
6'
M
Sebastian Gomez
6'
M
24
Stefan Frei
G
Stefan Frei
G
28
Yeimar Gómez
D
Yeimar Gómez
D
Best on the pitch
Ilie Sánchez
M · Austin
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Ervin Torres
M · Austin
7.90
2 👟
· 5 pass
Myrto Uzuni
F · Austin
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Christian Ramirez
F · Austin
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
F. Torres
F · Austin
7.30
· 27 pass
Brandon Vázquez
F · Austin
7.20
2 shots
· 14 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Brandon Vázquez | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 11 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 11 | 7.90 | — | 2 | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Przemysław Płacheta | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Thomas | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Tolo | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ragen | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Stuart Hawkins | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | D | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 94 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Austin 3–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Austin win, 24% to a draw, and 33% to an Seattle Sounders win.