MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 02:30
M. Desler
45'+1
80'
(ast. S. Suleymanov)
M. Garcia
82'
S. Afrifa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Sporting Kansas City 28%). The final result was Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City. In 2 previous meetings, Austin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
8
0.46
Actual xG
1.42
6
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
Capita
⚽M. Desler
45'+1
46'
S. Suleymanov
/
Capita
47'
J. Davis
O. Svatok
57'
O. Wolff
/ J. Gallagher
60'
C. Ramirez
/ J. Nelson
60'
I. Sanchez
61'
63'
Z. Bassong
64'
M. Garcia
/
Z. Bassong
64'
J. Reynolds
/
J. Davis
J. Nelson
71'
F. Torres
/ B. Vazquez
73'
I. Sanchez
/ M. Djordjevic
73'
75'
S. Afrifa
/
T. Calheira
80'
ast. S. Suleymanov ·
M. Garcia⚽
82'
S. Afrifa⚽
M. Desler
/ C. Fodrey
84'
C. Fodrey
86'
Pre-match prediction
46.65%
Austin
25.32%
X
28.03%
Sporting ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Kansas City)
28.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
0.46
-1.25
1.24
1.42
+0.17
Sporting Kansas City dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Stuver
G
B. Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
15
J. Bell
D
J. Bell
D
5
O. Svatok
D
O. Svatok
D
3
M. Desler
1 ⚽
84'
D
M. Desler
1 ⚽
84'
D
33
O. Wolff
60'
M
O. Wolff
60'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
73'
M
Ilie Sánchez
73'
M
30
J. Rosales
M
J. Rosales
M
11
F. Torres
73'
M
F. Torres
73'
M
10
M. Uzuni
F
M. Uzuni
F
21
C. Ramirez
60'
F
C. Ramirez
60'
F
Bench
9
B. Vázquez
17'
F
B. Vázquez
17'
F
19
C. Fodrey
11'
M
C. Fodrey
11'
M
12
D. Las
G
D. Las
G
8
D. Pereira
17'
M
D. Pereira
17'
M
17
J. Gallagher
30'
D
J. Gallagher
30'
D
7
J. Nelson
30'
F
J. Nelson
30'
F
35
M. Đorđević
D
M. Đorđević
D
20
N. Dubersarsky
M
N. Dubersarsky
M
23
Ž. Kolmanič
D
Ž. Kolmanič
D
30
S. Cleveland
G
S. Cleveland
G
99
J. Reid
D
J. Reid
D
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
Wyatt Meyer
D
2
I. James
D
I. James
D
8
J. Davis
64'
D
J. Davis
64'
D
11
C. Harris
M
C. Harris
M
22
Z. Bassong
64'
M
Z. Bassong
64'
M
4
L. Johnsen
M
L. Johnsen
M
7
Capita
45'
M
Capita
45'
M
19
T. Calheira
75'
F
T. Calheira
75'
F
9
D. Joveljić
F
D. Joveljić
F
Bench
57
Diego Borges
D
Diego Borges
D
23
E. Bartlow
D
E. Bartlow
D
16
J. Bartlett
D
J. Bartlett
D
1
J. Pulskamp
G
J. Pulskamp
G
13
J. Reynolds
26'
D
J. Reynolds
26'
D
6
Manu García
1 ⚽
26'
M
Manu García
1 ⚽
26'
M
93
M. Suleymanov
1 👟
45'
F
M. Suleymanov
1 👟
45'
F
14
M. Tschantret
M
17
S. Afrifa
1 ⚽
15'
F
S. Afrifa
1 ⚽
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Manu García
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
S. Afrifa
F · Sporting
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
B. Stuver
G · Austin
7.30
· 32 pass
J. Bell
D · Austin
7.30
· 43 pass
M. Desler
D · Austin
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Wyatt Meyer
D · Sporting
7.20
· 56 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stuver | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Bell | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Desler | D | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| O. Wolff | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Vázquez | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Fodrey | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Pereira | M | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Nelson | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cleveland | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Reid | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Wyatt Meyer | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| I. James | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Davis | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Harris | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Bassong | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Johnsen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Capita | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Calheira | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Reynolds | D | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Manu García | M | 26 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Suleymanov | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Afrifa | F | 15 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Austin win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Sporting Kansas City win.