MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 02:30
M. Desler
45'+1
80'
(ast. S. Suleymanov)
M. Garcia
82'
S. Afrifa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Sporting Kansas City 28%). The final result was Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City. In 1 previous meetings, Austin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
8
0.46
Actual xG
1.42
6
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
Capita
⚽M. Desler
45'+1
46'
S. Suleymanov
/
Capita
47'
J. Davis
O. Svatok
57'
O. Wolff
/ J. Gallagher
60'
C. Ramirez
/ J. Nelson
60'
I. Sanchez
61'
63'
Z. Bassong
64'
M. Garcia
/
Z. Bassong
64'
J. Reynolds
/
J. Davis
J. Nelson
71'
F. Torres
/ B. Vazquez
73'
I. Sanchez
/ M. Djordjevic
73'
75'
S. Afrifa
/
T. Calheira
80'
ast. S. Suleymanov ·
M. Garcia⚽
82'
S. Afrifa⚽
M. Desler
/ C. Fodrey
84'
C. Fodrey
86'
Pre-match prediction
46.65%
Austin
25.32%
X
28.03%
Sporting ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Kansas City)
28.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
0.46
-1.25
1.24
1.42
+0.17
Sporting Kansas City dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Brad Stuver
G
Brad Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
15
Jonathan Bell
D
Jonathan Bell
D
5
Oleksandr Svatok
D
Oleksandr Svatok
D
3
Mikkel Desler
1 ⚽
84'
D
Mikkel Desler
1 ⚽
84'
D
33
Owen Wolff
60'
M
Owen Wolff
60'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
73'
M
Ilie Sánchez
73'
M
30
Joseph Rosales
M
Joseph Rosales
M
11
F. Torres
73'
M
F. Torres
73'
M
10
Myrto Uzuni
F
Myrto Uzuni
F
21
Christian Ramirez
60'
F
Christian Ramirez
60'
F
Bench
9
Brandon Vázquez
17'
F
Brandon Vázquez
17'
F
19
Calvin Fodrey
11'
M
Calvin Fodrey
11'
M
12
Damian Las
G
Damian Las
G
8
Daniel Pereira
17'
M
Daniel Pereira
17'
M
7
Jayden Nelson
30'
F
Jayden Nelson
30'
F
17
Jon Gallagher
30'
D
Jon Gallagher
30'
D
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
Mateja Đorđević
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
Žan Kolmanič
D
30
Stefan Cleveland
G
Stefan Cleveland
G
99
Jayden Reid
D
Jayden Reid
D
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
Wyatt Meyer
D
2
Ian James
D
Ian James
D
8
Jacob Davis
64'
D
Jacob Davis
64'
D
11
Calvin Harris
M
Calvin Harris
M
22
Zorhan Bassong
64'
M
Zorhan Bassong
64'
M
4
Lasse Berg Johnsen
M
Lasse Berg Johnsen
M
7
Capita
45'
M
Capita
45'
M
19
Taylor Calheira
75'
F
Taylor Calheira
75'
F
9
D. Joveljić
F
D. Joveljić
F
Bench
57
Diego Borges
D
Diego Borges
D
23
Ethan Bartlow
D
Ethan Bartlow
D
16
Jacob Bartlett
D
Jacob Bartlett
D
1
John Pulskamp
G
John Pulskamp
G
13
J. Reynolds
26'
D
14
Macielo Tschantret
M
Macielo Tschantret
M
6
Manu García
1 ⚽
26'
M
Manu García
1 ⚽
26'
M
93
Shapi Suleymanov
1 👟
45'
F
Shapi Suleymanov
1 👟
45'
F
17
Stephen Afrifa
1 ⚽
15'
F
Stephen Afrifa
1 ⚽
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Manu García
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Stephen Afrifa
F · Sporting
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Brad Stuver
G · Austin
7.30
· 32 pass
Jonathan Bell
D · Austin
7.30
· 43 pass
Mikkel Desler
D · Austin
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Wyatt Meyer
D · Sporting
7.20
· 56 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Brandon Vázquez | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Cleveland | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Reid | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Wyatt Meyer | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Ian James | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Jacob Davis | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Calvin Harris | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Zorhan Bassong | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lasse Berg Johnsen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Capita | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Taylor Calheira | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Reynolds | D | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Manu García | M | 26 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Shapi Suleymanov | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Afrifa | F | 15 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Austin win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Sporting Kansas City win.