Australia - Brazil
Friendlies Internazionali
September 25, 2026 12:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.82%
Win
Australia
30.77%
Draw
38.41%
Win
Brazil
0.95
1.68
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.54%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
31%
2
38%
Double Chance
1X
62%
X2
69%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Brazil a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Australia. Expected goals are 0.9 for Australia and 1.7 for Brazil (total 2.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.54% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
1.5
Shots OT
7.3
2.5
Corners
3.7
39%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Australia
Brazil →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Australia
Attack
14
Defence
72
Form
46
Brazil
Attack
70
Defence
61
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Australia
Injured
Injured
Brazil
Injured
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Australia vs Brazil?
The model gives Australia a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an Brazil win.
How many goals are expected in Australia vs Brazil?
Expected goals: Australia 0.9, Brazil 1.7 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Australia vs Brazil?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.54%.