M. Hany
55'
(og)
J. Irvine
120'+2
(pen.)
A. Mabil
120'+3
(pen.)
13'
(ast. K. Hafez)
E. Ashour
(pen.)
120'+1
M. Saber
(pen.)
120'+2
R. Rabia
(pen.)
120'+3
M. Salah
(pen.)
120'+4
H. Abdelmaguid
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Australia a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Egypt 27%). The final result was Australia 1–1 Egypt.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.87
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
7
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
ast. K. Hafez ·
E. Ashour⚽
J. Bos
/ K. Trewin
46'
⚽M. Hany
(og)
55'
67'
H. Hassan
/
M. Ziko
67'
H. Abdelmaguid
/
H. Fathy
C. Volpato
/ A. Hrustic
74'
N. Irankunda
/ M. Toure
74'
80'
Trezeguet
/
K. Hafez
A. O'Neill
/ P. Okon-Engstler
91'
C. Metcalfe
/ A. Mabil
91'
105'
H. Hassan
106'
H. Abdelkarim
/
O. Marmoush
P. Beach
/ M. Ryan
119'
120'+1
(pen.)
M. Saber⚽
120'+1
M. Saber
/
M. Attia
⚽H. Souttar
(missed pen.)
120'+1
⚽J. Irvine
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
R. Rabia⚽
⚽A. Mabil
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
M. Salah⚽
120'+4
(pen.)
H. Abdelmaguid⚽
⚽L. Herrington
(missed pen.)
120'+4
120'
Y. Ibrahim
Pre-match prediction
39.31%
Australia
32.8%
X ←
27.89%
Egypt
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.87
-0.57
1.08
1.36
+0.29
Egypt dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
Patrick Beach
G
Patrick Beach
G
25
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
19
Harry Souttar
D
Harry Souttar
D
3
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
16
Aziz Behich
M
Aziz Behich
M
13
Aiden O'Neill
M
Aiden O'Neill
M
22
Jackson Irvine
1 ⚽
M
Jackson Irvine
1 ⚽
M
5
J. Bos
45'
M
J. Bos
45'
M
8
Connor Metcalfe
F
Connor Metcalfe
F
20
Cristian Volpato
74'
F
Cristian Volpato
74'
F
17
Nestory Irankunda
74'
F
Nestory Irankunda
74'
F
Bench
10
A. Hrustić
46'
M
A. Hrustić
46'
M
11
Awer Mabil
1 ⚽
30'
M
Awer Mabil
1 ⚽
30'
M
21
Cameron Burgess
D
Cameron Burgess
D
14
Cameron Devlin
M
Cameron Devlin
M
6
Jason Geria
D
Jason Geria
D
15
Kai Trewin
75'
D
Kai Trewin
75'
D
1
Mathew Ryan
1'
G
Mathew Ryan
1'
G
2
Miloš Degenek
D
Miloš Degenek
D
9
M. Touré
46'
F
M. Touré
46'
F
23
Nishan Velupillay
F
Nishan Velupillay
F
12
Paul Izzo
G
Paul Izzo
G
24
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
30'
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
30'
M
26
T. Yengi
F
T. Yengi
F
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
15
Karim Hafez
1 👟
80'
D
Karim Hafez
1 👟
80'
D
5
Rami Rabia
1 ⚽
D
Rami Rabia
1 ⚽
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
D
Yasser Ibrahim
D
3
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
22
Omar Marmoush
M
Omar Marmoush
M
19
Marwan Attia
M
Marwan Attia
M
14
Hamdy Fathy
67'
M
Hamdy Fathy
67'
M
8
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
M
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
M
11
Mostafa Zico
67'
F
Mostafa Zico
67'
F
10
Mohamed Salah
1 ⚽
F
Mohamed Salah
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
Haissem Hassan
53'
F
Haissem Hassan
53'
F
9
Hamza Abdelkarim
15'
F
Hamza Abdelkarim
15'
F
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
1 ⚽
53'
D
Hossam Abdelmaguid
1 ⚽
53'
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
16
Mahdi Soliman
G
Mahdi Soliman
G
21
Mahmoud Saber
1 ⚽
1'
M
Mahmoud Saber
1 ⚽
1'
M
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El-Shenawy
G
Mohamed El-Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
24
Tarek Alaa
D
Tarek Alaa
D
7
Trézéguet
40'
F
Trézéguet
40'
F
25
Zizo
F
Zizo
F
Best on the pitch
Emam Ashour
M · Egypt
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 75 pass
Marwan Attia
M · Egypt
7.90
1 shots
· 117 pass
Harry Souttar
D · Australia
7.70
· 67 pass
Jackson Irvine
M · Australia
7.70
1 ⚽
· 57 pass
Alessandro Circati
D · Australia
7.30
· 71 pass
Aiden O'Neill
M · Australia
7.30
1 shots
· 51 pass
Australia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Beach | G | 119 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Harry Souttar | D | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 71 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Aziz Behich | M | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Aiden O'Neill | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Irvine | M | 120 | 7.70 | 1 | — | — | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bos | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Metcalfe | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Volpato | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Hrustić | M | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Awer Mabil | M | 30 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Mathew Ryan | G | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Karim Hafez | D | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 83 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 120 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 76 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | M | 105 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 119 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 117 | 96% | 3 | — | — |
| Hamdy Fathy | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 120 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 75 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Haissem Hassan | F | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Hamza Abdelkarim | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hossam Abdelmaguid | D | 53 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Saber | M | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trézéguet | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Australia vs Egypt?
The final score was Australia 1–1 Egypt.
What did the model predict before Australia vs Egypt?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Australia win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an Egypt win.