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Australia - Egypt

World Cup July 03, 2026 20:00 Sabah Al Salem Stadium, Kuwait
Australia
#2 · 4 pts
vs
Egypt
#2 · 5 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 31.3°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 70% · Kuwait
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.03%
Win
Australia
32.93%
Draw
26.04%
Win
Egypt
1.42
Expected xG
1.07
Most likely result 1–1 (12.6%)
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Australia a 41% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Egypt. Expected goals are 1.4 for Australia and 1.1 for Egypt (total 2.5), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.6% probability.

Season Stats

Australia
1W 1D 1L
Egypt
1W 2D 0L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.7
0.7
Conceded
1.0
3.7
Shots OT
4.3
4.0
Corners
6.0
41%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 1.5
25%
O 2.5
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Australia
1W 0D 0L · at home
Egypt
1W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Australia Egypt →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3% 8.9% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.8% 12.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Australia Australia
D Paraguay 0–0
L USA 2–0
W Türkiye 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Egypt Egypt
D Iran 1–1
W New Zealand 1–3
D Belgium 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Australia Australia
Attack
29
Defence
75
Form
51
Egypt Egypt
Attack
36
Defence
68
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

Australia
J. Italiano
J. Italiano
Injured
Egypt
Hamdi Fathy
Hamdi Fathy
Injured
Hossam Abdelmaguid
Hossam Abdelmaguid
Injured

Group D

# Team G Pts
1 USA USA 3 6
2 Australia Australia 3 4
3 Paraguay Paraguay 3 4
4 Türkiye Türkiye 3 3

What's at stake · Group D

Top 2 advance to the next round

Australia Egypt
Current #2 #1
→ Australia #1 #1
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Egypt #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Australia vs Egypt?
The model gives Australia a 41% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 26% for an Egypt win.
How many goals are expected in Australia vs Egypt?
Expected goals: Australia 1.4, Egypt 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Australia vs Egypt?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.