M. Hany
55'
(og)
J. Irvine
120'+2
(pen.)
A. Mabil
120'+3
(pen.)
13'
(ast. K. Hafez)
E. Ashour
(pen.)
120'+1
M. Saber
(pen.)
120'+2
R. Rabia
(pen.)
120'+3
M. Salah
(pen.)
120'+4
H. Abdelmaguid
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Australia a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Egypt 27%). The final result was Australia 1–1 Egypt.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.87
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
7
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
ast. K. Hafez ·
E. Ashour⚽
J. Bos
/ K. Trewin
46'
⚽M. Hany
(og)
55'
67'
H. Hassan
/
M. Ziko
67'
H. Abdelmaguid
/
H. Fathy
C. Volpato
/ A. Hrustic
74'
N. Irankunda
/ M. Toure
74'
80'
Trezeguet
/
K. Hafez
A. O'Neill
/ P. Okon-Engstler
91'
C. Metcalfe
/ A. Mabil
91'
105'
H. Hassan
106'
H. Abdelkarim
/
O. Marmoush
P. Beach
/ M. Ryan
119'
120'+1
(pen.)
M. Saber⚽
120'+1
M. Saber
/
M. Attia
⚽H. Souttar
(missed pen.)
120'+1
⚽J. Irvine
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
R. Rabia⚽
⚽A. Mabil
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
M. Salah⚽
120'+4
(pen.)
H. Abdelmaguid⚽
⚽L. Herrington
(missed pen.)
120'+4
120'
Y. Ibrahim
Pre-match prediction
39.31%
Australia
32.8%
X ←
27.89%
Egypt
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.87
-0.57
1.08
1.36
+0.29
Egypt dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
Patrick Beach
G
Patrick Beach
G
25
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
19
Harry Souttar
D
Harry Souttar
D
3
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
16
Aziz Behich
M
Aziz Behich
M
13
Aiden O'Neill
M
Aiden O'Neill
M
22
Jackson Irvine
1 ⚽
M
Jackson Irvine
1 ⚽
M
5
J. Bos
45'
M
J. Bos
45'
M
8
Connor Metcalfe
F
Connor Metcalfe
F
20
C. Volpato
74'
F
C. Volpato
74'
F
17
Nestory Irankunda
74'
F
Nestory Irankunda
74'
F
Bench
10
A. Hrustić
46'
M
A. Hrustić
46'
M
11
A. Mabil
1 ⚽
30'
M
A. Mabil
1 ⚽
30'
M
21
Cameron Burgess
D
Cameron Burgess
D
14
C. Devlin
M
C. Devlin
M
6
Jason Geria
D
Jason Geria
D
15
Kai Trewin
75'
D
Kai Trewin
75'
D
2
Miloš Degenek
D
Miloš Degenek
D
1
M. Ryan
1'
G
M. Ryan
1'
G
9
M. Touré
46'
F
M. Touré
46'
F
23
Nishan Velupillay
F
Nishan Velupillay
F
12
Paul Izzo
G
Paul Izzo
G
24
Paul Okon-Engstler
30'
M
Paul Okon-Engstler
30'
M
26
Tete Yengi
F
Tete Yengi
F
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
15
Karim Hafez
1 👟
80'
D
Karim Hafez
1 👟
80'
D
5
Rami Rabia
1 ⚽
D
Rami Rabia
1 ⚽
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
D
Yasser Ibrahim
D
3
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
22
Omar Marmoush
M
Omar Marmoush
M
19
Marwan Attia
M
Marwan Attia
M
14
Hamdi Fathy
67'
M
Hamdi Fathy
67'
M
8
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
M
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
M
11
Mostafa Zico
67'
F
Mostafa Zico
67'
F
10
Mohamed Salah
1 ⚽
F
Mohamed Salah
1 ⚽
F
Bench
16
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
9
H. Abdelkarim
15'
F
H. Abdelkarim
15'
F
12
H. Hassan
53'
F
H. Hassan
53'
F
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
1 ⚽
53'
D
Hossam Abdelmaguid
1 ⚽
53'
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
21
Mahmoud Saber
1 ⚽
1'
M
Mahmoud Saber
1 ⚽
1'
M
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
24
T. Alaa
D
T. Alaa
D
7
Trézéguet
40'
F
Trézéguet
40'
F
25
Zizo
F
Zizo
F
Best on the pitch
Emam Ashour
M · Egypt
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 75 pass
Marwan Attia
M · Egypt
7.90
1 shots
· 117 pass
Harry Souttar
D · Australia
7.70
· 67 pass
Jackson Irvine
M · Australia
7.70
1 ⚽
· 57 pass
Alessandro Circati
D · Australia
7.30
· 71 pass
Aiden O'Neill
M · Australia
7.30
1 shots
· 51 pass
Australia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Beach | G | 119 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Harry Souttar | D | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 71 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Aziz Behich | M | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Aiden O'Neill | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Irvine | M | 120 | 7.70 | 1 | — | — | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bos | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Metcalfe | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Volpato | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Hrustić | M | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Mabil | M | 30 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Ryan | G | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paul Okon-Engstler | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Karim Hafez | D | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 83 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 120 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 76 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | M | 105 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 119 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 117 | 96% | 3 | — | — |
| Hamdi Fathy | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 120 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 75 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 120 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | — | — | — |
| H. Abdelkarim | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Hassan | F | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Hossam Abdelmaguid | D | 53 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Saber | M | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trézéguet | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Australia vs Egypt?
The final score was Australia 1–1 Egypt.
What did the model predict before Australia vs Egypt?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Australia win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an Egypt win.