N. Irankunda
(ast. P. Okon-Engstler)
27'
C. Metcalfe
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Türkiye a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Australia 30%). The final result was Australia 2–0 Türkiye.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
8
0.77
Actual xG
1.33
8
Saves
2
28%
Possession
72%
5
Corners
8
16
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽N. Irankunda
· ast. P. Okon-Engstler
27'
46'
K. Yildiz
/
B. Yilmaz
N. Irankunda
/ N. Velupillay
61'
62'
Y. Akgun
/
O. Kokcu
M. Toure
/ T. Yengi
74'
J. Italiano
/ J. Geria
74'
⚽C. Metcalfe
75'
81'
S. Ozcan
/
I. Yuksek
81'
M. Muldur
/
Z. Celik
J. Bos
/ A. Behich
84'
P. Okon-Engstler
/ J. Irvine
84'
85'
D. Gul
/
K. Akturkoglu
86'
Y. Akgun
Pre-match prediction
30.31%
Australia ←
28.14%
X
41.55%
Türkiye
we assigned to the actual result (Australia)
30.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.77
-0.77
1.82
1.33
-0.49
Türkiye dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
P. Beach
G
P. Beach
G
5
J. Bos
84'
D
J. Bos
84'
D
21
Cameron Burgess
D
Cameron Burgess
D
19
H. Souttar
D
H. Souttar
D
3
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
4
J. Italiano
74'
D
J. Italiano
74'
D
17
N. Irankunda
1 ⚽
61'
M
N. Irankunda
1 ⚽
61'
M
24
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
1 👟
84'
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
1 👟
84'
M
13
A. O'Neill
M
A. O'Neill
M
8
C. Metcalfe
1 ⚽
M
C. Metcalfe
1 ⚽
M
9
M. Touré
74'
F
M. Touré
74'
F
Bench
10
A. Hrustić
M
A. Hrustić
M
11
A. Mabil
M
A. Mabil
M
16
Aziz Behich
13'
D
Aziz Behich
13'
D
14
C. Devlin
M
C. Devlin
M
20
C. Volpato
M
C. Volpato
M
6
Jason Geria
23'
D
Jason Geria
23'
D
22
J. Irvine
13'
M
J. Irvine
13'
M
15
Kai Trewin
D
Kai Trewin
D
25
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
7
Mathew Leckie
F
Mathew Leckie
F
2
M. Degenek
D
1
M. Ryan
G
M. Ryan
G
23
Nishan Velupillay
36'
F
Nishan Velupillay
36'
F
12
P. Izzo
G
P. Izzo
G
26
T. Yengi
23'
F
T. Yengi
23'
F
23
Uğurcan Çakır
G
Uğurcan Çakır
G
20
F. Kadıoğlu
D
F. Kadıoğlu
D
14
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
D
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
D
3
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
2
Z. Çelik
81'
D
Z. Çelik
81'
D
10
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
16
İsmail Yüksek
81'
M
İsmail Yüksek
81'
M
21
Barış Alper Yılmaz
45'
M
Barış Alper Yılmaz
45'
M
6
O. Kökçü
62'
M
O. Kökçü
62'
M
8
A. Güler
M
A. Güler
M
7
K. Aktürkoğlu
85'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
85'
F
Bench
12
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
26
C. Uzun
M
C. Uzun
M
9
Deniz Gül
12'
F
Deniz Gül
12'
F
13
Eren Elmalı
D
Eren Elmalı
D
17
İ. Kahveci
M
İ. Kahveci
M
22
Kaan Ayhan
D
Kaan Ayhan
D
11
Kenan Yıldız
52'
F
Kenan Yıldız
52'
F
1
Mert Günok
G
Mert Günok
G
18
Mert Müldür
16'
D
Mert Müldür
16'
D
24
O. Aydın
F
O. Aydın
F
15
O. Kabak
D
O. Kabak
D
5
Salih Özcan
16'
M
Salih Özcan
16'
M
25
Samet Akaydın
D
Samet Akaydın
D
19
Yunus Akgün
35'
F
Yunus Akgün
35'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Beach
G · Australia
9.50
· 35 pass
C. Metcalfe
M · Australia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
A. Circati
D · Australia
7.70
1 shots
· 26 pass
İsmail Yüksek
M · Türkiye
7.50
1 shots
· 56 pass
N. Irankunda
M · Australia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Cameron Burgess
D · Australia
7.30
· 41 pass
Australia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beach | G | 97 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Bos | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Cameron Burgess | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Souttar | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Circati | D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Italiano | D | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Irankunda | M | 61 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. O'Neill | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. Metcalfe | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Aziz Behich | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jason Geria | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Irvine | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nishan Velupillay | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Yengi | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
Türkiye — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uğurcan Çakır | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 92% | — | — | — |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 91% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Çelik | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 106 | 95% | — | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Barış Alper Yılmaz | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 7 | 73 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 85 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Deniz Gül | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kenan Yıldız | F | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Yunus Akgün | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Australia vs Türkiye?
The final score was Australia 2–0 Türkiye.
What did the model predict before Australia vs Türkiye?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Australia win, 28% to a draw, and 41% to an Türkiye win.