N. Irankunda
(ast. P. Okon-Engstler)
27'
C. Metcalfe
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Türkiye a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Australia 30%). The final result was Australia 2–0 Türkiye.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
8
0.77
Actual xG
1.33
8
Saves
2
28%
Possession
72%
5
Corners
8
16
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽N. Irankunda
· ast. P. Okon-Engstler
27'
46'
K. Yildiz
/
B. Yilmaz
N. Irankunda
/ N. Velupillay
61'
62'
Y. Akgun
/
O. Kokcu
M. Toure
/ T. Yengi
74'
J. Italiano
/ J. Geria
74'
⚽C. Metcalfe
75'
81'
S. Ozcan
/
I. Yuksek
81'
M. Muldur
/
Z. Celik
J. Bos
/ A. Behich
84'
P. Okon-Engstler
/ J. Irvine
84'
85'
D. Gul
/
K. Akturkoglu
86'
Y. Akgun
Pre-match prediction
30.31%
Australia ←
28.14%
X
41.55%
Türkiye
we assigned to the actual result (Australia)
30.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.77
-0.77
1.82
1.33
-0.49
Türkiye dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
P. Beach
G
P. Beach
G
5
J. Bos
84'
D
J. Bos
84'
D
21
C. Burgess
D
C. Burgess
D
19
H. Souttar
D
H. Souttar
D
3
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
4
J. Italiano
74'
D
J. Italiano
74'
D
17
N. Irankunda
1 ⚽
61'
M
N. Irankunda
1 ⚽
61'
M
24
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
1 👟
84'
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
1 👟
84'
M
13
A. O'Neill
M
A. O'Neill
M
8
C. Metcalfe
1 ⚽
M
C. Metcalfe
1 ⚽
M
9
M. Touré
74'
F
M. Touré
74'
F
Bench
16
A. Behich
13'
D
A. Behich
13'
D
10
A. Hrustić
M
A. Hrustić
M
11
A. Mabil
M
A. Mabil
M
14
C. Devlin
M
C. Devlin
M
20
C. Volpato
M
C. Volpato
M
6
J. Geria
23'
D
J. Geria
23'
D
22
J. Irvine
13'
M
J. Irvine
13'
M
15
K. Trewin
D
K. Trewin
D
25
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
7
Mathew Leckie
F
Mathew Leckie
F
2
M. Degenek
D
M. Degenek
D
1
M. Ryan
G
M. Ryan
G
23
N. Velupillay
36'
F
N. Velupillay
36'
F
12
P. Izzo
G
P. Izzo
G
26
T. Yengi
23'
F
T. Yengi
23'
F
23
U. Çakır
G
U. Çakır
G
20
F. Kadıoğlu
D
F. Kadıoğlu
D
14
A. Bardakcı
D
A. Bardakcı
D
3
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
2
Z. Çelik
81'
D
Z. Çelik
81'
D
10
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
16
İ. Yüksek
81'
M
İ. Yüksek
81'
M
21
B. Yılmaz
45'
M
B. Yılmaz
45'
M
6
O. Kökçü
62'
M
O. Kökçü
62'
M
8
A. Güler
M
A. Güler
M
7
K. Aktürkoğlu
85'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
85'
F
Bench
12
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
4
Ç. Söyüncü
D
Ç. Söyüncü
D
26
C. Uzun
M
C. Uzun
M
9
D. Gül
12'
F
D. Gül
12'
F
13
E. Elmalı
D
E. Elmalı
D
17
İ. Kahveci
M
İ. Kahveci
M
22
K. Ayhan
D
K. Ayhan
D
11
K. Yıldız
52'
F
K. Yıldız
52'
F
1
M. Günok
G
M. Günok
G
18
M. Müldür
16'
D
M. Müldür
16'
D
24
O. Aydın
F
O. Aydın
F
15
O. Kabak
D
O. Kabak
D
25
S. Akaydin
D
S. Akaydin
D
5
S. Özcan
16'
M
S. Özcan
16'
M
19
Y. Akgün
35'
F
Y. Akgün
35'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Beach
G · Australia
9.50
· 35 pass
C. Metcalfe
M · Australia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
A. Circati
D · Australia
7.70
1 shots
· 26 pass
İ. Yüksek
M · Türkiye
7.50
1 shots
· 56 pass
N. Irankunda
M · Australia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
C. Burgess
D · Australia
7.30
· 41 pass
Australia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beach | G | 97 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Bos | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| C. Burgess | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Souttar | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Circati | D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Italiano | D | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Irankunda | M | 61 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. O'Neill | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. Metcalfe | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Behich | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Geria | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Irvine | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Velupillay | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Yengi | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
Türkiye — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Çakır | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 92% | — | — | — |
| A. Bardakcı | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 91% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Çelik | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 106 | 95% | — | — | — |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Yılmaz | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 7 | 73 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 85 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gül | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| K. Yıldız | F | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Müldür | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Özcan | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Y. Akgün | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Australia vs Türkiye?
The final score was Australia 2–0 Türkiye.
What did the model predict before Australia vs Türkiye?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Australia win, 28% to a draw, and 41% to an Türkiye win.