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Austria Vienna - FK Liepaja

Conference League July 30, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.17%
Win
Austria Vienna
23.04%
Draw
20.79%
Win
FK Liepaja
2.24
Expected xG
0.79
Most likely outcome
Austria Vienna
56.17%
Probability
80.0%
1X2 accuracy · 5 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.81%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 23%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 44%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Austria Vienna a 56% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 20% for FK Liepaja. Expected goals are 2.2 for Austria Vienna and 0.8 for FK Liepaja (total 3.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.81% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Austria Vienna have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FK Liepaja.

Season Stats

Austria Vienna
3W 1D 1L
FK Liepaja
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.6
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
5.0
Shots OT
2.0
5.7
Corners
6.0
57%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
33%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 5 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Austria Vienna
1W 1D 0L · at home
FK Liepaja
1W 0D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Austria Vienna FK Liepaja →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 8.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 12.1% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 9.0% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
4 5.1% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

W FK Liepaja 0–2
D Baník Ostrava 1–1
L Baník Ostrava 4–3
W Spaeri 0–5
W Spaeri 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L Austria Vienna 0–2
W Dečić 1–2
W Dečić 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
Attack
57
Defence
82
Form
68
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
Attack
33
Defence
65
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Austria Vienna
0
Draw
0
FK Liepaja
23 Jul 2026 Conference League 2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?
The model gives Austria Vienna a 56% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 20% for an FK Liepaja win.
How many goals are expected in Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?
Expected goals: Austria Vienna 2.2, FK Liepaja 0.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.81%.