Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 32
May 17, 2026 14:30
✓Model correct — prediction Lask Linz
38'
(ast. S. Kalajdzic)
X. Mbuyamba
(pen.)
49'
S. Adeniran
76'
(ast. S. Kalajdzic)
M. Bogarde
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Austria Vienna 18%). The final result was Austria Vienna 0–3 Lask Linz. In 4 previous meetings, Austria Vienna have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Lask Linz.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
5
0.56
Actual xG
1.94
2
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
5
16
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
38'
ast. S. Kalajdzic ·
X. Mbuyamba⚽
A. Barry
44'
49'
(pen.)
S. Adeniran⚽
59'
G. Bello
J. Handl
60'
S. Saljic
/ V. Markovic
69'
M. Fischer
/ F. Wustinger
69'
76'
ast. S. Kalajdzic ·
M. Bogarde⚽
P. Maybach
/ K. Boateng
77'
77'
I. Coulibaly
/
S. Kalajdzic
82'
L. Kacavenda
/
K. Danek
82'
C. Lang
/
S. Horvath
A. Barry
/ Lee Kang-Hee
85'
Lee Tae-Seok
/ M. Schablas
85'
90'
K. Cheikne
/
M. Bogarde
90'
F. Flecker
/
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
Pre-match prediction
18.02%
Austria
15.5%
X
66.48%
Lask ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz)
66.48%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
0.56
-0.8
3.29
1.94
-1.35
Lask Linz dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Şahin-Radlinger
G
S. Şahin-Radlinger
G
24
T. Plavotić
D
T. Plavotić
D
46
J. Handl
D
J. Handl
D
28
P. Wiesinger
D
P. Wiesinger
D
17
Lee Tae-seok
85'
M
Lee Tae-seok
85'
M
6
Philipp Maybach
77'
M
Philipp Maybach
77'
M
5
A. Barry
85'
M
A. Barry
85'
M
26
R. Ranftl
M
R. Ranftl
M
20
S. Saljic
69'
F
S. Saljic
69'
F
30
M. Fischer
69'
F
M. Fischer
69'
F
19
J. Eggestein
F
J. Eggestein
F
Bench
60
D. Radonjic
D
D. Radonjic
D
22
F. Wustinger
21'
M
F. Wustinger
21'
M
66
IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe
D
IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe
D
14
K. Boateng
13'
F
K. Boateng
13'
F
16
Lee Kang-Hee
5'
M
Lee Kang-Hee
5'
M
40
Matteo Schablas
5'
D
Matteo Schablas
5'
D
99
M. Kos
G
M. Kos
G
7
Romeo Vučić
F
Romeo Vučić
F
36
V. Markovic
21'
M
V. Markovic
21'
M
1
L. Jungwirth
G
L. Jungwirth
G
2
G. Bello
D
G. Bello
D
16
A. Andrade
D
A. Andrade
D
43
Alemão
D
Alemão
D
3
X. Mbuyamba
1 ⚽
D
X. Mbuyamba
1 ⚽
D
20
K. Jørgensen
89'
D
K. Jørgensen
89'
D
30
S. Horvath
82'
M
S. Horvath
82'
M
6
M. Bogarde
1 ⚽
89'
M
M. Bogarde
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
K. Daněk
82'
M
K. Daněk
82'
M
7
S. Adeniran
1 ⚽
F
S. Adeniran
1 ⚽
F
10
S. Kalajdzic
2 👟
77'
F
S. Kalajdzic
2 👟
77'
F
Bench
13
A. Adeshina
M
A. Adeshina
M
27
C. Lang
8'
F
C. Lang
8'
F
29
F. Flecker
1'
F
F. Flecker
1'
F
4
I. Coulibaly
13'
M
I. Coulibaly
13'
M
52
K. Cheikne
1'
M
K. Cheikne
1'
M
44
L. Kačavenda
8'
M
L. Kačavenda
8'
M
11
M. Entrup
F
M. Entrup
F
33
T. Schützenauer
G
T. Schützenauer
G
Best on the pitch
S. Kalajdzic
F · Lask
8.00
2 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
M. Bogarde
M · Lask
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
X. Mbuyamba
D · Lask
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
S. Adeniran
F · Lask
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
A. Andrade
D · Lask
7.30
· 54 pass
K. Jørgensen
D · Lask
7.20
· 27 pass
Austria Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Şahin-Radlinger | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| T. Plavotić | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Handl | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Wiesinger | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Lee Tae-seok | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Philipp Maybach | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Barry | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Ranftl | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Saljic | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fischer | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Eggestein | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Wustinger | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. Boateng | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-Hee | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Schablas | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| V. Markovic | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Lask Linz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jungwirth | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Bello | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Andrade | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Alemão | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Mbuyamba | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Jørgensen | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Horvath | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bogarde | M | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Daněk | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Adeniran | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kalajdzic | F | 77 | 8.00 | — | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Lang | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Flecker | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Coulibaly | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Cheikne | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Kačavenda | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz?
The final score was Austria Vienna 0–3 Lask Linz.
What did the model predict before Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Austria Vienna win, 15% to a draw, and 66% to an Lask Linz win.