Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 8
October 10, 2026 19:30
45'+1
(ast. Luca Weinhandl)
Oumar Diakité
(pen.)
55'
Oumar Diakité
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Austria Vienna 33%). The final result was Austria Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz. In 4 previous meetings, Austria Vienna have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sturm Graz.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
13
0
Shots on target
6
2.02
Actual xG
2.60
4
Saves
0
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
9
27
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
ast. Luca Weinhandl ·
Oumar Diakité⚽
52'
55'
(pen.)
Oumar Diakité⚽
64'
Axel Kayombo
/
Oumar Diakité
ibrahim buhari
/ Julian Hettwer
64'
Philipp Maybach
/ Vasilije Markovic
64'
66'
Luca Weinhandl
Daniel Nnodim
77'
Stephan Helm
77'
79'
Julian Halwachs
/
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Sanel Saljic
/ Kelvin Owusu Boateng
80'
Daniel Nnodim
/ Lee Tae-seok
80'
Manfred Fischer
/ Florian Wustinger
86'
86'
Petar Petrović
/
Jacob Peter Hödl
90'
Luis Balbo
Pre-match prediction
33.93%
Austria
28.64%
X
37.44%
Sturm ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sturm Graz)
37.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
2.02
+0.71
1.45
2.60
+1.15
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (2.60 vs 2.02).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Şahin-Radlinger
G
S. Şahin-Radlinger
G
3
I. Buhari
64'
D
I. Buhari
64'
D
15
A. Dragović
D
A. Dragović
D
46
J. Handl
D
J. Handl
D
26
R. Ranftl
M
R. Ranftl
M
6
Philipp Maybach
64'
M
Philipp Maybach
64'
M
5
V. Müller
M
V. Müller
M
40
Daniel Nnodim
80'
M
Daniel Nnodim
80'
M
30
M. Fischer
86'
M
M. Fischer
86'
M
10
S. Saljic
80'
M
S. Saljic
80'
M
19
J. Eggestein
F
J. Eggestein
F
Bench
22
F. Wustinger
4'
M
F. Wustinger
4'
M
4
J. Feddersen
D
J. Feddersen
D
20
J. Hettwer
26'
F
J. Hettwer
26'
F
14
K. Boateng
10'
F
K. Boateng
10'
F
16
Lee Kang-Hee
M
Lee Kang-Hee
M
17
Lee Tae-Seok
10'
D
Lee Tae-Seok
10'
D
21
Matteo Schablas
M
Matteo Schablas
M
99
M. Kos
G
M. Kos
G
7
V. Markovic
26'
M
V. Markovic
26'
M
53
D. Khudyakov
G
D. Khudyakov
G
27
L. Balbo
D
L. Balbo
D
30
P. Koller
D
P. Koller
D
2
J. Quarshie
D
J. Quarshie
D
23
A. Malic
D
A. Malic
D
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
79'
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
79'
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
1 👟
M
Luca Weinhandl
1 👟
M
78
V. Matoshi
M
V. Matoshi
M
19
S. Seidl
M
S. Seidl
M
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
86'
M
Jacob Peter Hödl
86'
M
14
O. Diakité
2 ⚽
64'
F
O. Diakité
2 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
22
A. Helac
G
A. Helac
G
11
A. Kayombo
26'
F
A. Kayombo
26'
F
26
B. Beganović
F
B. Beganović
F
6
G. Haider
D
G. Haider
D
40
J. Halwachs
11'
M
J. Halwachs
11'
M
35
N. Geyrhofer
D
N. Geyrhofer
D
21
P. Petrović
4'
D
P. Petrović
4'
D
17
S. Włodarczyk
F
S. Włodarczyk
F
Best on the pitch
O. Diakité
F · Sturm
8.14
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Luca Weinhandl
M · Sturm
7.01
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
S. Şahin-Radlinger
G · Austria
6.93
1 shots
· 33 pass
A. Malic
D · Sturm
6.87
· 33 pass
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M · Sturm
6.78
2 shots
· 31 pass
S. Saljic
M · Austria
6.75
2 shots
· 17 pass
Austria Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Şahin-Radlinger | G | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Buhari | D | 64 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dragović | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Handl | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Ranftl | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 10 | — | — |
| Philipp Maybach | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Müller | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Nnodim | M | 80 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Fischer | M | 86 | 5.87 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Saljic | M | 80 | 6.75 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Eggestein | F | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Wustinger | M | 4 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Hettwer | F | 26 | 5.95 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Boateng | F | 10 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Lee Tae-Seok | D | 10 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Markovic | M | 26 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Khudyakov | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Balbo | D | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Koller | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Quarshie | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Malic | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 79 | 6.78 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 7.01 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 86 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Diakité | F | 64 | 8.14 | 2 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Kayombo | F | 26 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Halwachs | M | 11 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Petrović | D | 4 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was Austria Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Austria Vienna win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Sturm Graz win.