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← UEFA Nations League

Austria - Israel

#2 · 0 pts
vs
#1 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 26.2°C 💨 17 km/h 🌧️ 74% · Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.27%
Win
Austria
19.94%
Draw
42.79%
Win
Israel
1.99
Expected xG
2.26

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.26%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 20%
2 43%
Double Chance
1X 57%
X2 63%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 84%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Israel a 42% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 37% for Austria. Expected goals are 2.0 for Austria and 2.3 for Israel (total 4.3), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.26% probability.

Season Stats

Austria
3W 3D 2L
Israel
1W 1D 4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
0.8
1.0
Conceded
2.2
5.8
Shots OT
2.0
4.8
Corners
1.8
65%
Poss.
34%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
38%
O 2.5
67%
63%
BTTS
67%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 3.5
71%
BTTS
Austria
2W 2D 0L · at home
Israel
0W 1D 2L · away
2.8
gls/g
0.7
0.8
Conceded
2.3
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
67%
75%
BTTS
67%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Austria Israel →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4% 3.2% 3.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
2 2.8% 6.4% 7.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.2% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

L Serbia 2–0
D Serbia 1–1
D Slovenia 1–1
W Kazakhstan 0–2
W Norway 5–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Belgium 1–0
D France 0–0
L Italy 4–1
L France 1–4
L Italy 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Austria Austria
Attack
31
Defence
58
Form
41
Israel Israel
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Israel Israel 0 0
2 Austria Austria 0 0
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 0 0
4 Kosovo Kosovo 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Austria Israel
Current #2 #1
Austria #1 #2
Draw #2 #1
Israel #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Austria vs Israel?
The model gives Austria a 37% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 42% for an Israel win.
How many goals are expected in Austria vs Israel?
Expected goals: Austria 2.0, Israel 2.3 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Austria vs Israel?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.26%.