World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 17, 2026 06:00
✓Model correct — prediction Austria
R. Schmid
(ast. X. Schlager)
21'
Y. Al Arab
76'
(og)
M. Arnautovic
90'+12
(pen.)
50'
(ast. N. Al Rawabdeh)
A. Olwan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austria a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Jordan 20%). The final result was Austria 3–1 Jordan.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.66
Actual xG
0.53
3
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
3
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽R. Schmid
· ast. X. Schlager
21'
S. Kalajdzic
/ M. Arnautovic
46'
50'
ast. N. Al Rawabdeh ·
A. Olwan⚽
X. Schlager
/ C. Chukwuemeka
59'
D. Alaba
/ K. Danso
59'
P. Mwene
/ P. Wanner
59'
67'
72'
S. Obaid
/
M. Abualnadi
⚽Y. Al Arab
(og)
76'
M. Sabitzer
77'
81'
S. Al Rosan
/
A. Nasib
81'
M. Al Mardi
/
E. Haddad
R. Schmid
/ P. Wimmer
83'
88'
M. Al Daoud
/
M. Tamari
89'
A. Azaizeh
/
O. Al Fakhouri
⚽M. Arnautovic
(pen.)
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
55.32%
Austria ←
24.49%
X
20.19%
Jordan
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Austria)
55.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
1.66
-0.76
0.79
0.53
-0.26
Austria dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Schlager
G
A. Schlager
G
16
P. Mwene
59'
D
P. Mwene
59'
D
8
D. Alaba
59'
D
D. Alaba
59'
D
15
P. Lienhart
D
P. Lienhart
D
5
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
4
X. Schlager
1 👟
59'
M
X. Schlager
1 👟
59'
M
6
N. Seiwald
M
N. Seiwald
M
9
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
20
K. Laimer
M
K. Laimer
M
18
R. Schmid
1 ⚽
83'
M
R. Schmid
1 ⚽
83'
M
14
S. Kalajdzic
45'
F
S. Kalajdzic
45'
F
Bench
22
A. Prass
D
A. Prass
D
26
A. Schöpf
M
A. Schöpf
M
17
C. Chukwuemeka
31'
M
C. Chukwuemeka
31'
M
2
D. Affengruber
D
D. Affengruber
D
19
D. Ljubičić
M
D. Ljubičić
M
10
F. Grillitsch
M
F. Grillitsch
M
12
F. Wiegele
G
F. Wiegele
G
3
K. Danso
31'
D
K. Danso
31'
D
7
M. Arnautović
1 ⚽
45'
F
M. Arnautović
1 ⚽
45'
F
23
M. Friedl
D
M. Friedl
D
11
M. Gregoritsch
F
M. Gregoritsch
F
25
Michael Svoboda
D
Michael Svoboda
D
13
P. Pentz
G
P. Pentz
G
24
P. Wanner
31'
M
P. Wanner
31'
M
21
P. Wimmer
20'
M
P. Wimmer
20'
M
1
Yazid Abu Layla
G
Yazid Abu Layla
G
16
M. Abualnadi
72'
D
M. Abualnadi
72'
D
5
Yazan Al Arab
1 ⚽
D
Yazan Al Arab
1 ⚽
D
3
Abdallah Naseeb
81'
D
Abdallah Naseeb
81'
D
20
Mohannad Abu Taha
M
Mohannad Abu Taha
M
8
Noor Al Rawabdeh
1 👟
M
Noor Al Rawabdeh
1 👟
M
21
Nizar Al Rashdan
M
23
Ehsan Haddad
81'
M
Ehsan Haddad
81'
M
9
Ali Olwan
1 ⚽
F
Ali Olwan
1 ⚽
F
11
Odeh Al Fakhouri
89'
F
Odeh Al Fakhouri
89'
F
10
Mousa Tamari
88'
F
Mousa Tamari
88'
F
Bench
22
Abdallah Al Fakhouri
G
Abdallah Al Fakhouri
G
24
Ali Al Azaizeh
14'
F
6
Amer Jamous
M
4
Husam Ali Mohammad Abudahab
D
Husam Ali Mohammad Abudahab
D
15
Ibrahim Sadeh
M
18
M. Abu Ghoush
D
M. Abu Ghoush
D
13
Mahmoud Al Mardi
9'
F
Mahmoud Al Mardi
9'
F
25
Mohammad Al Daoud
15'
M
Mohammad Al Daoud
15'
M
2
Mohammad Ali Hasheesh
D
Mohammad Ali Hasheesh
D
7
Mohammed Abu Zurayq
F
14
Rajaei Ayed
M
Rajaei Ayed
M
19
Saad Al Rousan
9'
D
17
Saleem Obaid
18'
D
Saleem Obaid
18'
D
Best on the pitch
Ali Olwan
F · Jordan
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
A. Schlager
G · Austria
7.50
· 32 pass
Mohannad Abu Taha
M · Jordan
7.30
· 32 pass
R. Schmid
M · Austria
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
P. Lienhart
D · Austria
7.20
· 86 pass
X. Schlager
M · Austria
7.20
1 👟
· 53 pass
Austria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schlager | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Mwene | D | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D. Alaba | D | 59 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Schlager | M | 59 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Seiwald | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Laimer | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Schmid | M | 83 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kalajdzic | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Danso | D | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Arnautović | F | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Jordan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazid Abu Layla | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Abualnadi | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yazan Al Arab | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 44 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdallah Naseeb | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Noor Al Rawabdeh | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Nizar Al Rashdan | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Ehsan Haddad | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ali Olwan | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Odeh Al Fakhouri | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mousa Tamari | F | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Al Azaizeh | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mahmoud Al Mardi | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammad Al Daoud | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Rousan | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Saleem Obaid | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austria vs Jordan?
The final score was Austria 3–1 Jordan.
What did the model predict before Austria vs Jordan?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Austria win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Jordan win.