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Austria - Kosovo

UEFA Nations League September 27, 2026 18:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Austria
#2 · 0 pts
vs
Kosovo
#2 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.19%
Win
Austria
20.22%
Draw
36.59%
Win
Kosovo
2.15
Expected xG
2.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (7.31%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 20%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 57%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 84%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Austria a 43% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 36% for Kosovo. Expected goals are 2.2 for Austria and 2.0 for Kosovo (total 4.2), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 7.31% probability.

Season Stats

Austria
3W 3D 2L
Kosovo
6W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.9
1.0
Conceded
1.1
5.8
Shots OT
5.6
4.8
Corners
4.4
65%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
88%
38%
O 2.5
88%
63%
BTTS
38%
25%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Austria
2W 2D 0L · at home
Kosovo
3W 0D 1L · away
2.8
gls/g
2.2
0.8
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
75%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Austria Kosovo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 3.1% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.3% 6.6% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
2 3.5% 7.2% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.5% 5.1% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

Austria Austria
L Serbia 2–0
D Serbia 1–1
D Slovenia 1–1
W Kazakhstan 0–2
W Norway 5–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Kosovo Kosovo
W Iceland 1–3
W Iceland 2–1
W Lithuania 1–0
L Romania 3–0
W Cyprus 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Austria Austria
Attack
31
Defence
58
Form
41
Kosovo Kosovo
Attack
43
Defence
69
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Israel Israel 0 0
2 Austria Austria 0 0
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 0 0
4 Kosovo Kosovo 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Austria Kosovo
Current #2 #1
→ Austria #1 #4
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Kosovo #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Austria vs Kosovo?
The model gives Austria a 43% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 36% for an Kosovo win.
How many goals are expected in Austria vs Kosovo?
Expected goals: Austria 2.2, Kosovo 2.0 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Austria vs Kosovo?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.31%.