Auxerre - Chateauroux
Friendlies Clubs
July 21, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Auxerre
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Chateauroux
3.74
1.48
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.83%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Auxerre a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Chateauroux. Expected goals are 3.7 for Auxerre and 1.5 for Chateauroux (total 5.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.83% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Auxerre
Chateauroux →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Auxerre
Attack
49
Defence
59
Form
51
Chateauroux
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Auxerre vs Chateauroux?
The model gives Auxerre a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Chateauroux win.
How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Chateauroux?
Expected goals: Auxerre 3.7, Chateauroux 1.5 (total 5.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Auxerre vs Chateauroux?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.83%.