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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 17:15 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre
#12 · 10 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Le Mans
#15 · 7 pts
Cameron Archer 56'
48' (ast. Lucas Bretelle) Lucas Buades
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Le Mans 31%). The final result was Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
0.91
Actual xG
1.43
1
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
1
10
Tackles
31
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
Alexandre Lauray
26'
Lucas Buades
William Still
44'
48'
ast. Lucas Bretelle · Lucas Buades⚽
48'
53'
Noa Boissé / Djibril Sidibé ↕
⚽Cameron Archer
56'
63'
Jean Vercruysse / Alexandre Lauray ↕
63'
Dame Gueye / Habib Diallo ↕
Kevin Danois
69'
↕ Lamine Sy / Rayan Mandengue
73'
↕ Danny Namaso / Aristide Zossou
86'
↕ Kevin Danois / Pierre Ekwah
86'
86'
Daouda Traore / Antoine Rabillard ↕
87'
Rayan Bamba / Lucas Buades ↕
↕ Cameron Archer / Youssef Khoudda
90'+8
↕ Naouirou Ahamada / Arthur Piedfort
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
42.89%
Auxerre
26.04%
X ←
31.08%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Auxerre
3.05
0.91
-2.14
Le
2.35
1.43
-0.92
Le Mans dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Auxerre Auxerre 3-4-2-1
1 P. Nardi P. Nardi G 6.22
92 C. Akpa C. Akpa D 6.28
4 A. Tuanzebe A. Tuanzebe D 6.82
15 C. Makosso C. Makosso D 6.60
22 F. Oppegård F. Oppegård M 6.11
5 K. Danois K. Danois 86' M 6.39
8 N. Ahamada N. Ahamada M 6.68
27 L. Sy L. Sy 73' M 5.97
10 D. Namaso D. Namaso 86' M 5.88
21 R. Faivre R. Faivre M 6.25
9 C. Archer C. Archer 1 ⚽ F 7.78
Bench
46 A. Piedfort A. Piedfort 1' M 0.00
77 Aristide Zossou Aristide Zossou 4' M 6.31
35 E. Legros E. Legros D 0.00
34 L. Dioubate L. Dioubate M 0.00
23 M. Diop M. Diop G 0.00
17 P. Ekwah P. Ekwah 4' M 6.49
32 R. Mandengue R. Mandengue 17' D 6.49
20 S. Diomandé S. Diomandé D 0.00
Le Mans Le Mans 3-5-2
98 N. Kocik N. Kocik G 6.58
16 Raúl Torrente Raúl Torrente D 5.88
17 S. Yohou S. Yohou D 6.34
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé 53' D 6.50
22 L. Calodat L. Calodat M 6.19
8 A. Lauray A. Lauray 63' M 6.39
29 L. Bretelle L. Bretelle 1 👟 M 7.70
9 A. Rabillard A. Rabillard 86' M 6.21
18 L. Buadés L. Buadés 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.27
13 H. Diallo H. Diallo 63' F 6.27
14 L. Mafouta L. Mafouta F 6.46
Bench
7 B. Brahimi B. Brahimi F 0.00
25 D. Guèye D. Guèye 27' F 6.59
23 D. Traoré D. Traoré 4' M 6.70
1 E. Hatfout E. Hatfout G 0.00
10 J. Vercruysse J. Vercruysse 27' M 6.98
15 N. Boissé N. Boissé 37' D 6.86
26 R. Bamba R. Bamba 3' D 5.97
20 W. Harhouz W. Harhouz F 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Archer
C. Archer
F · Auxerre
7.78
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
L. Bretelle
L. Bretelle
M · Le
7.70
1 👟
· 40 pass
L. Buadés
L. Buadés
M · Le
7.27
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
J. Vercruysse
J. Vercruysse
M · Le
6.98
1 shots · 7 pass
N. Boissé
N. Boissé
D · Le
6.86
· 14 pass
A. Tuanzebe
A. Tuanzebe
D · Auxerre
6.82
· 51 pass
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Nardi G 90 6.22 — — 0 28 20% 0 — —
C. Akpa D 90 6.28 — — 1 73 57% 0 — —
A. Tuanzebe D 90 6.82 — — 0 51 42% 0 — —
C. Makosso D 90 6.60 — — 1 50 42% 1 — —
F. Oppegård M 90 6.11 — — 0 28 24% 0 — —
K. Danois M 86 6.39 — — 0 53 41% 3 1 —
N. Ahamada M 98 6.68 — — 1 60 52% 0 — —
L. Sy M 73 5.97 — — 1 29 24% 3 — —
D. Namaso M 86 5.88 — — 2 24 21% 2 — —
R. Faivre M 90 6.25 — — 3 46 32% 0 — —
C. Archer F 98 7.78 1 — 2 19 15% 0 — —
A. Piedfort M 1 0.00 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
Aristide Zossou M 4 6.31 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
P. Ekwah M 4 6.49 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
R. Mandengue D 17 6.49 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
Le Mans Le Mans — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kocik G 90 6.58 — — 0 38 18% 0 — —
Raúl Torrente D 90 5.88 — — 0 44 27% 3 — —
S. Yohou D 90 6.34 — — 0 34 26% 3 — —
D. Sidibé D 53 6.50 — — 2 23 18% 0 — —
L. Calodat M 90 6.19 — — 0 25 15% 4 — —
A. Lauray M 63 6.39 — — 0 31 23% 3 1 —
L. Bretelle M 90 7.70 — 1 0 40 34% 7 — —
A. Rabillard M 86 6.21 — — 0 18 11% 0 — —
L. Buadés M 87 7.27 1 — 3 16 10% 3 1 —
H. Diallo F 63 6.27 — — 0 10 10% 1 — —
L. Mafouta F 90 6.46 — — 3 20 13% 1 — —
D. Guèye F 27 6.59 — — 2 6 3% 0 — —
D. Traoré M 4 6.70 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
J. Vercruysse M 27 6.98 — — 1 7 6% 3 — —
N. Boissé D 37 6.86 — — 0 14 8% 3 — —
R. Bamba D 3 5.97 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Le Mans?
The final score was Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Le Mans?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Auxerre win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Le Mans win.