The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 49% win probability (draw 30%, Nantes 19%). The final result was Auxerre 0–0 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Auxerre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nantes.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
11
0
Shots on target
4
0.66
Actual xG
1.44
4
Saves
0
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
2
16
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
4'
Ignatius Ganago
16'
Johann Lepenant
65'
D. Namaso
/ S. Mara
67'
73'
I. Sissoko
/
F. Coquelin
74'
F. Centonze
/
D. Tabibou
F. Oppegard
/ L. Coulibaly
77'
R. Faivre
/ N. Ahamada
77'
81'
Mostafa Mohamed
/
M. Abline
82'
R. Cabella
/
F. Guilbert
86'
Ibrahima Sissoko
89'
Fabien Centonze
Pre-match prediction
49.75%
Auxerre
30.59%
X ←
19.66%
Nantes
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
0.66
-0.54
0.63
1.44
+0.81
Nantes dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
D. Léon
G
D. Léon
G
14
G. Mensah
D
G. Mensah
D
24
Bryan Okoh
D
Bryan Okoh
D
20
S. Diomandé
D
S. Diomandé
D
29
Marvin Senaya
D
Marvin Senaya
D
42
E. Owusu
M
E. Owusu
M
5
K. Danois
M
K. Danois
M
22
F. Oppegård
77'
M
F. Oppegård
77'
M
19
D. Namaso
67'
M
D. Namaso
67'
M
28
R. Faivre
77'
M
R. Faivre
77'
M
10
L. Sinayoko
F
L. Sinayoko
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
92
C. Akpa
D
C. Akpa
D
27
L. Sy
D
L. Sy
D
8
N. Ahamada
22'
M
N. Ahamada
22'
M
9
S. Mara
32'
F
S. Mara
32'
F
1
Anthony Lopes
G
Anthony Lopes
G
27
Deiver Machado
D
Deiver Machado
D
3
N. Cozza
D
N. Cozza
D
2
Ali Youssef
D
24
F. Guilbert
82'
D
F. Guilbert
82'
D
13
Francis Coquelin
73'
M
Francis Coquelin
73'
M
10
M. Abline
81'
M
M. Abline
81'
M
8
J. Lepenant
M
J. Lepenant
M
21
Mohamed Kaba
M
Mohamed Kaba
M
17
D. Assoumani
74'
M
D. Assoumani
74'
M
37
I. Ganago
F
I. Ganago
F
Bench
6
Chidozie Awaziem
D
Chidozie Awaziem
D
18
Fabien Centonze
25'
D
28
I. Sissoko
26'
M
I. Sissoko
26'
M
66
Louis Leroux
M
Louis Leroux
M
31
Mostafa Mohamed
18'
F
Mostafa Mohamed
18'
F
20
R. Cabella
17'
M
26
U. Radakovic
D
19
Y. El Arabi
F
Best on the pitch
Deiver Machado
D · Nantes
7.60
3 shots
· 30 pass
F. Guilbert
D · Nantes
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
N. Cozza
D · Nantes
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
D. Léon
G · Auxerre
7.20
· 29 pass
G. Mensah
D · Auxerre
7.20
· 52 pass
S. Diomandé
D · Auxerre
7.20
· 44 pass
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Léon | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| G. Mensah | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan Okoh | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Owusu | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Danois | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Oppegård | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ahamada | M | 22 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mara | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Nantes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Lopes | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Deiver Machado | D | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Cozza | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Youssef | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| F. Guilbert | D | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Francis Coquelin | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Abline | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Lepenant | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Kaba | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Assoumani | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Ganago | F | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabien Centonze | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Sissoko | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Mostafa Mohamed | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Cabella | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Nantes?
The final score was Auxerre 0–0 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Nantes?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Auxerre win, 30% to a draw, and 19% to an Nantes win.