Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre
#10 · 6 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Nice
#14 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Auxerre
S. Mara 27'
L. Sinayoko (ast. N. Ahamada) 70'
9' S. Diop
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Nice 17%). The final result was Auxerre 2–1 Nice. In 2 previous meetings, Auxerre have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nice.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.72
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
10
Corners
1
19
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
9'
S. Diop⚽
↕ B. Okoh / C. Akpa
13'
⚽S. Mara
27'
59'
A. Abdi / M. Bard ↕
59'
T. Louchet / S. Abdul Samed ↕
⚽L. Sinayoko · ast. N. Ahamada
70'
↕ L. Sy / M. Senaya
71'
76'
E. Wahi / M. Cho ↕
76'
Kevin / M. Sanson ↕
81'
I. Jansson / S. Diop ↕
↕ D. Namaso / M. Cissokho
86'
↕ S. Mara / J. Casimir
86'
J. Casimir
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
56.81%
Auxerre ←
25.54%
X
17.64%
Nice
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre) 56.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Auxerre
2.04
0.72
-1.32
Nice
0.88
1.12
+0.25
Nice dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Auxerre Auxerre 4-3-3
16 D. Léon D. Léon G 6.90
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 7.30
24 Bryan Okoh Bryan Okoh 13' D 7.20
20 S. Diomandé S. Diomandé D 6.60
27 L. Sy L. Sy 71' D 6.30
5 K. Danois K. Danois M 6.60
42 Elisha Owusu Elisha Owusu M 6.70
8 N. Ahamada N. Ahamada 1 👟 M 7.30
19 D. Namaso D. Namaso 86' F 6.90
9 S. Mara S. Mara 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.60
10 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
18 Assane Dioussé Assane Dioussé M
92 C. Akpa C. Akpa 77' D 7.00
4 F. Sierralta F. Sierralta D
7 J. Casimir J. Casimir 11' F 6.60
21 L. Coulibaly L. Coulibaly 11' M 6.30
44 Mamoudou Cissokho Mamoudou Cissokho F
29 Marvin Senaya Marvin Senaya 19' D 6.70
40 Théo De Percin Théo De Percin G
13 T. Siwe T. Siwe D
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Y. Diouf Y. Diouf G 6.20
26 M. Bard M. Bard 59' D 6.30
37 K. Peprah Oppong K. Peprah Oppong D 6.60
28 Abdulay Bah Abdulay Bah D 6.20
33 A. Mendy A. Mendy D 6.60
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss D 6.30
10 S. Diop S. Diop 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.20
6 H. Boudaoui H. Boudaoui M 6.60
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed 59' M 6.30
8 M. Sanson M. Sanson 76' M 6.30
25 M. Cho M. Cho 76' F 6.70
Bench
2 A. Abdi A. Abdi 31' D 6.50
24 C. Vanhoutte C. Vanhoutte M
4 Dante Dante D
11 E. Wahi E. Wahi 14' F 6.30
21 I. Jansson I. Jansson 9' F 6.30
32 K. Boudache K. Boudache F
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Kevin Carlos Omoruyi 14' F 6.90
31 M. Dupé M. Dupé G
20
Tom Louchet 31' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
S. Mara
S. Mara
F · Auxerre
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
G. Mensah
G. Mensah
D · Auxerre
7.30
· 49 pass
N. Ahamada
N. Ahamada
M · Auxerre
7.30
1 👟
· 40 pass
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh
D · Auxerre
7.20
· 8 pass
S. Diop
S. Diop
M · Nice
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Léon G 90 6.90 — — — 25 15% 1 — —
G. Mensah D 90 7.30 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
Bryan Okoh D 13 7.20 — — — 8 8% — — —
S. Diomandé D 90 6.60 — — — 65 55% 1 — —
L. Sy D 71 6.30 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
K. Danois M 90 6.60 — — 1 70 55% 5 — —
Elisha Owusu M 90 6.70 — — 1 40 29% 3 — —
N. Ahamada M 90 7.30 — 1 — 40 34% 2 — —
D. Namaso F 86 6.90 — — 1 24 23% 4 — —
S. Mara F 86 7.60 1 — 3 12 7% — — —
L. Sinayoko F 90 7.30 1 — 3 32 23% 1 — —
C. Akpa D 77 7.00 — — — 49 36% — — —
J. Casimir F 11 6.60 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
L. Coulibaly M 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Marvin Senaya D 19 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Diouf G 90 6.20 — — — 23 13% — — —
M. Bard D 59 6.30 — — — 26 20% — — —
K. Peprah Oppong D 90 6.60 — — — 64 61% 2 — —
Abdulay Bah D 90 6.20 — — — 54 47% 1 — —
A. Mendy D 90 6.60 — — — 45 35% 4 — —
J. Clauss D 90 6.30 — — — 33 17% 2 — —
S. Diop M 81 7.20 1 — 2 30 22% — — —
H. Boudaoui M 90 6.60 — — — 52 43% 1 — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 59 6.30 — — — 24 20% — — —
M. Sanson M 76 6.30 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
M. Cho F 76 6.70 — — 3 17 13% — — —
A. Abdi D 31 6.50 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
E. Wahi F 14 6.30 — — 2 2 1% 1 — —
I. Jansson F 9 6.30 — — 1 3 1% — — —
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 14 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
Tom Louchet M 31 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Nice?
The final score was Auxerre 2–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Nice?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Auxerre win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Nice win.