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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre
#15 · 34 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Nice
#16 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Auxerre
S. Mara 27'
L. Sinayoko (ast. N. Ahamada) 70'
9' S. Diop
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Nice 17%). The final result was Auxerre 2–1 Nice. In 1 previous meetings, Auxerre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nice.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.72
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
10
Corners
1
19
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
9'
S. Diop⚽
↕ B. Okoh / C. Akpa
13'
⚽S. Mara
27'
59'
A. Abdi / M. Bard ↕
59'
T. Louchet / S. Abdul Samed ↕
⚽L. Sinayoko · ast. N. Ahamada
70'
↕ L. Sy / M. Senaya
71'
76'
E. Wahi / M. Cho ↕
76'
Kevin / M. Sanson ↕
81'
I. Jansson / S. Diop ↕
↕ D. Namaso / M. Cissokho
86'
↕ S. Mara / J. Casimir
86'
J. Casimir
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
56.81%
Auxerre ←
25.54%
X
17.64%
Nice
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre) 56.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Auxerre
2.04
0.72
-1.32
Nice
0.88
1.12
+0.25
Nice dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Auxerre Auxerre 4-3-3
16 D. Léon D. Léon G 6.90
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 7.30
24 Bryan Okoh Bryan Okoh 13' D 7.20
20 Sinaly Diomandé Sinaly Diomandé D 6.60
27 Lamine Sy Lamine Sy 71' D 6.30
5 Kévin Danois Kévin Danois M 6.60
42 Elisha Owusu Elisha Owusu M 6.70
8 Naouirou Ahamada Naouirou Ahamada 1 👟 M 7.30
19 D. Namaso D. Namaso 86' F 6.90
9 Sékou Mara Sékou Mara 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.60
10 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
18 Assane Dioussé Assane Dioussé M
92 Clement Akpa Clement Akpa 77' D 7.00
4 F. Sierralta F. Sierralta D
7 J. Casimir J. Casimir 11' F 6.60
21 Lasso Coulibaly Lasso Coulibaly 11' M 6.30
44 Mamoudou Cissokho Mamoudou Cissokho F
29 Marvin Senaya Marvin Senaya 19' D 6.70
13 Telli Siwe Telli Siwe D
40 Théo De Percin Théo De Percin G
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G 6.20
26 Melvin Bard Melvin Bard 59' D 6.30
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong Kojo Peprah Oppong D 6.60
28 Abdulay Juma Bah Abdulay Juma Bah D 6.20
33 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy D 6.60
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss D 6.30
10 S. Diop S. Diop 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.20
6 Hicham Boudaoui Hicham Boudaoui M 6.60
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed 59' M 6.30
8 M. Sanson M. Sanson 76' M 6.30
25 M. Cho M. Cho 76' F 6.70
Bench
2 A. Abdi A. Abdi 31' D 6.50
24 Charles Vanhoutte Charles Vanhoutte M
4 Dante Dante D
11 E. Wahi E. Wahi 14' F 6.30
21 Isak Jansson Isak Jansson 9' F 6.30
32 Kaïl Boudache Kaïl Boudache F
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Kevin Carlos Omoruyi 14' F 6.90
31 Maxime Dupé Maxime Dupé G
20 Tom Louchet Tom Louchet 31' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Sékou Mara
Sékou Mara
F · Auxerre
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
G. Mensah
G. Mensah
D · Auxerre
7.30
· 49 pass
Naouirou Ahamada
Naouirou Ahamada
M · Auxerre
7.30
1 👟
· 40 pass
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh
D · Auxerre
7.20
· 8 pass
S. Diop
S. Diop
M · Nice
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Léon G 90 6.90 — — — 25 15% 1 — —
G. Mensah D 90 7.30 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
Bryan Okoh D 13 7.20 — — — 8 8% — — —
Sinaly Diomandé D 90 6.60 — — — 65 55% 1 — —
Lamine Sy D 71 6.30 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Kévin Danois M 90 6.60 — — 1 70 55% 5 — —
Elisha Owusu M 90 6.70 — — 1 40 29% 3 — —
Naouirou Ahamada M 90 7.30 — 1 — 40 34% 2 — —
D. Namaso F 86 6.90 — — 1 24 23% 4 — —
Sékou Mara F 86 7.60 1 — 3 12 7% — — —
L. Sinayoko F 90 7.30 1 — 3 32 23% 1 — —
Clement Akpa D 77 7.00 — — — 49 36% — — —
J. Casimir F 11 6.60 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
Lasso Coulibaly M 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Marvin Senaya D 19 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yehvann Diouf G 90 6.20 — — — 23 13% — — —
Melvin Bard D 59 6.30 — — — 26 20% — — —
Kojo Peprah Oppong D 90 6.60 — — — 64 61% 2 — —
Abdulay Juma Bah D 90 6.20 — — — 54 47% 1 — —
Antoine Mendy D 90 6.60 — — — 45 35% 4 — —
J. Clauss D 90 6.30 — — — 33 17% 2 — —
S. Diop M 81 7.20 1 — 2 30 22% — — —
Hicham Boudaoui M 90 6.60 — — — 52 43% 1 — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 59 6.30 — — — 24 20% — — —
M. Sanson M 76 6.30 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
M. Cho F 76 6.70 — — 3 17 13% — — —
A. Abdi D 31 6.50 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
E. Wahi F 14 6.30 — — 2 2 1% 1 — —
Isak Jansson F 9 6.30 — — 1 3 1% — — —
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 14 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
Tom Louchet M 31 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Nice?
The final score was Auxerre 2–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Nice?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Auxerre win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Nice win.