Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 35
October 24, 2026 21:00
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis
43'
(ast. Patrick Brey)
Morelli
54'
(ast. Patrick Brey)
Leandro Maciel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Avai 31%). The final result was Avai 0–2 Botafogo SP. In 1 previous meetings, Avai have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
27
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
3
1.29
Actual xG
0.66
1
Saves
7
58%
Possession
42%
14
Corners
2
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
38'
José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
Luiz Henrique
43'
43'
ast. Patrick Brey ·
Morelli⚽
Luiz Henrique
/ Paulo Vitor
45'
54'
ast. Patrick Brey ·
Leandro Maciel⚽
Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho
/ Gaspar
58'
Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
/ Léo Gamalho
58'
Allyson Aires Dos Santos
61'
Jefferson Maciel
/ Hyan
72'
Zé Ricardo
/ Pedro Henrique Franklim da Silva
72'
74'
Matheus Sales
/
Rafael Gava
75'
Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
/
Leandro Maciel
85'
Thiago Henrique Moraes
/
Morelli
90'
Hebert Willian Badaro Oliveira
/
Hygor
90'
Arthur Caíke
/
José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
Pre-match prediction
31.3%
Avai
34.77%
X
33.94%
Botafogo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP)
33.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.69
1.29
+0.6
0.82
0.66
-0.16
Avai dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
36
DG
D
DG
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
72'
D
Jefferson Maciel
72'
D
3
Allyson
D
Allyson
D
2
Wallison
D
Wallison
D
8
Luiz Henrique
45'
M
Luiz Henrique
45'
M
77
Zé Ricardo
72'
M
Zé Ricardo
72'
M
37
Rildo
58'
M
Rildo
58'
M
10
Jean Lucas
M
Jean Lucas
M
14
Daniel Penha
M
Daniel Penha
M
19
58'
F
Bench
11
Felipe Vizeu
F
Felipe Vizeu
F
23
Gabriel Cipriano
F
Gabriel Cipriano
F
70
Gaspar
32'
F
Gaspar
32'
F
15
Guilherme Vargas
D
Guilherme Vargas
D
18
Hyan
18'
M
Hyan
18'
M
1
Igor Bohn
G
Igor Bohn
G
20
IsaÃas Pereira
F
IsaÃas Pereira
F
9
Léo Gamalho
32'
F
Léo Gamalho
32'
F
25
Paulo Vitor
45'
M
Paulo Vitor
45'
M
35
Pedrão
18'
D
Pedrão
18'
D
66
Quaresma
D
Quaresma
D
56
William
D
William
D
1
Victor Souza
G
Victor Souza
G
6
Patrick Brey
2 👟
D
Patrick Brey
2 👟
D
27
Darlan
D
Darlan
D
4
Vilar
D
Vilar
D
2
Jonathan
D
Jonathan
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
30
Zé Hugo
89'
M
Zé Hugo
89'
M
10
Rafael Gava
74'
M
Rafael Gava
74'
M
5
L. Maciel
1 ⚽
75'
M
L. Maciel
1 ⚽
75'
M
8
Everton Morelli
1 ⚽
85'
M
Everton Morelli
1 ⚽
85'
M
9
Hygor
89'
F
Hygor
89'
F
Bench
18
Arthur Caíke
1'
F
Arthur Caíke
1'
F
34
Badaró
1'
D
Badaró
1'
D
26
Felipe Vieira
D
Felipe Vieira
D
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
7
Kelvin
F
Kelvin
F
28
Marco Antônio
15'
M
Marco Antônio
15'
M
16
Matheus Sales
16'
M
Matheus Sales
16'
M
31
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
29
Thiago Henrique
5'
M
Thiago Henrique
5'
M
23
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
F
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
F
Best on the pitch
Victor Souza
G · Botafogo
8.16
· 44 pass
L. Maciel
M · Botafogo
8.02
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Patrick Brey
D · Botafogo
7.90
2 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Everton Morelli
M · Botafogo
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Daniel Penha
M · Avai
7.20
5 shots
· 41 pass
Vilar
D · Botafogo
7.04
1 shots
· 37 pass
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Ferreira | G | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| DG | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Jefferson Maciel | D | 72 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Allyson | D | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 68% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wallison | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 45 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 72 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| Rildo | M | 58 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 9 | 50 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Penha | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 41 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| F | 58 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — | |
| Gaspar | F | 32 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Hyan | M | 18 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Gamalho | F | 32 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 45 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedrão | D | 18 | 6.16 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Souza | G | 90 | 8.16 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Patrick Brey | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 32 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Darlan | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Vilar | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Jonathan | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Inocêncio | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 89 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 74 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Maciel | M | 75 | 8.02 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Hygor | F | 89 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Caíke | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Badaró | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Marco Antônio | M | 15 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 16 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Thiago Henrique | M | 5 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avai vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Avai 0–2 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Avai vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Avai win, 34% to a draw, and 33% to an Botafogo SP win.