Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 17
July 12, 2026 21:00
DG
(ast. Wallison)
7'
Daniel Penha
(ast. Juan Rocha)
90'+9
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Avai 24%). The final result was Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, Avai have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
1
2.08
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
6
Corners
5
20
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽DG
· ast. Wallison
7'
46'
Reginaldo
/
Leonai Souza
46'
Kauan Maranhao
/
Derek
Sorriso
/ William
62'
69'
Felipe Cardoso
/
Victor Andrade
69'
Luiz Claudio
/
Matheus Ribeiro
Wallison
/ Wesley Gasolina
69'
Thayllon
/ Juan Rocha
76'
DG
/ Joao Maistro
76'
Jefferson Maciel
/ Guilherme Aquino
76'
Jean Lucas
78'
79'
Leo Jance
/
Igor Fernandes
84'
Gustavo Henrique
William
90'+6
⚽Daniel Penha
· ast. Juan Rocha
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
24.48%
Avai ←
23.21%
X
52.31%
Nautico
we assigned to the actual result (Avai)
24.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
2.08
+1.27
1.84
1.01
-0.84
Avai dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Igor Bohn
G
Igor Bohn
G
36
DG
1 ⚽
76'
D
DG
1 ⚽
76'
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
76'
D
Jefferson Maciel
76'
D
3
Allyson
D
Allyson
D
2
Wallison
1 👟
69'
D
Wallison
1 👟
69'
D
11
Sorriso
62'
M
Sorriso
62'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
M
Luiz Henrique
M
77
Zé Ricardo
M
Zé Ricardo
M
43
Thayllon
76'
M
Thayllon
76'
M
10
Jean Lucas
F
Jean Lucas
F
14
Daniel Penha
1 ⚽
F
Daniel Penha
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
Guilherme Vargas
24'
D
Guilherme Vargas
24'
D
16
Jamerson
M
50
Joao Victor
24'
D
Joao Victor
24'
D
17
Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro
1 👟
24'
F
Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro
1 👟
24'
F
90
Kevin
M
Kevin
M
29
Marcio Vitor
F
Marcio Vitor
F
21
Otávio Passos
G
Otávio Passos
G
66
Quaresma
D
Quaresma
D
4
Simples Gabriel
D
Simples Gabriel
D
95
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
31'
D
Wesley Gasolina
31'
D
56
William
34'
D
William
34'
D
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
79'
D
Igor Fernandes
79'
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
34
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
69'
D
Matheus Ribeiro
69'
D
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
11
Victor Andrade
69'
M
Victor Andrade
69'
M
27
Luiz Felipe
M
Luiz Felipe
M
22
Leonai
45'
M
Leonai
45'
M
29
Júnior Todinho
M
Júnior Todinho
M
72
Derek
45'
F
Derek
45'
F
Bench
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
30
Felipe Cardoso
31'
M
Felipe Cardoso
31'
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
18
Halan
M
Halan
M
19
Kaua Almeida da Costa
55'
F
Kaua Almeida da Costa
55'
F
15
Léo Índio
M
Léo Índio
M
66
Léo Jance
21'
D
Léo Jance
21'
D
16
Luiz Cláudio
31'
F
Luiz Cláudio
31'
F
60
Luiz Paulo
D
Luiz Paulo
D
93
Reginaldo Lopes
55'
D
Reginaldo Lopes
55'
D
41
Samuel
M
Samuel
M
Best on the pitch
Victor Andrade
M · Nautico
7.90
2 shots
· 15 pass
Daniel Penha
F · Avai
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Jefferson Maciel
D · Avai
7.30
· 15 pass
Wenderson
M · Nautico
7.30
1 shots
· 78 pass
DG
D · Avai
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Allyson
D · Avai
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Bohn | G | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 12% | — | — | — |
| DG | D | 76 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Maciel | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Allyson | D | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallison | D | 69 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sorriso | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| Thayllon | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | F | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Penha | F | 100 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Vargas | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Victor | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro | F | 24 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | D | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| William | D | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | 1 |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 100 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wanderson | D | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Ribeiro | D | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Andrade | M | 69 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Leonai | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Júnior Todinho | M | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Derek | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Cardoso | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kaua Almeida da Costa | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Léo Jance | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Cláudio | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Reginaldo Lopes | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avai vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before Avai vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Avai win, 23% to a draw, and 52% to an Nautico Recife win.