Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 5
April 19, 2026 01:30
Jean Lucas
(ast. Thayllon)
38'
(pen.)
45'+2
Willian Pottker
60'
Diego Tavares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avai a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Ponte Preta 31%). The final result was Avai 1–2 Ponte Preta. In 1 previous meetings, Avai have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ponte Preta.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
8
0.38
Actual xG
2.24
6
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
4
13
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Luiz Henrique
34'
⚽Jean Lucas
· ast. Thayllon
38'
45'+2
(pen.)
Willian Pottker⚽
46'
Luis Phelipe
/
R. A. Saravia Salvia
Romildo Del Piage
/ Cristiano
46'
Walace Franca
/ F. Avenatti
57'
60'
(missed pen.)
Willian Pottker⚽
60'
Diego Tavares⚽
Jean Lucas
/ Sorriso
62'
69'
Bryan Borges
75'
Rodriguinho
/
Willian Pottker
Thayllon
77'
Thayllon
/ Isaias
77'
Luiz Henrique
/ Jamerson
77'
Sorriso
79'
82'
Thalys
84'
Brandao
/
Diego Tavares
85'
Rodrigo Souza
/
Bryan Borges
88'
Danilo Barcelos
/
Kevyson
Wallison
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
36.81%
Avai
31.58%
X
31.61%
Ponte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ponte Preta)
31.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
0.38
-0.93
1.26
2.24
+0.98
Ponte Preta dominated by xG (2.24 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
66
D
55
Bruno Baldini
D
Bruno Baldini
D
3
Allyson
D
Allyson
D
2
Wallison
D
Wallison
D
25
Paulo Vitor
M
Paulo Vitor
M
5
Del Piage
45'
M
Del Piage
45'
M
10
Jean Lucas
1 ⚽
62'
M
Jean Lucas
1 ⚽
62'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
77'
M
Luiz Henrique
77'
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
1 👟
77'
M
Thayllon Roberth
1 👟
77'
M
57
Walace
57'
F
Walace
57'
F
Bench
9
Felipe Avenatti
33'
F
15
Guilherme Vargas
D
Guilherme Vargas
D
20
IsaÃas Pereira
13'
F
IsaÃas Pereira
13'
F
11
Sorriso
28'
F
Sorriso
28'
F
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
Wesley Gasolina
D
12
G
32
Kevyson
89'
D
Kevyson
89'
D
44
Márcio Silva
D
Márcio Silva
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
Lucas Cunha
D
22
Thalys
D
6
Rodrigo Saravia
45'
M
8
M
20
Murilo
M
Murilo
M
31
Bryan
85'
M
Bryan
85'
M
7
84'
M
9
William Pottker
1 ⚽
75'
F
William Pottker
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
11
Luis Phelipe
45'
F
Luis Phelipe
45'
F
17
Miguel
M
Miguel
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
11'
M
Rodrigo Souza
11'
M
90
Rodriguinho
15'
F
Rodriguinho
15'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Avai
8.00
· 12 pass
Jean Lucas
M · Avai
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
M · Ponte
7.30
· 36 pass
M · Ponte
7.20
2 shots
· 14 pass
Sorriso
F · Avai
6.90
· 8 pass
Lucas Cunha
D · Ponte
6.90
· 29 pass
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bruno Baldini | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Allyson | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Wallison | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Del Piage | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 62 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| Thayllon Roberth | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Walace | F | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Avenatti | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| IsaÃas Pereira | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Kevyson | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Márcio Silva | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Thalys | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Saravia | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 4 | — | — | |
| Murilo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| William Pottker | F | 75 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Phelipe | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Souza | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avai vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was Avai 1–2 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before Avai vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Avai win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Ponte Preta win.