Cup
· Regions Path - 3rd Round
August 25, 2026 12:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kaluga a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Avangard Kursk 31%). The final result was Avangard Kursk 1–2 Kaluga.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
31.94%
Avangard
33.05%
X
35.01%
Kaluga ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kaluga)
35.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.53
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1.16
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Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga?
The final score was Avangard Kursk 1–2 Kaluga.
What did the model predict before Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Avangard Kursk win, 33% to a draw, and 35% to an Kaluga win.