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Avangard Kursk - Kristall MEZ

Cup August 12, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Avangard Kursk
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Kristall MEZ
0.72
Expected xG
3.12

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.04%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Avangard Kursk a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Kristall MEZ. Expected goals are 0.7 for Avangard Kursk and 3.1 for Kristall MEZ (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.04% probability.

Season Stats

Avangard Kursk
0W 0D 1L
Kristall MEZ
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.2
2.0
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
80%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
Based on the last 5 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Avangard Kursk Kristall MEZ →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 6.7% 10.4% 10.8% 8.4% 5.3%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.1% 3.8%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5

Recent form

L Broke Boys 1–2
W Salyut-Belgorod 3–0
L Torpedo Moskva 1–3
W FK Spartak Tambov 1–0
W Murom 3–2
W Shumbrat 1–3

Playing profile

Avangard Kursk Avangard Kursk
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
36
Kristall MEZ Kristall MEZ
Attack
66
Defence
88
Form
85
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
The model gives Avangard Kursk a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Kristall MEZ win.
How many goals are expected in Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
Expected goals: Avangard Kursk 0.7, Kristall MEZ 3.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.04%.