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Aveley - Brentwood Town

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.21%
Win
Aveley
27.42%
Draw
34.37%
Win
Brentwood Town
4.5
Expected xG
4.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (6.95%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 27%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 62%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aveley a 38% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Brentwood Town. Expected goals are 4.5 for Aveley and 4.0 for Brentwood Town (total 8.5), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.95% probability.

Season Stats

Aveley
4W 1D 1L
Brentwood Town
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
13%
BTTS
Aveley
3W 0D 1L · at home
Brentwood Town
0W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.0
1.2
Conceded
0.5
75%
Win %
0%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
0%
75%
O 2.5
0%
25%
O 3.5
0%
25%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
25%
Failed to Score
100%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aveley Brentwood Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 2.7%
4 0.3% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.0%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 2.7%

Recent form

W Cheshunt 4–2
L Gateshead 0–3
W Halesowen Town 1–0
D Halesowen Town 0–0
W AFC Sudbury 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
W Concord Rangers 4–2
D Concord Rangers 0–0
L Royston Town 1–0
W Leighton Town 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Aveley Aveley
Attack
70
Defence
32
Form
56
Brentwood Town Brentwood Town
Attack
49
Defence
45
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aveley vs Brentwood Town?
The model gives Aveley a 38% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 34% for an Brentwood Town win.
How many goals are expected in Aveley vs Brentwood Town?
Expected goals: Aveley 4.5, Brentwood Town 4.0 (total 8.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Aveley vs Brentwood Town?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.95%.